Posts Tagged ‘ willie mullins ’

28 Dec
2015

Arctic Excursion Just The Ticket At Leopardstown

It’s a wet and windy Leopardstown that’s set to welcome another big crowd for day three of the annual Christmas meeting, one which boasts the Grade 1 Christmas Hurdle and Lexus Chase as its chief components, both of which you’ll see live with us on RTE2.

The three mile Christmas Hurdle (1.55pm) in particular looks set to be a thriller, pitting strong stayers Martello Tower and Alpha Des Obeaux against the classy, but stamina unproven, Arctic Fire.

Albert Bartlett winner Martello Tower is returning to the track from a 290 day absence since his Cheltenham heroics, but even so is bound to try and make this as searching a test as possible.

The same is true of Alpha Des Obeaux, who was comfortably accounted for by Arctic Fire in Fairyhouse’s Hatton’s Grace Hurdle last month, though that came over half a mile shorter than today’s trip.

Seemingly there aren’t too many chinks in 169-rated Arctic Fire’s armour, a horse available at just 8/1 for the two mile Champion Hurdle in March, though the conundrum for his trainer is the embarrassment of riches which sees him furnished with two seemingly superior options for that contest already, in the shape of the monster Faugheen, as well as Nichols Canyon.

Trying to keep them apart is no easy feat, so it makes sense to try and chisel out a new discipline for Arctic Fire, stepping him up in trip in a fascinating experiment.

Will he stay, or will the petrol light be flickering on empty?

On ratings the last season’s Champion Hurdle runner up ought to be an odds on shot, he’s proven on Soft ground, hails from a stable in red hot form, and has the assistance of Ruby Walsh.

Perhaps more importantly, he’s seen out both of his races this season powerfully, staying on well to score over two and a half miles at both Navan and Fairyhouse, a precedent which bodes well for this afternoon.

There’s no guarantee, but I expect him to win today, and his current odds of 12/1 for the World Hurdle to be adjusted accordingly.

Elsewhere, winner number 167 of the season beckons for champion jockey elect Richard Johnson, as he partners Cotillion in Leicester’s Parsley Selling Hurdle (1.25pm).

Johnson, on target for trainer Ian Williams at Huntingdon on Saturday, gets the leg up on a horse who won on the all-weather 12 days ago, and was last seen hurdling at the 2012 Cheltenham Festival.

It’ll be a disappointment if he doesn’t have too many guns for some limited opposition.

Good luck!

Monday’s best bets:

1.25 Leicester – Parsley Selling Hurdle – 5 Cotillion (win) @ 5/4 (Betfred, Betvictor, Coral or Hills)

1.55 Leopardstown – Squared Financial Christmas Hurdle – 2 Arctic Fire (win) @ 11/10 (bet365, Betway or Paddy Power)

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Posted 2 years, 10 months ago

29 Jul
2013

A ‘Mat’ Finish For Starters On Day One Of Glorious Galway?

The bars are packed, the wind’s howling and the rain has arrived. Perfect.

Yes indeed, 51 weeks after the last renewal reached its riotous conclusion, the Galway Races are back with a vengeance, and so is a certain D K Weld, as the master trainer chases an extraordinary race week leading trainer award no.27!!

That’ll take some doing, but when you stop to consider it’s just two years since he banged in a staggering 17 winners over the space of the seven days, you realise that where’s he’s concerned pretty much anything is possible.

The peerless Jonathan Mullin sums it up perfectly in today’s Racing Post, saying: “The only thing Dermot Weld has yet to win at Galway is the best-dressed ladies’ competition on Thursday. There’s a very simple reason for that: the judging clashes with saddling-up for the 60-90 handicap”.

RTE’s ‘Weldometer’ kept an eagle-eyed tally during the first four days of last year’s meeting, but trying to unearth the gems is nonetheless tricky for punters…

After all, they can’t all win, but Weld has been bullish in discussing the prospects of Diplomat in the festival opening two mile novice hurdle at 5.10pm.

He won well under Ruby Walsh at Sligo last time out, and was also a winner here 12 months ago when beating subsequent hurdling sensation Our Conor in a three year old Flat handicap in the hands of Pat Smullen.

Most likely he will win, but he’s a crazy price – 4/6 with Ladbrokes at the time of writing – and either way something has to fill the frame in a 13 horse race.

The one that caught my eye as an each way alternative is Kilkenny trainer Pat Shanahan’s runner King Of The Picts.

