Archive for the ‘ Jumps ’ Category

13 Nov
2008

All Aboard the QEII

Well almost! This column has struck gold with some nice bumper winners in recent times, and the good run can continue with Sue Smith’s Quwetwo well fancied to be in the shake up in Newcastle’s maiden bumper at 3.45pm on Friday.
 
Likely to be a rewarding each way price (8/1 on Betfair at the time of writing), the five-year-old made a pleasing debut at Southwell back in April when fourth in a well contested affair, and the word from the Sue Smith camp is that this son of Karinga Bay is a winner waiting to happen.
 
Certain to be suited by a stiffer test of stamina, and with the stable banging in the winners, the advice is an each way investment on Quwetwo.

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

07 Nov
2008

Jump To It For A Profitable Weekend

While I’ll be enjoying the end of season party atmosphere on Town Moor – some 200 miles south west a key fixture in the National Hunt calendar will be cranking up at Wincanton.

I love a good day out at the Somerset venue, a proper old-fashioned galloping track with big stiff fences and a clued-up crowd who know their racing. That and the sight of numerous pairs of red and custard cords being proudly sported by the local fashionistas.

Just five go to post for a valuable pot at 2.50pm for the Totetentofollow Elite Hurdle, and I’m keen to take on the Champion Hurdler Katchit, who has a stiff task trying to concede a stone and more to some useful rivals.

Perhaps the ground was a little quicker than he’d have preferred when beaten by Snap Tie at Kempton last time, and he’s sure to improve for his first outing of the new season, but he’ll have to be right at the top of his game to get the better of some of these, including Paul Nicholls’ promising French recruit Takeroc, who finished second to Border Castle in Ayr’s Scottish Champion Hurdle when last seen back in April.

Takeroc may be seen to even better effect when allowed to concentrate solely on his chasing career, and I’m going to by-pass him in favour of having a couple of quid one of my favourite horses in training, popular dual-purpose campaigner Blythe Knight.

Nicely weighted, fit from the Flat, he has no problems regarding ground or trip, and trainer John Quinn and jockey Dougie Costello teamed up to win this in 2006 with 9/2 shot Crow Wood. I won’t be going all out, as despite the small field it’s a race to savour, but at around 7/1 with the bookmaker Paddy Power he can spring a minor surprise here, and add to a career tally which already includes big race hurdling success at Aintree, plus on the level a win and a second in the Lincoln, a key listed race at Chester, plus successive victories in Epsom’s Diomed Stakes.

The next race on the card is the Badger Ales Trophy Handicap Chase at 3.25pm, a race in which there are question marks about plenty of the main protagonists.

Once again I’m keen to take on the favourite, which looks likely to be Paul Nicholls’ Leading Attraction; this is only the seven-year-olds fifth racecourse appearance, and he’s going to need all Ruby Walsh’s experience to guide him around these challenging fences if his jumping at Taunton back in April is anything to go by.

With that in mind, I’m happy to look to the bottom of the weights and a young horse with a big future; Tom George’s Island Flyer.

At likely odds of 11/2 with Ladbrokes he’s a progressive type, unbeaten over fences, and a danger to all off his light weight. A former Irish point-to-point winner, he can continue to improve after his summer break, and with Paddy Brennan continuing the partnership he can maintain his winning sequence.

Finally, there’s also a decent card at Sandown, and word reaches me that Alan King’s new boy Bensalem is considered way above average, and can take a hand in the concluding bumper at 4.05pm.

Tom’s Wincanton & Sandown Tips

  • 2:50 Wincanton (Saturday) Blythe Knight to win @ best morning price
  • 3:25 Wincanton (Saturday) Island Flyer to win @ best morning price
  • 4:05 Sandown (Saturday) Bensalem to win @ best morning price

Compare bookmakers offers for these horse racing tips

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

06 Nov
2008

It Looks Rosy For Alflora

I’m a big fan of the offspring of Alflora and it’ll be no surprise if Alflora Dora can renew my membership in the fan club by winning the Mares’ Bumper at Haydock later today (4.10pm).
 
Good things are expected of the four-year-old by the Alan King team, and she showed more than enough when fourth in a field of 20 on her debut to suggest she can snag a bumper before progressing to a fruitful hurdling career.
 
