Archive for the ‘ football ’ Category

17 Aug
2018

In A Liga Of Its Own…(17 & 20 Aug)

Spanish football’s elite top flight, La Liga, is undoubtedly the dominant force in European football in recent times, providing seven of the last 10 finalists in the Champions League, as well as seven of the last 10 winners.

What’s more, Atlético Madrid’s win after extra time in Tallinn on Wednesday night means nine of the last 10 European Super Cups have gone to a Spanish side, in a period where a stunning 21 of the 30 available European trophies, Champions League, Europa League and Super Cup, have headed in the same direction.

Enthused by a domestic league bursting with quality and rivalry, the Sportsman’s Tom Lee, a regular visitor to Spain and its football grounds, takes a weekly look at the best bets on the fixture list…

So, the slate is wiped clean, Barcelona have come through a tricky test against Sevilla in Tangiers to take the Supercopa, while Atleti were stunning in overcoming capital city rivals Real in Estonia, meaning it’s time to get down to business in La Liga with an opening round of fixtures spread over four days.

Girona and newly promoted Valladolid get the ball rolling in the early kick-off on Friday night, but it’s the fixture immediately afterwards which most captures the imagination, as last season’s free-scoring entertainers Real Betis welcome Levante to Andalusia (9.15pm).

Levante have historically struggled to score against Betis in the Benito Villamarin, a predicament that won’t be helped by having lost star man Jefferson Lerma to Bournemouth, although the incoming €28m will have helped soften that particular blow.

Betis for their part have looked sharp in pre-season and can hit the ground running here.

The likes of Loren Moron, Sergio Canales and Ryad Boudebouz will all fancy their chances of opening their account tonight, so the bet looks to be Betis to be ahead at half-time which is a 6/5 or 5/4 chance, depending on where you shop around.

Fast forward 72 hours and Monday night (7.00pm) has a major early season treat in the form of Valencia at home to Atleti in the Mestalla.

The Europa League winners clearly have more quality than the hosts, even though they’ll be wary of one of their own until earlier this week, Kevin Gameiro, coming back to haunt them after his €17m transfer east.

Simeone has stayed, Griezmann has stayed, Oblak has stayed, Godin has stayed, plus you have fresh faces incoming with the likes of Thomas Lemar from Monaco, Rodri (to replace Gabi) from Villarreal, plus Gelson Martins and Nikola Kalinic.

Some squad, full of confidence after destroying Marseille in Lyon in May and then seeing off their bitter rivals on Wednesday night, but this will be a very tough reintroduction to domestic football, and they’ll have to work very, very hard to get the job done.

I like the idea of this being all square at the break, an even money chance. After all, the equivalent fixture ended 0-0 last September.

It’s great to be back. Good luck!

This weekend’s best bets in La Liga:

9.15pm Fri – Real Betis v Levante – Betis to be winning at half time @ 5/4

7.00pm Mon – Valencia v Atlético Madrid – Draw at half-time @ Evs

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Posted 4 days, 11 hours ago

22 Jun
2018

Friday’s Best Bets from Ascot & The World Cup

Ascot Best Bet
15:40 – Sioux Nation @ 7/2 with Paddy Power
16:20 – Alpha Centauri @ 3/1 with Paddy Power

Nigeria v Iceland

Iceland (draw no bet) @ 3/4 with Paddy Power

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Posted 2 months ago

21 Jun
2018

Royal Ascot & World Cup Predictions – Thursday, 21st June

Australia, draw no bet (versus Denmark) @ 7/4 with Paddy Power

Croatia, draw no bet (versus Argentina) @ 31/20 with Paddy Power

4:20, Ascot Gold Cup – Stradivarious @ 15/8 with Paddy Power

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Posted 2 months ago

15 Jun
2018

Friday’s Best Bets – World Cup & Aintree

Friday’s best Bets

Uruguay to beat Egypt in a double with Siain to beat Portugal – 2.89 with Paddy Power

18:50 Aintree – Ballyboker Breezeat 4/1 with Paddy Power

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Posted 2 months, 1 week ago

12 Jun
2018

Tom And Paul Robinson Talk World Cup Bets

Betting Directory World Cup Odds & Tournament Coverage

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Posted 2 months, 1 week ago

11 Apr
2018

In A Liga Of Its Own….(13 & 15 Apr)

It’s an early kick-off for this week’s tips, taking in the ‘jornada’ 32 appetiser on Friday night between Girona and Real Betis (7.45pm).