On ratings he ought to be bang there, he goes well right-handed and has experience of undulating, sharp tracks (like Bellewstown where he won last time), plus he’s totally versatile as regards ground conditions.

This will only be his third spin over timber, but first time up he was a creditable length second to Galway Hurdle bound Security Breach at Wexford, before beating the re-opposing Green Dragon with some authority at Bellewstown.

There could be more to come, and I’ll chip in with a bit of the 7’s available each way with Coral.

The feature race this evening comes at 6.45pm, with a maximum field of 20 lining up for the Amateur Rider’s two mile Flat Handicap.

You can make a case for a legion of horses – D K has won it four times in the last six years and relies on Notable Graduate (who will be hampered by the rain), while Willie Mullins fields the unbeaten Digeanta and the heavily backed Call Me Bubbles.

The well supported favourite ran well to be third at the Curragh in his prep race, won here over a mile and a half in 2012, and will be delighted to see the rain.

There’s also the likes of Rossvoss for my RTE colleague Ted Walsh, but at bigger odds it’s not hard to envisage a bold show from Jim Culloty’s Cry For The Moon.

Second in this race in both 2011 and 2012, he’s now four pounds lower in the weights than when second here yet again in October.

The ground will be fine, and this time he has Derek O’Connor booked to try and guide him up the hill in front.

A win over hurdles at Killarney in May proves he still has plenty of appetite for the game, and the 11/1 available each way with either bet365 or Paddy Power (both of whom are betting five places each way) looks inviting.

A little later in the day hat-trick chasing filly Pay Day Kitten can put one in the back of the net for the Weld team in the mile and a half three year old handicap (7.45pm).

Top apprentice Connor King takes off a valuable five pounds, and the pair can strike at 2/1 with any of Boylesports, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power or William Hill.

Finally, it might be a long way to Tipperary, but it’s even further to Uttoxeter if you’re stuck in a traffic jam in Galway wondering what’s going to win the seller at the Staffordshire track (6.50pm).

It’s actually a lot better than some of the atrocious selling events that have been run around the UK in recent weeks, but that means former course and distance winner Lucky Vic may be overpriced at 14/1.

Unsighted in two recent tries over fences, he’s better judged on a pair of wins in June of 2012, after which he somewhat ambitiously found his way into the Challow Hurdle at Newbury last December.

This is return to a race he can actually win, and Gavin Sheehan takes a handy five off.

You can get the top price with any of bet365, BetVictor, Betfred or William Hill.

Good luck!

Monday’s best bets:

5.10 Galway – galwaybayhotel.com Novice Hurdle – 9 King Of The Picts (each way) @ 7/1 (Coral)

6.45 Galway – Connacht Hotel (Q.R.) Handicap – 10 Cry For The Moon (each way) @ 11/1 (bet365 or Paddy Power)

6.50 Uttoxeter – Ann Yates Birthday Celebration Selling Hurdle – 2 Lucky Vic (each way) @ 14/1 (general)

7.45 Galway – Galway Oyster Hotel Handicap – 1 Pay Day Kitten (win) @ 2/1 (Ladbrokes, Paddy Power or William Hill)

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Posted 5 years, 3 months ago

27 Apr
2013

Luna To Eclipse Sandown Rivals in Final Day Dust Up

Outstanding racing on both sides of the Irish sea today, with the final day of the National Hunt season going right to the wire for jockeys Davy Russell (103 winners) and Ruby Walsh (99) on the fifth and sadly last day of a brilliant Punchestown Festival.

We’ll come to that later, but first up at Sandown the 12/1 with any of bet365, BetVictor, Stan James or Ladbrokes looks too big about the rapidly improving Galileo gelding Leo Luna in the opener at 1.30pm.

He won without even knowing he’d had a race when given a true peach of a ride by Jamie Moore at Bangor last Saturday, a run necessary to qualify for a handicap to enable shrewd connections to have a tilt at this more valuable prize.

It’s a hot contest, but this lad has loads of boot and won’t mind the quicker ground.

Jamie Moore was unlucky not to win on Ubak at Punchestown yesterday, but this might be one in the onion bag for another of his father’s promising inmates.

Sticking with Sandown Park it looks wise to stick with course specialist Sanctuaire in the Celebration Chase at 2.40pm.

The Paul Nicholls trained seven year old seems to reserve his best for the Esher track, careering away with this race by 17 lengths a year ago.