The 5/2 generally available, including Ladbrokes, is a fair price.

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

06 Nov
2008

Rival Bidder to continue Upward Curve at Haydock

Sue Smith’s Rival Bidder can step up from his recent Soutwell romp to net the 1.10 Taylormade Betting Conditional Jockeys’ H’cap Hurdle at Haydock Park this afternoon.

A course & distance winner in his novice days the 11-year-old can make up for lost time (he endured 18 months on the sidelines due to injury) by obliging at odds of 7/2 (with Bet365) on fast-ish ground he loves.

Improving pilot Gary Rutherford’s 8lb claim leaves Rival Bidder to shoulder a meagre 10st 1lb & he can take full advantage.

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

05 Nov
2008

Kauto Star Odds Shorten in Haydock and Cheltenham Antepost Markets

The odds on kauto Star to win the Betfair Chase on the 22nd November are as short as 1/2 with Bluesq follwing his impressive win at Down Royal last weekend. The Paul Nicholls trained eight year old has won the first leg of the Betfair Million for the past two years and he is rightly warm order to make it a hat trick of wins in the race.

The manner in which he won last time out would suggest that he is somewhere close to the type of form he showed when winning the Cheltenham Gold Cup in 2007. He currently sits second, behind stablemate and current Gold Cup winner, Denman, in the betting for the 2009 renewal at best odds of 3/1 with Stan James, who have also shortened his odds about a third successive King George victory at Kempton on Boxing Day (5/6 from 10/11).

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

31 Oct
2008

Check The State of Play before betting on the Charlie Hall Chase

This is one of my all-time favourite weekend’s of the National Hunt season, bringing with it a race which has been kind to me down the years, in the shape of the bet365 Charlie Hall Chase.

A small but select band of hardened chasers going at it hammer and tongs for 3m 1f around Wetherby’s left-handed galloping track – what more could you ask for on a Saturday afternoon? Predictably it’s a no show for War Of Attrition who’ll continue the comeback trail on more forgiving ground, but no matter, it’s got more than enough key characters to make it a cracker.

Favourite with the sponsors is none other than Ollie Magern, already a two-time winner of this race in 2005 and 2007, the 10-year-old is something of a cult figure at Nigel Twiston-Davies’s Gloucestershire base, and a big favourite of mine having paid for my holidays last winter with a bold display in this very race.

No doubt about it he is a star, and they’ll raise the roof if he can make it three, and there’ll be plenty willing to take the 11/4 with the Twiston-Davies team in such rich form, but since he’s lugging a 10lb penalty around this year I’ve a suspicion it might be time to etch another name on the trophy.

No, not Manchester City, and not Turko either, as while I do believe the six-year-old can mature into a top rank staying chaser as the season progresses, the youngest horse in the field might have to give best to a more experienced rival. It’s also worth pointing out he pulled up in this event last season, and having ended up on the deck in the National last time out, we’ll look elsewhere.

Plenty of punters will be happy to snap up an each way friendly price of 6/1 about the winner of another bet365 sponsored race, in the form of veteran Monkerhostin, third in this race 12 months back, and who keeps finding a happy excuse to postpone his retirement at just the right time – proven by his 25/1 win in the old Whitbread Gold Cup back in April. A wind op saw return him to best effect that day, but that was in a race that’s becoming something of a back-number among the top chases, and I think we’ll oppose him with a horse who has form at the track, and loves nothing better than returning to the job after a lengthy holiday.

With those clues I’m sure it’ll come as no surprise that the horse carrying my hard-earned will be Evan Williams’ 2006 Hennessy winner State Of Play – a totally different proposition when he’s a fresh horse, and a decent second in the race 12 months ago.

This strapping eight-year-old son of Hernando was sent off favourite here last year, and showed a liking for the track which this time around could well provide his first win for two years, especially since this season he can re-opposes Ollie Magern a mighty 16lb better off. State Of Play is reported to be a stronger horse this year, and having summered well, this race can provide the launch pad for a more consistent campaign. Yes, his 2007/08 form beyond the Charlie Hall was nothing to yell about, but he’s got so much going for him heading into this race, with ground on the quick side of good unlikely to harm his chances, and the Williams stable firing in the winners from all angles, I’m happy to take a slice of the 7/2 on offer at <>a href=”http://www.betting-directory.com/bookmaker-bet365.php”>bet365.com.