Eighth against fifth, these two attractive sides play some lovely stuff, but whereas Girona have gone off the boil in recent times, conceding six to Real Madrid and five to Real Sociedad last Sunday, Betis have seized their opportunity to overtake neighbours Sevilla, winning four on the bounce as they enter the final phase of a season which will always be remembered for their 5-3 away win in the derby back in January.

The goals are flowing, forward Sergio León especially is in sparkling form, and here they have an opportunity to temporarily at least establish a six point advantage over their bitter rivals, and in doing so consolidate that fifth position.

The idea of backing the in-form Andalusian side at 5/2 away from home is too tempting to pass up; boss Quique Setién has them playing with stacks of confidence, and this seems a good time to be meeting the recently lacklustre hosts.

The only other recommendation for this weekend’s La Liga action comes at Madrid’s Metropolitano on Sunday afternoon (3.15pm), where Atlético can get the heavy lifting done early doors against 17th-placed Levante.

Cholo Simeone’s team don’t have a huge recovery time after their Europa League quarter final second leg in Lisbon, but at least it’s a short journey as they return to their pursuit of second place and finishing ahead of Real Madrid in the league.

Prior to their Madrid derby draw they were ahead at the interval in six consecutive games in all competitions, and despite their reputation as a brilliant defensive side they can get the job done in timely fashion against Levante, an outfit who can now sleep a little easier due to the eight point gap which has opened between them and the relegation places after three wins and a draw from their last four.

Good luck!

This weekend’s best bets in La Liga:

7.45pm Fri – Girona v Real Betis – Away Win @ 23/10 with Paddy Power

3.15pm Sun – Atlético Madrid v Levante – Atlético to be winning at half time @ 8/11 with Ladbrokes

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Posted 4 months, 1 week ago

06 Apr
2018

In A Liga Of Its Own…(7 & 8 Apr)

With Europe still collectively applauding Ronaldo’s wonder goal in Turin on Tuesday night, part of a 3-0 Champions League away win for Real Madrid against Juventus, we turn our attentions to a weekend which includes a very tasty third against second Madrid derby at the Bernabeu on Sunday afternoon (3.15pm), in which the visitors also arrive off the back of an away win of their own, with Atleti having taken care of Sporting Lisbon 2-0 on Thursday night in their Europa League quarter final first leg.

The second league meeting of the campaign between the two giants looks extremely tough to call, the first one having finished 0-0 at the Metropolitano back in mid-November, but given how quickly the two sides have to be ready again for European action next week, perhaps the draw is again the value call – especially as you can get 29/10 the honours even, points shared, stalemate.

Later on Sunday, back-in-the-groove Valencia have won four on the bounce and can make it five when they welcome an in-and-out Espanyol to the Mestalla (7.45pm).

Valencia’s mid-season dip and injury problems seem a way off now, with a settled midfield four of Guedes, Kondogbia, Parejo and Soler bossing matches and clearly enjoying themselves.

The home win looks solid at 1/2.

Before that, a busy Saturday features a quartet of games including high-flying Betis against Eibar at the atmospheric Benito Villamarin (5.30pm).

The hosts have won four and drawn one of their last six, carrying them into sixth and above bitter rivals Sevilla.

For their part, Eibar are safe but have downed tools recently, losing five of their last seven with no win since February.

At 13/10, Betis looks the bet of the weekend in La Liga.

Finally, league leaders Barcelona could hardly be in better shape than right now, still undefeated in the league, only 15 goals conceded in La Liga, a Copa del Rey final against Sevilla to look forward to in Madrid in two weeks time, plus a 4-1 first leg advantage to carry into Champions League action against Roma in the Stadio Olimpico on Tuesday night.

In-between times, they entertain 14th-placed Leganes at the Nou Camp (7.45pm), with the visitors safe but not exactly in inspiring form – since the start of February they’ve failed to score in eight of their 11 outings.