He’s been no match for Sprinter Sacre in three attempts this season, but with the undisputed heavyweight champ safely tucked up in his box after Tuesday’s Punchestown exhibition, the coast looks clear for Sanctuaire to get back to winning ways at 7/2 with any of bet365, BetVictor, Coral, Ladbrokes or William Hill.

Back here in Punchestown it’s a book of five rides for Ruby Walsh and four for Davy Russell as the former bids to pull off a spectacular smash and grab final day heist on the jockey’s title.

In all likelihood he’ll fall just short, but a couple of a ‘R Walsh’ ridden winners look likely nonetheless…

The prices are nothing to get the juices flowing, but they will be more than acceptable for anyone playing them up in multiples, as 4/6 shot Tarla looks a clear pick in the 2m 2f Grade 1 Mares Hurdle at 4.25pm.

Deep ground is right up her street, Ruby had the pick between her and improving stablemate Glens Melody, plus she has upwards of 10lbs in hand on each of her four rivals on official ratings.

Also in Grade 1 company, the first-time hooded Diakali ought to prove up to netting the AES Champion Four Year Old Hurdle at 5.00pm.

The Triumph Hurdle fourth is only 5/6 with the likes of Coral or William Hill, but with no Our Conor on display he can see off three stablemates plus Stocktons Wing and One Fine Day to take the bragging rights.

After all, he is a course and distance winner who operates on this deep ground.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

1.30 Sandown – bet365 Josh Gifford Handicap Hurdle – 2 Leo Luna (each way) @ 12/1 (bet365, BetVictor, Stan James or Ladbrokes)

2.40 Sandown – bet365.com Celebration Chase – 5 Sanctuaire (win) @ 7/2 (bet365, BetVictor, Coral, Ladbrokes or William Hill)

4.25 Punchestown – ITBA Fillies Scheme EBF Mares Hurdle – 5 Tarla (win) @ 4/6 (general)

5.00 Punchestown – AES Champion Four Year Old Hurdle – 2 Diakali (win) @ 5/6 (Coral or William Hill)

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Posted 5 years, 6 months ago

24 Apr
2013

Klepht-omaniacs In Circulation At Punchestown

A brilliant first day at the 2013 Punchestown Festival was seen by a record crowd of 18,607, with betting turnover in the ring unsurprisingly up on 2012, with a total of €1,136,900 wagered in comparison to €993,454 the previous year.

Plenty of that bumper intake through the turnstiles turned up to see Sprinter Sacre write his name into the history books in the Boylesports Champion Chase, becoming the first horse since Istabraq back in 1999 to complete the Festival treble, with wins at Cheltenham, Aintree and Punchestown in the same season.

Immense stuff; the locals here certainly know a thing or two about horse flesh, and they lapped it up accordingly, with Sprinter Sacre and his connections afforded a heroes welcome.

There was also the sight of a resurgent Jezki getting his revenge for Cheltenham by putting Champagne Fever firmly in his place in the Grade 1 Herald Champion Novice Hurdle, as well as Mount Benbulben finally delivering on his abundant promise to put his stamp on the other Grade 1 on a lucrative card, the Growise Champion Novice Chase.

This afternoon’s sport is no less exciting, with a seven race card kicking off at 3.40pm (live on RTE from 4.00pm).

It’s a tough card for punters, but aside from the feature tote.com Punchestown Gold Cup at 5.30pm there could be an opening in the two and a half mile Guinness Handicap Chase at 6.40pm…

The presence of Ruby Light off a mark of 160 means the rest of the 15 runners get in with under 11 stone, and that could assist the Tom Mullins-trained Klepht in his search for a second career success over fences.

The trainer’s three runners all performed with credit at the meeting yesterday, and his stable appear in good nick.

They didn’t bother with hurdles for this guy, sending him directly over the larger obstacles after four placed efforts in bumpers (also placed in all three Point to Points).

He’s done okay so far in seven tries over fences, winning over 2m 3f at Wexford in October (Good) alongside three placed efforts, the highlight of which was a quality third at Leopardstown in January over 2m 5f (Heavy), in which he had to give plenty of weight to the two that finished ahead of him.

This afternoon he races with just 10st 1lb on his back and Davy Condon up for the first time.

The track ought to suit him, the trip is his optimum, and the ground certainly holds no fears.

In a race that might fall apart his hold up style could lend itself well, and if he is to win again this might be the perfect opportunity.

