Archive for the ‘ Horse Racing ’ Category

31 Oct
2008

Check The State of Play before betting on the Charlie Hall Chase

This is one of my all-time favourite weekend’s of the National Hunt season, bringing with it a race which has been kind to me down the years, in the shape of the bet365 Charlie Hall Chase.

A small but select band of hardened chasers going at it hammer and tongs for 3m 1f around Wetherby’s left-handed galloping track – what more could you ask for on a Saturday afternoon? Predictably it’s a no show for War Of Attrition who’ll continue the comeback trail on more forgiving ground, but no matter, it’s got more than enough key characters to make it a cracker.

Favourite with the sponsors is none other than Ollie Magern, already a two-time winner of this race in 2005 and 2007, the 10-year-old is something of a cult figure at Nigel Twiston-Davies’s Gloucestershire base, and a big favourite of mine having paid for my holidays last winter with a bold display in this very race.

No doubt about it he is a star, and they’ll raise the roof if he can make it three, and there’ll be plenty willing to take the 11/4 with the Twiston-Davies team in such rich form, but since he’s lugging a 10lb penalty around this year I’ve a suspicion it might be time to etch another name on the trophy.

No, not Manchester City, and not Turko either, as while I do believe the six-year-old can mature into a top rank staying chaser as the season progresses, the youngest horse in the field might have to give best to a more experienced rival. It’s also worth pointing out he pulled up in this event last season, and having ended up on the deck in the National last time out, we’ll look elsewhere.

Plenty of punters will be happy to snap up an each way friendly price of 6/1 about the winner of another bet365 sponsored race, in the form of veteran Monkerhostin, third in this race 12 months back, and who keeps finding a happy excuse to postpone his retirement at just the right time – proven by his 25/1 win in the old Whitbread Gold Cup back in April. A wind op saw return him to best effect that day, but that was in a race that’s becoming something of a back-number among the top chases, and I think we’ll oppose him with a horse who has form at the track, and loves nothing better than returning to the job after a lengthy holiday.

With those clues I’m sure it’ll come as no surprise that the horse carrying my hard-earned will be Evan Williams’ 2006 Hennessy winner State Of Play – a totally different proposition when he’s a fresh horse, and a decent second in the race 12 months ago.

This strapping eight-year-old son of Hernando was sent off favourite here last year, and showed a liking for the track which this time around could well provide his first win for two years, especially since this season he can re-opposes Ollie Magern a mighty 16lb better off. State Of Play is reported to be a stronger horse this year, and having summered well, this race can provide the launch pad for a more consistent campaign. Yes, his 2007/08 form beyond the Charlie Hall was nothing to yell about, but he’s got so much going for him heading into this race, with ground on the quick side of good unlikely to harm his chances, and the Williams stable firing in the winners from all angles, I’m happy to take a slice of the 7/2 on offer at <>a href=”http://www.betting-directory.com/bookmaker-bet365.php”>bet365.com.

Tom’s Weekend Tip
3:35 Wetherby (Saturday) State of Play to win @ 7/2

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

30 Oct
2008

Predateur Expected to take advantage of his prey at Startford

Predateur hasn’t been without his problems in his short career, but a summer to iron out the creases is reported to have done him the world of good, and this Paul nicholls trained horse can take the Beginners’ Chase at 1.50pm with Sam Thomas doing the steering. He is 11/8 with a Ladbrokes.

Ladbokres Free Bet – Claim £25 when you open a new account today.

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

30 Oct
2008

Good Karma Expected at Newcastle on Thursday

The word from the West Yorkshire stable of trainer Sue Smith is that the unraced six-year-old Karmadice can get competitive in this afternoon’s Conditional Jockeys’ Maiden Bumper at Newcastle at 3.30pm.

A brother to bumper winner Minster Missile and out of a Mandalus mare Manietta who also won a bumper – connections report he’s in great form ahead of his racecourse debut and can make the frame at a generous each way price of 9/1 with SportingBet.

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

24 Oct
2008

Breeders Cup Preview

What a weekend in store! Top class racing of every discipline everywhere you look, and punters with an eye on the European invasion of the Breeders’ Cup will be itching to get started later on Friday night.

The big antepost gamble of the meeting so far has seen Bobby Frankel’s Ventura halved in price by all the firms over the last couple of days (generally 5/1 from 10/1 but as short as 7/2 in places) for Friday evening’s Filly & Mare Sprint, and her speed played late on could well put the bookmakers 1-0 down, but we’ll wait for Saturday for a couple of decent chances:

One of those is US Ranger, sent over by Aidan O’Brien for the Breeders’ Cup Mile (8.15pm Saturday) and each-way at 12/1 with bet365 and Blue Square (bigger on the American Tote) he can make the frame at a tasty price.