That could well become nine of their last 12 – Barca to win to nil is mu suggestion at 4/6.

Good luck!

This weekend’s best bets in La Liga:

5.30pm Sat – Real Betis v Eibar – Home Win @ 13/10

7.45pm Sat – Barcelona v Leganes – Home Win To Nil @ 4/6

3.15pm Sun – Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid – Draw @ 29/10

7.45pm Sun – Valencia v Espanyol – Home Win @ 1/2

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Posted 4 months, 2 weeks ago

29 Mar
2018

In A Liga Of Its Own…(31 Mar)

With the international break done and dusted, one which yielded a creditable draw away to Germany plus a whopping 6-1 home win against Argentina for the Spanish national side, we resume domestic affairs on matchday 30.

The fixtures kick-off at midday on Saturday with the season’s surprise package, Girona, welcoming a now slightly more comfortable but not safe yet 17th-placed Levante, at the 13,500 capacity Montilivi.

Prior to the break, Levante scrapped their way to seven points from a possible nine, doing it the ugly but ultimately effective way with wins against Getafe (0 1) and Eibar (2 1).

That’s ensured a valuable six point cushion down to Las Palmas in 18th, who themselves have plenty on their plate this weekend with Real Madrid pitching up in the Canary Islands, notably featuring a forward line that may include Isco, fresh from his hat-trick against the Argentines.

Can Levante profit and pull even further clear? I doubt it.

Girona play some good stuff under the watchful eye of experienced boss Pablo Machin, and though they’ve come unstuck against the likes of Barcelona, Real Madrid and Sevilla, you’ve been able to set your watch by them in recent weeks when they’ve come up against the lesser lights, winning to nil against all of Leganes, Celta Vigo, Villarreal and Deportivo.

As such, and with Levante now able to breathe a little easier, I expect this to go the way of Girona at 13/20.

There’s further incentive for Girona to deliver because if they do win, they’ll at least temporarily climb up into sixth position, though my suspicion is they may still be there come Sunday morning after Sevilla, who currently occupy that spot, take on runaway leaders Barcelona at the wonderful Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on Saturday night (7.45pm).

One of Europe’s most atmospheric grounds, its occupants get to see their side take on the champions elect on Saturday night, and then 72 hours later the same venue plays host to their Champions League quarter final first leg against Bayern Munich.

With Barca in such formidable form you could forgive the hosts for having half an eye on their midweek make or break tie in Europe’s premier competition, and at any rate the visitors have been phenomenal season, undefeated in the league with just 13 conceded and a massive 74 scored so far – 2.55 per game on average!

To be fair, Barcelona have also got Champions League action to prepare for, their home game against Roma on Wednesday but all the same I expect them to emerge victorious from Andalusia – they beat Sevilla 2-1 at home in November on a day remembered for being Leo Messi’s 600th appearance, and can complete the double.

Good luck!

This weekend’s best bets in La Liga:

Sat 12.00pm – Girona v Levante – Home Win @ 13/20

Sat 7.45pm – Sevilla v Barcelona – Away Win @ 3/4

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Posted 4 months, 3 weeks ago

16 Mar
2018

In A Liga Of Its Own…(17 & 18 Mar)

Matchday 29 features a very tempting opportunity on Saturday afternoon at 3.15pm, the second kick-off of the day featuring Valencia at home to relegation candidates Alavés at the Mestalla.

Right back in the groove and winning games again, Los Che can at least temporarily go third with a win, as Real Madrid a point above them in the table are not in action ’til Sunday evening.

By then, it’s likely they’ll have despatched the visitors and claimed all three points – Alavés did manage to beat Sevilla at home but have generally struggled against the higher ranked teams, and have instead managed to grind out points against fellow sides in the lower regions of the table.

It’s worth noting that Valencia have been leading at half-time in all of their previous four outings, so rather than backing them at restrictive odds for a plain home win, instead get on them at 21/20 with Coral or Ladbrokes to be winning at half time.

Another outfit who’ve made a habit of sweeping into an early lead and going into the dressing room at half time with an advantage to protect is table toppers Barcelona, who 24 hours later entertain Athletic Bilbao at the Nou Camp (Sun, 3.15pm).