Nadiya De La Vega looks an obvious danger, but Klepht nonetheless apeals as each way value at 12’s with any of Paddy Power, Stan James, Ladbrokes or William Hill.

Earlier in the day the feature race is the Gold Cup (5.30pm), which despite the absence of Bobs Worth has the makings of a cracker.

Cheltenham Gold Cup second and third Sir Des Champs and Long Run are back for more, Betfred Bowl winner First Lieutenant has posted a string of top notch displays this season, Captain Chris has found his way into the Pricewise column and will love the return to a right-handed track, while Quito De La Roque needs to improve again but has come in for eye-catching each way support overnight.

A very good renewal looks assured, but for me it has to be Sir Des Champs.

Long Run makes mistakes and has nearly three lengths to find on Gold Cup running, First Lieutenant was due a win but has had a string of gruelling races, Captain Chris is held by a nostril by Long Run on King George form, and everything else bar the out of sorts Riverside Theatre has it all to do on the ratings.

Top rated Sir Des Champs on the other hand has had a nice break since Cheltenham, loves Punchestown (won here 12 months ago), comes from a stable who continue to fire in the winners as though they’re going out of fashion, has no concerns about the ground or trip, and has no Bobs Worth to beat.

The bookies are spot on making him favourite, and he can oblige at the 2/1 available with any of Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power or William Hill.

Good luck!

Wednesday best bets at Punchestown:

5.30 – tote.com Punchestown Gold Cup – 8 Sir Des Champs (win) @ 2/1 (Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power or William Hill)

6.40 – Guinness Handicap Steeplechase – 8 Klepht (each way) @ 12/1 (Paddy Power, Stan James, Ladbrokes or William Hill)

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Posted 5 years, 7 months ago

05 May
2011

Form An Orderly ‘Que’ At Punchestow?n’s Payout Window

The advice has to be to keep it simple here at a windswept Punchestown this afternoon, with one of the crown jewels of the Irish National Hunt scene making just her second appearance of the season in the ladbrokes.com World Series Hurdle at 5.30pm, live on RTE1.

I am of course talking about the brilliant Quevega, the hard as nails mare representing champion trainer Willie Mullins (who also saddles Mourad and Mikael D’Haguenet).

For me she represents maximum bet material: she hacked up in this event a year ago, and comes here off the back of an ideal preparation having won her third David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival with contemptuous ease.

On official figures today’s opposition have it all to do, and that’s before you factor in her 5lb mare’s allowance.

There’s no shortage of quality lining up to take her on, but in my mind the likes of Voler La Vedette are playing for places behind a genuine class act.

I’d love to know how much of the evens was available with Totesport or Hills first thing today given that she’s never been matched bigger than 1.99 on Betfair, but the 5/6 available with Totesport remains realistic. Full win bet.

It was a bloodbath for punters here yesterday, with bookmakers euphoric after a run of results they wouldn’t have dared script for fear of being laughed all the way down the Naas road.

It looks like revenge might be a dish best served with lashings of wind and rain thrown in this afternoon though – punters will fancy their chances of benefitting from a few winning favourites, one of which is Charles Byrnes Kerry National winner Alfa Beat in the three mile Naas Court Hotel Handicap Hurdle at 6.05pm.

Off a mark of 117 over hurdles (29lbs lower than his chase mark!) pilot Davy Russell will be confident of clawing one back in the jockey’s title race, though he’s running out of time despite leader Paul Townend’s season ending collarbone injury (Towend leads by five with three days left).

The seven year old fell in the Topham at Aintree last month, but prior to that had been in sizzling form. Track, trip and ground all suit, and at 4/1 with Victor Chandler he rates win bet material.

Also at Punchestown the concluding bumper can go the way of unraced Revoque gelding Saint Gervais for father and son team John and David Kiely.

A steady trickle of cash has seen Ladbrokes cut him from 10/1 to 7/1, a price which should be taken as he’s only 13/2 on the exchanges at the time of writing.

At Goodwood Richard Hannon bloods an exciting looking Acclamation colt Crown Dependency in the six furlong maiden (2.40pm).

The choice of Richard Hughes (stable also run Airborne Again) – he can make a winning debut. Dip your toe in at 3/1 with Coral or Boylesports.

My last bet of the day comes at Newton Abbot where Lucy’s Perfect can build on last week’s firm ground win at Exeter by following up under a seven pound penalty in the 3.05pm.