Tom’s Weekend Tip
3:35 Wetherby (Saturday) State of Play to win @ 7/2

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

30 Oct
2008

Predateur Expected to take advantage of his prey at Startford

Predateur hasn’t been without his problems in his short career, but a summer to iron out the creases is reported to have done him the world of good, and this Paul nicholls trained horse can take the Beginners’ Chase at 1.50pm with Sam Thomas doing the steering. He is 11/8 with a Ladbrokes.

Ladbokres Free Bet – Claim £25 when you open a new account today.

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

30 Oct
2008

Good Karma Expected at Newcastle on Thursday

The word from the West Yorkshire stable of trainer Sue Smith is that the unraced six-year-old Karmadice can get competitive in this afternoon’s Conditional Jockeys’ Maiden Bumper at Newcastle at 3.30pm.

A brother to bumper winner Minster Missile and out of a Mandalus mare Manietta who also won a bumper – connections report he’s in great form ahead of his racecourse debut and can make the frame at a generous each way price of 9/1 with SportingBet.

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

24 Oct
2008

Money to be made on Cheltenham Contenders at Aintree

It might five months away, but for a couple of horses prominenet in antepost lists, the road to Cheltenham starts at Aintree tomorrow, and with the big battalions heading for the North West, I’m looking forward to seeing Tatenen make a much-anticipated chasing debut in the Intercasino.co.uk Molyneux Novices’ Chase at 1.35pm.

Long talked about by Paul Nicholls as his possible 2009 Cheltenham Festival Arkle Chase horse, this sturdy classic jumping type gets a handy four-year-old allowance in a field of just five.

He was deliberately put away with the 08/09 campaign in mind after Festival trials day back in January, and can put his rivals to the sword at the first time of asking over the larger obstacles.

His price won’t be anything to write home about, but the 16/1 Arkle quote with Coral could look generous come Saturday night.

On Sunday it’s the turn of another star Ditcheat resident to strut his stuff as Pierrot Lunaire launches his campaign in the Intercasino.co.uk Four Year Old Hurdle at 2.40pm.

They way he routed a decent field over course and distance in the Class 1 Littlewoods Direct Imagine Appeal Top Novices’ Hurdle back in April was especially impressive, and the fast, flat, left-handed track suits him to a tee.

This race looks a two horse race on paper, and although Squadron has the benefit of a recent run (behind current Champion Hurdle 3rd favourite Crack Away Jack at Chepstow), plus being burdened with 4lb less than his rival after winning a Class 2 at Cheltenham in April, he wasted valuable ground by jumping to his right last time out, and may again run into one too good in Pierrot Lunaire.

A word of caution though for anyone considering snaffling a bit of the 14/1 with VCBet for the Champion Hurdle – all his best form has come on flat tracks, and others make more appeal in the current antepost list.

Weekend Bets

Saturday 25th October
Tatenen 1:35 Aintree

Sunday 26th October
Pierrot Lunaire 2:40 Aintree

Antepost Bet
Tatenen in the Arkle 16/1 with Coral.co.uk

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

23 Oct
2008

Scots Dragon looks set to get the Weekend off to a flying start

My visits to Fakenham are none too frequent, but a trip to the Norfolk track is a necessity tomorrow to watch Scots Dragoon take his chance in the Geoff Hubbard Memorial Novices’ Chase at 3.50pm.

The six-year-old son on 1997 St Leger winner Silver Patriarch has made a handy transition to fences, winning on just his third time up at Huntingdon 10 days ago, and he can continue the winning thread against just five rivals, all of whom have question marks against them.

Expect regular pilot Felix de Giles to make plenty of use of him dropping back in trip, tactics which can see him continue the winning habit.

The Nicky Henderson stable are in good nick after winning the Cesarewitch with Caracciola on Saturday, while de Giles booted home First Point in a handicap hurdle at Ludlow on Thursday to put a smile on the face of the Seven Barrows handler.

The best odds available on Scots Dragon in the morning are Evens, generally available, although, backing at either Stan James, Paddy Power or Bet365 is recommended as they all offer best odds guaranteed on all races.

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Posted 9 years, 8 months ago

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