Five games on the bounce they’ve had their noses in front, and with the Basque side possibly feeling the effects of a Europa League defeat to Marseille less than 72 hours previously, they can do so again.

Barcelona are a top price 8/15 to be ahead at the break.

Lastly, I can’t resist backing Atlético Madrid to come out on top when they travel to face a curiously inconsistent Villarreal (Sun 5.30pm).

Atléti haven’t had a long recovery time since Thursday night’s 5-1 Europa League canter away to Lokomotiv Moscow, but firstly Cholo Simeone was able to leave out some key names there and still cruise to victory, while secondly momentum and confidence is a great counter to fatigue.

The league may well have gone but Atléti still look sharp, hungry and focussed – enough for them to return home from El Madrigal in possession of all three points.

Good luck!

This weekend’s best bets in La Liga:

3.15pm Sat – Valencia v Alavés – Valencia to be winning at half time @ 21/20 (Coral or Ladbrokes)

3.15pm Sun – Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao – Barcelona to be winning at half time @ 8/15 (Coral or Ladbrokes)

5.30pm Sun – Villarreal v Atlético Madrid – Away Win @ 23/20 (BetVictor)

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Posted 5 months, 1 week ago

09 Mar
2018

In A Liga Of Its Own…(9, 10 & 11 Mar)

We’ll get up-and-running good and early on matchday 28, with the Friday night appetiser at the Estadi Montilivi pitting Girona against relegation-threatened Deportivo La Coruna (8.00pm).

Seventh versus 19th, Girona are riding high as the surprise package of the 2017/18 La Liga campaign, playing some lovely football and fuelled by wins to nil in three of their last four outings.

It’s too early to completely write off Depor, who could yet overhaul a rejuvenated Las Palmas and a poor Levante above them, but I’m far from convinced they’ll get anything here, with Girona a confident pick at the 13/20 available with either Betway or Hills.

Mention of Levante carries us neatly through to Saturday afternoon, when my long term relegation pick make the trip to the outskirts of Madrid, preparing to face Getafe at the Estadio Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (5.30pm).

Remarkably, in a run stretching all the way back to the end of October, Getafe have been blazing a trail on an extraordinary run of home form for a club of their resources, thrilling their maximum 17,000 crowd with a run of seven wins and three draws in the 10 home fixtures to have taken place in that time.

Boss José Bordalás has made them fiendishly hard to beat, especially in front of their own supporters, and while their brand of football isn’t necessarily beautiful, it certainly has been adapted to become highly effective.

For their part, free-falling Levante sacked their manager last week, Juan Lopez Muñiz getting the heave-ho after the draw with Espanyol.

For now it’s former reserve team coach Paco Lopez who is charged with helping them avoid the drop, but it’s far from clear if he’ll be able to stop the rot.

The 8/11 about a home win looks the way to go.

Lastly, fresh from Europa League duties on Thursday night, Sunday sees Atlético Madrid get the chance to take out their domestic frustrations on ninth-placed Celta Vigo (3.15pm).

Unable to break down league leaders Barcelona in what was a Nou Camp thriller on Sunday, where a win would have put Atléti just two points behind the pacesetters, they are instead likely to take the field at the Metropolitano some 11 points adrift, after losing 1-0 to a stubborn Barca, who by the time they kick-off against Celta will most likely also have triumphed at Malaga on Saturday night.

Stats say Atléti are more prolific second half scorers, but it’s worth noting they bagged in the opening period most recently against both Sevilla and Leganes, and will likely do the same here.

I’m banking on Atléti to be ahead at half time, an even money shot with either Coral or Ladbrokes.

Good luck!

This weekend’s best bets in La Liga:

8.00pm Fri – Girona v Deportivo La Coruna – Home Win @ 13/20 (Betway or William Hill)

5.30pm Sat – Getafe v Levante – Home Win @ 8/11 (Boylesports)

3.15pm Sun – Atlético Madrid v Celta Vigo – Atléti to be winning at half time @ Evs (Coral or Ladbrokes)

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Posted 5 months, 2 weeks ago

Betting Tips Archive

August 2018
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Today's NAPS from leading Racing Journalists


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