Due to go up 10 pounds in future races she should make all and win under Johnny Farrelly. Get on at 11/2 with Stan James or Sportingbet.

Good luck!

Thursday’s best bets:

2.40 Goodwood – EBF Goodwood Maiden Stakes – 4 Crown Dependency (win) @ 3/1 (Coral or Boylesports)

3.05 Newton Abbot – Emma Handicap Hurdle – 4 Lucy’s Perfect (win) @ 11/2 (Stan James or Sportingbet)

5.30 Punchestown – Ladbrokes.com World Series Hurdle – 10 Quevega (win) @ 5/6 (Totesport)

6.05 Punchestown – Naas Court Hotel Handicap Hurdle – 21 Alfa Beat (win) @ 4/1 (Victor Chandler)

7.15 Punchestown – Irish Sun INH Flat Race – 16 Saint Gervais (each way) @ 7/1 (Ladbrokes or Boylesports)

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Posted 7 years, 6 months ago

04 May
2011

Super Mario Kempes To Net Guinness Gold Cup

Mario Kempes, the great Argentine striker widely known as El Toro and El Matador during a goal laden career spanning more than 20 years, is represented by his equine namesake Kempes in this afternoon’s Guinness Gold Cup here at Punchestown (5.30pm, Live on RTE1).

Up against the might of Paul Nicholls’ Kauto Star the official ratings say he has it all to do later today, especially in light of his miserable showing in the Gold Cup, the very same Gold Cup where two time winner Kauto Star rolled back the years to run a gallant third to Long Run.

Despite that there’s still plenty of scope to construct an argument for backing him here, even with the likes of Nacarat and Tranquil Sea also jostling for the 96,000 euro first prize.

This is a meeting his trainer Willie Mullins has targeted with surgical precision in recent seasons, bagging 12 winners in both 2009 and 2010, and he was off the mark with Johnny McGeeney yesterday.

Kempes was long though a suspect stayer until he saw off China Rock by 3 lengths at this meeting 12 months ago, over today’s 3m 1f course and distance in the Grade 1 Growise Champion Novice Chase.

That’s the very same China Rock Kauto had to work hard to beat four lengths and a neck at Down Royal in November on his latest trip to Down Royal.

Granted that was his first run of the season, but even so on a line through China Rock there might not be as much between the two horses, one who’s an eight year old in his prime and one who’s a wonderful but gently declining eleven year old, as the eleven pound differentiation of official figures might suggest.

Indeed, Florida Pearl back in 2003 was the last horse older than eight to win the race!

There is something of a leap of faith required here if you view Kempes’ last performance in isolation – he never jumped a twig at Cheltenham and was pulled up before four out. However, Cheltenham is different in that jumping those fences at championship pace often finds horses out – miss one and it’s almost impossible to find a rhythm.

Go back to his previous run and you find a 1 against his name in the Irish Hennessy on ground he’d have hated.

This afternoon’s surface will be much more to his liking – don’t forget as a decent flat horse Kempes won an Ulster Derby on ground officially termed as Firm so we’ve no fears on that score, whereas both Kauto Star and Tranquil Sea would prefer to get their respective toes in a bit more than will be the case here.

So we know Kempes will stay and that he’ll love the ground, but what of bold ten year old grey Nacarat for Tom George and Paddy Brennan? Encouragingly both previous winners of the Totesport Bowl to come on here and run have doubled up, but his best form is undeniably on flatter tracks, and although he’ll relish the ground he did run (and win) at Aintree, whereas Kempes comes here the fresher horse off a 47 day break.

The youngest of the principles, Kempes faces a home game here against rivals who’ve had to make the arduous ferry journey across the Irish sea, and what’s more he’s the one who still has vast scope for improvement if he’s on a going day.

At 7/2 with any of Totesport, Stan James or William Hill I’m backing Kempes to win the Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup.

A little later on in the open looking two and a half mile Guinness Handicap Chase at 6.40pm I’d give an each way squeak to Dessie Hughes’ Lenabane – the nine year old was very highly tried on his introduction to the chasing ranks a couple of years ago, collecting prize money in a pair of Leopardstown Grade 1’s in 2009/10.

Not a prolific winner he has finished in the money on five of his seven career visits to Punchestown, goes on a range of ground, and now makes his handicap chase debut with a lovely low racing weight to shoulder.

Said to be working well he comes back from a long break as a horse who has gone well fresh here in the past, plus is a course winner over fences.