Obvious dangers include French-trained short-priced jolly Goldikova, winner of her last three after twice running into the roadblock which is Zarkava, plus last year’s winner Kip Deville, but at their likely short prices we’ll shop elsewhere.

As I mentioned above US Ranger will go off at a monster price on the American Tote, so it may pay to wait and take the local price as year-on-year we see the ‘away team’ available at hugely inflated odds.

What’s in his favour? He might be tricky to win with, but he’s been knocking on the door in a heap of top races, and could well appreciate the step up in trip on a track that could bring out the best of him, with tight bends and an emphasis on a speed finish which could well see the four-year-old son of Danzig in the shake-up.

Also on the Turf track Eagle Mountain can give South African master trainer Mike de Kock a long overdue Breeders’ Cup success in the aptly named Breeders’ Cup Turf (11pm Sat); out injured for 12 months after running second to Literato in the 2007 Champion Stakes, he bounced back on his first run for de Kock at the first time of asking at Newmarket’s Cambridgeshire meeting to take the Group 3 Joel Stakes.

The word is that winning re-appearance has done him a world of good, and at a standout 6/1 he rates a cracking each-way prospect with Ladbrokes.

A quick word about the all-weather surface: Santa Anita’s synthetic ‘Pro-Ride’ track is likely to ride on the fast side, and we should see a successful trip for several European raiders, with underfoot conditions likely to inconvenience many of them far less than the dirt they would otherwise have encountered.

The chief beneficiary of which could be Henrythenavigator. The Breeders’ Cup Classic (11.45pm) looks set to be a corker, and he can punish a generous quote of 8/1 from both Blue Square and Sporting Bet.

A four-time Group 1 winner including both the English and Irish Guineas, St James’s Palace and Sussex Stakes in consecutive races, the obvious concern is he has never raced over further than a mile, but let’s not forget it wasn’t many moons ago he was being talked about as a potential Derby horse, and the race could be run to suit.

He loves firm ground, and sees his races out like a runaway train, and in my book ‘Henry’ looks a far more attractive each-way investment at the current prices than reigning champ Curlin, who has looked as if his ‘powers’ could be on the wane in recent appearances.
The stats are miserable for horses returning to the race after having previously been placed in it, and we’ll row in with ‘Henry’ at a value price to at least make the frame.

Breeders Cup Tips

Breeders Cup Mile Odds Comparison – US Ranger (each-way).
Live Breeders Cup Turf Betting Odds – Eagle Mountain (each-way).
Latest Breeders Cup Classic Odds – Henrythenavigator (each-way).

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

24 Oct
2008

Money to be made on Cheltenham Contenders at Aintree

It might five months away, but for a couple of horses prominenet in antepost lists, the road to Cheltenham starts at Aintree tomorrow, and with the big battalions heading for the North West, I’m looking forward to seeing Tatenen make a much-anticipated chasing debut in the Intercasino.co.uk Molyneux Novices’ Chase at 1.35pm.

Long talked about by Paul Nicholls as his possible 2009 Cheltenham Festival Arkle Chase horse, this sturdy classic jumping type gets a handy four-year-old allowance in a field of just five.

He was deliberately put away with the 08/09 campaign in mind after Festival trials day back in January, and can put his rivals to the sword at the first time of asking over the larger obstacles.

His price won’t be anything to write home about, but the 16/1 Arkle quote with Coral could look generous come Saturday night.

On Sunday it’s the turn of another star Ditcheat resident to strut his stuff as Pierrot Lunaire launches his campaign in the Intercasino.co.uk Four Year Old Hurdle at 2.40pm.

They way he routed a decent field over course and distance in the Class 1 Littlewoods Direct Imagine Appeal Top Novices’ Hurdle back in April was especially impressive, and the fast, flat, left-handed track suits him to a tee.

This race looks a two horse race on paper, and although Squadron has the benefit of a recent run (behind current Champion Hurdle 3rd favourite Crack Away Jack at Chepstow), plus being burdened with 4lb less than his rival after winning a Class 2 at Cheltenham in April, he wasted valuable ground by jumping to his right last time out, and may again run into one too good in Pierrot Lunaire.

A word of caution though for anyone considering snaffling a bit of the 14/1 with VCBet for the Champion Hurdle – all his best form has come on flat tracks, and others make more appeal in the current antepost list.

Weekend Bets

Saturday 25th October
Tatenen 1:35 Aintree

Sunday 26th October
Pierrot Lunaire 2:40 Aintree

Antepost Bet
Tatenen in the Arkle 16/1 with Coral.co.uk

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

23 Oct
2008

Scots Dragon looks set to get the Weekend off to a flying start

My visits to Fakenham are none too frequent, but a trip to the Norfolk track is a necessity tomorrow to watch Scots Dragoon take his chance in the Geoff Hubbard Memorial Novices’ Chase at 3.50pm.

The six-year-old son on 1997 St Leger winner Silver Patriarch has made a handy transition to fences, winning on just his third time up at Huntingdon 10 days ago, and he can continue the winning thread against just five rivals, all of whom have question marks against them.

Expect regular pilot Felix de Giles to make plenty of use of him dropping back in trip, tactics which can see him continue the winning habit.

The Nicky Henderson stable are in good nick after winning the Cesarewitch with Caracciola on Saturday, while de Giles booted home First Point in a handicap hurdle at Ludlow on Thursday to put a smile on the face of the Seven Barrows handler.

The best odds available on Scots Dragon in the morning are Evens, generally available, although, backing at either Stan James, Paddy Power or Bet365 is recommended as they all offer best odds guaranteed on all races.

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

23 Oct
2008

Shining Gale can blow away Ludlow rivals

At Ludlow this afternoon (Thursday 23rd October) Shining Gale, a horse connections were suggesting could be a future Sun Alliance type at the Cheltenham Festival, less than 12 months ago, looks the best bet on the card in the Beginners’ Chase at 2.55pm. A maiden hurdle winner at Fontwell in January -this strapping son of Glacial Storm travels like a dream, and anyone concerned why he stopped as if shot in his final two appearances will be relieved to learn a summer wind operation is said to have solved the ills which were preventing him seeing out his races. SportingBet are best price about this selection and the 11/4 looks a decent investment.

WON

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

21 Oct
2008

Expect Kosmos Bleu to go well at Exeter

It’s been tipping it down for the last 24 hours at Exeter, but one horse who’s got plenty of form on soft ground is Robert & Sally Alner’s 10-year-old Kosmos Bleu, who can be backed each way with a view to making the frame at the very least in the 2m 3f H’Cap Hurdle at 4.10pm this afternoon. The defection of overnight favourite Dalyan Dancer makes the race a whole lot more attractive as a betting medium, and on a day that threatens to become a Paul Nicholls benefit with Gullible Gordon, Pasco & The Tother One all well backed favourites on the card, the tongue-tied Kosmos Bleu has a great chance to net his first win over the smaller obstacles with fit-again Andrew Thornton doing the steering. Back to form when second at Stratford last time, the form of that race has been boosted by Avant Gardiste (3rd that day) winning next time up at Towcester (beating subsequent Cheltenham winner Leamington Lad), and at 6/1 each way with William Hill, fresh from a break on a track where he ran some good races over hurdles as a novice, Kosmos Bleu is the selection.

WON at 8/1

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

17 Oct
2008

Laddies Poker Two Not Expected to be a Flop at Newmarket

Laddies Poker Two is the bet of the day on the opening day of the two day Championship Meeting at Newmarket. This three year old filly owned by bookmaker Ladbrokes has made an impressive start to her racing career and particularly impressed at Ascot last time out, where her win suggest she has more to offer. She is a best price 6/4 with Paddy Power to win the 4:20 and is well worth a bet.

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Posted 9 years, 9 months ago

17 Oct
2008

Cheltenham Card Offers Nap of the Day

For fans of jumps racing, the best racing  of the day comes from Cheltenham’s brilliant seven race card. Always a good sign that the jumps season is just around the corner.

We’ll hold fire ‘til 4.35pm and the Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle in which the rising star of the weighing room Harry Skelton can boot home Font to earn us a few quid.

The five-year-old Sadler’s Wells gelding was a fair horse at up to a mile and a half for James Fanshawe on the level, but it took a while for the penny to drop over hurdles ‘til he won comfortably at Wincanton at the beginning of this season. Reasonably weighted, and with the tongue-tie re-applied, the word is he has progressed nicely following a short summer holiday, and will love the likely hundred mile an hour pace which usually ensues in these type of races, using his Flat speed to good effect.

Cheltenham Saturday 18th October

4:35 – Font to win. Take an early price with Bet365 who offer best odds guaranteed on all races.

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Posted 9 years, 9 months ago

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