At 20/1 I’ll be having a small slice of the action each way with Stan James.

Over at Chester Channel 4 kick off their coverage of the three day May extravaganza on the Roodee, and I’m firmly in the Overturn camp for the feature race at 2.55pm.

Handed a plum draw in stall 1 local trainer Donald McCain can add yet another big race to his rapidly expanding cv, as his heart on the sleeve front runner bids to add another big flat handicap to last summer’s Northumberland Plate win at Newcastle.

Good luck!

Wednesday’s best bets:

2.55 Chester – totesport.com Chester Cup H’cap – 9 Overturn (win) @ 5/1 (Bet365, Sportingbet or Stan James)

5.30 Punchestown – Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup – 3 Kempes (win) @ 7/2 (Totesport, Stan James or William Hill)

6.40 Punchestown – Guinness Handicap Chase – 9 Lenabane (each way) @ 20/1 (Stan James)

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Posted 7 years, 6 months ago

05 Mar
2010

Cheltenham Festival Countdown: Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

With the Cheltenham Festival fast approaching, Tom is busy fine tuning which selections he will be posting as tips for the various Cheltenham Races which will appear on this site from Monday 15th March, in time for the first day of the 2010 meeting. However, it never ceases to amaze us here at Betting Directory just how hungry people are for the Cheltenham Festival and we are already seeing huge numbers of people searching for tips and advice ahead of the Festival. Over the space of the next week, we are going to providing our readers with a preview to some of the Festival’s more popular races; looking at who the leading contenders are, where the money has been going in the market and unearthing some trends that may point you in the direction of finding that winner that may not have previously been on your shortlist. We’re going to start with the Cheltenham Festival curtain raiser, the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

The only guarantee with the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle is that the start of the race will receive the biggest cheer of the Festival as the tapes go up to signal the start of four days and 26 top class races. However, the betting for the 2010 renewal of the Supreme Novice’s suggests that there is another guarantee in the race, in the form of Dunguib, the long time favourite. The Philip Fenton trained runner has been at the head of the betting for this race since running away to a ten length victory in the Champion Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival 12 months ago and anybody who took the 6/1 with Boylesports about the Irish Raider winning the Supreme Novices’ immediately after that victory will be clearly identifiable from the size of their smile!

Dunguib’s price has only headed in one direction after each of  his subsequent five wins from five starts and the odds against soon evaporated following his Grade 1 Deloitte Hurlde win at Leopardstown in February. He is now a best price 4/5 with Bet365, Ladbrokes and Sportingbet with other firms as short as 4/6 and could well go off as the shortest priced favourite in this race in ever! Anybody looking for a bigger price and isn’t bothered about waiting 12 months could do worse than back Dunguib to win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle this year and the Champion Hurdle in 2011 at 8/1 with Bet365, a price that will surely look massive if he does win in the manner many are expecting.

Favourites haven’t  fared too well in this race in recent years, with only four of the last 20 jollies obliging but the question remains have any been as good as Dunguib? His trip over the Irish Sea bodes well though with seven winners in the past nine years trained in Ireland. However, it must be remembered that bar his debut run, this horse has yet to come under pressure and has not been asked any question on a racecourse. This is more than likely because he’s top class and everything points towards him cruising to victory at Prestbury on the 16th March but at the price, many punters will be keen to know what the alternatives have to offer.

The springer in the market has been the Jonjo O’Neil trained runner, Get Me Out of Here, whose odds were slashed from 25/1 into 8/1 following his win in the Totesport Trophy Hurdle at Newbury in February. This unbeaten six year old is clearly a horse on the upgrade and could well pose a big threat to Dunguib if improving again but the fact that this will be his first run at Cheltenham does raise a big question mark to answer.

Oscar Whiskey is another runner with a similar profile to Get Me Out of Here, an unbeaten youngster that has improved with every run. However, he would need to find a big improvement on what he has already shown if he is to win on his first start at Cheltenham and trainer Nicky Henderson may have to wait a little longer for his first win in this race since 1992.

Blackstairmountain looks the pick of the remainding Irish runners and trainer, Willie Mullins, could well throw a spanner in the works of  his fellow countryman, Philip Fenton’s, bid to win this race with Dunguib. Whilst far from consistent in his Bumper runs last season, when he did put his best foot forward, Blackstairmountain won well and the same seems evident this season over Hurdles. His latest outing came at Punchestown in Januray, where at the third time of asking, the penny finally dropped over obstacles and he ran away to an easy victory. If he can replicate that kind of form in the Supreme Novices’ then he stands a chance and is still available at 14/1 with Victor Chandler and Stan James. The other Willie Mullins runner is Flat Out (currently 25/1), who has looked impressive on both his (winning) starts over hurdles and is sure to go on to better things. It will no doubt be the decision of jockey Ruby Walsh of which of this pair he decides to take the mount on which will  determine where the money goes come day one of the Cheltenham Festival but the ultimate question is can Dunguib be beaten?

2010 Supreme Novices Hurdle Odds Comparison

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Posted 8 years, 8 months ago

27 Jul
2009

Galway Festival Tips – Monday 27th July

Fifty Two weeks of waiting are over and the assault on the senses, which is the Galway races are back!

The opening race at 5:10, a two mile Novice Hurdle, can fall to the ever powerful Willie Mullins & Ruby Walsh combination courtesy of Tarkari, available at a best priced 5/1 with Boylesports.

Bet £20 Get £20 Free when you Open an account at Boylesports this week for Galway & Goodwood

Given the testing conditions (which should suit Tarkari far more than several of today’s rivals), a drop back in trip should be ideal.
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Posted 9 years, 3 months ago

01 May
2009

Quevaga Just Champion in Punchestown Feature

A meeting which has seen Willie Mullins sweep all before him could be about to get even better as star mare Quevaga lines up for Punchestown’s Champion Hurdle at 5:30pm.

The run away winner of the David Nicholson Mares’ Hurlde at the Cheltenham Festival steps up to tackle Champion Hurdle winner Punjabi on home turf.

The sparkling form of her stable (who literally can do know wrong at this meeting so far) allied to her 5lb Mares allowance together with her ability to hand testing under foot conditions  means she looks a cracking bet at 2/1at Totesport.

Don’t forget the line of form from Auteuil last Summer which places her very close together with Hurricane Fly, now as short as 3/1 favourite for the 2010 Champion Hurdle.

Meanwhile, at Lingfield, get on the much improved Sehoy at 2/1 with ladbrokes in the ‘lucky last’ at 5:35.

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Posted 9 years, 6 months ago

09 Jan
2009

Pierse the bookies with a winner at Leopardstown!?

I’m off to Ireland to see a maximum field of 30 go to post for the big race of weekend in the shape of Leopardstown’s Pierse Hurdle (2.20pm Sunday), and it could well pay to side with an improving youngster at the foot of the weights.

You’re going to need a healthy dollop of lady luck having a bet in a race of this nature, but boost your chances by picking a horse and importantly a jockey with the nous and experience to navigate their way through the choppy waters of a rough and tumble big field handicap.

Well backed horses in the feature event so far this week include Tony Martin’s Psycho (at least joint favourite in every bookmaker’s list), Jessie Harrington’s Alpine Eagle, and Michael Hourigan’s Dancing Tornado.

All are well weighted since Newmill’s declaration has compressed the weights, and all three have plenty going for them, but the one I really like is Willie Mullins’ Imperial Hills at a tempting 10/1 each way with Paddy Power.

A penalty puts the tongue-tied five-year-old smack in on 10 stone proper, and the impression he created when winning a competitive 19-runner race over course and distance on the Sunday of the Christmas meeting was more than favourable.

Mullins’ horses are on fire at present, and although the form of his win that day gives the second horse Fen Game a cracking chance now he has a handy pull at the weights, I’m confident Imperial Hills is improving at a fast enough race to play a big hand in this.

Paul Townend’s win on Indian Pace in the Galway Hurdle was a typical display of assurance from a young jockey going places, and the fact he retains the mount on Imperial Hills can only be a bonus.

The other horse on the card who merits close attention is Tom Taaffe’s Finger On the Pulse; who lines up in the Leopardstown’s Handicap Chase at 1.45pm.

The weather ruled out a his latest Cheltenham tilt at the Boylesports meeting before Christmas, but the Jewson Novices’ Handicap Chase winner at the Cheltenham Festival back in March ran a solid race behind the Noland at Down Royal in November, and aided by the fact Mister Top Notch runs to keep the weights down, he can get his name on the scoresheet in this weaker race.

The price won’t be anything spectacular (expect around 2/1), but with a revitalised Barry Geraghty doing the steering he has a great chance of gracing the winner’s enclosure.

Good luck!

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Posted 9 years, 10 months ago

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