Posts Tagged ‘tony mccoy’

Day Two Cheltenham tips‏ – Irish eyes are smiling

Thought for Tuesday: Hurricane Fly has to be some horse if you stop to consider he had runaway Mares’ Hurdle winner Quevega in rear in a Grade 1 hurdle at Auteuil in June, and then comfortably accounted for Supreme Novices’ winner Go Native by 10 lengths at Leopardstown in December.

Wait for him to reappear at Aintree or Punchestown. It’ll be some show if Tuesday’s Cheltenham results are to be believed!

Looking ahead to Wednesday, here’s the lowdown on the seven race card:

1.30 – National Hunt Cup

Jonjo O’Neill has his string in form at exactly the right moment and can score in the opener with Can’t Buy Time. This progressive looking chaser won with any amount in hand at Sandown last time, and off level weights in this Amateur Riders’ event he can take this for the Jackdaws Castle trainer.

The wise deployment of Wichita Lineman to Tuesday’s William Hill Trophy leaves this at the mercy of his stablemate, and he can take this en-route to a possible tilt at the Grand National. Coral are best price in the village at 11/2.

Latest National Hunt Cup odds

2.05 – Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle

I’m really looking forward to seeing Karabak strutting his stuff on the big stage. He’ll love the step up in trip, won in emphatic style last time out at Ascot, and has recently been paid the compliment of being purchased by JP McManus.

Choc Thorton loses the ride as a result of that deal (McManus’s retained jockey AP McCoy takes over) and Choc’s evident despair at losing the mount suggests he’ll go mighty close, and the popular Thornton has even nominated the six year old as his Festival banker. If you don’t agree watch the tape of him settling the issue at Ascot, he surged clear of some good horses.

There’s still some 7/2 available with Paddy Power and Ladbrokes.

Compare Ballymore Hurdle Odds

2.40 – RSA Chase

A big chance for the Irish horses to shine here, and I’m sweet on the chances of Willie Mullins’ Cooldine.

He looked the real deal in winning the PJ Moriarty Chase at Leopardstown last time, doing a nice favour for readers of this column, and clearly improved for the step up in trip.

The form has been well and truly franked by Moriarty second Forpadydeplasterer emerging to win the Arkle here on Tuesday, and Ruby Walsh chooses him in preference to the quirky What A Friend.

There are no stamina doubts where he is concerned, and he’s a confident selection at 9/2 with Coral.

For anyone looking for a value each way play in the race Casey Jones has to be high on the list – he beat the subsequent Irish Arkle winner Golden Silver at Punchestown in November, then sprang a 25/1 surprise when defeating Trafford Lad over 3m at Leopardstown.  

RSA Chase Odds

3.20 – Queen Mother Champion Chase

This should be an exhibition round from undisputed two mile king Master Minded, but take a look at the betting without the favourite markets – both Briareus and Well Chief merit closer attention.

4.00 – Coral Cup

Many more competitive 28 runner handicap hurdles you’d be hard pressed to find, but don’t be afraid to back Michael Hourigan’s bang in form Dancing Tornado to make the frame at a hefty 18/1 with Coral. (who alongside bet365, Boylesports and Paddy Power are paying five places on the race).

In the form of his life at Leopardstown and Ascot the last twice this fella richly deserves to win a big one, and can make a big impact here with a mere 10st 3lb to shoulder.

Regular pilot David Casey is on board, and with the cheekpieces once again in evidence I fancy him to be right in the thick of it.

Coral Cup Odds

4.40 – Fred Winter Juvenile Novices’ Handicap Hurdle

Nicky Henderson’s French import Miss Sarenne could be the one to side with here.

She would have won with plenty to spare at Plumpton first time up had it not been for an unfortunate skirmish with the final hurdle (the one that denied AP winner no.3000 no less!), and she can gain compensation on a far greater stage tomorrow.

This lovely prospect has been gobbled up by JP McManus since then and turns out in his silks in the Fred Winter, she’ll appreciate better ground and should be backed each way at 8/1 (general), or at 7/1 with bet365 who pay 5 places on the race.

Fred Winter Odds

5.15 – Weatherbys Champion Bumper

Willie Mullins saddles eight of the 24 runners in the bumper, but he could be frustrated by Dermot Weld’s Rite Of Passage, who’s been the subject of some upbeat reports from his great trainer, and has attracted strong support in recent days.

Already a winner at both Galway and Naas, he’s the one to be with in the bumper at 5/1 with Coral and William Hill. Don’t forget the concessions too – bet365, Boylesports and Paddy Power are paying 4 places on the race.

Champion Bumper Odds Comparison

Good luck!

Tom

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Posted 1 year ago

Tips for Day One of the 2009 Cheltenham Festival – Bring it On!

Cheltenham is already alive with the hum of final preparations, the course looks in top nick, the ground is currently Good to Soft on both the new and old courses, and the forecast rain hasn’t yet arrived. Let battle commence!

Tuesday’s tips:

1.30pm – williamhill.com Supreme Novices’ Hurdle - Take a bit of the remaining 6/1 each way with SportingBet about David Pipe’s Torphichen winning the opening race of the Festival.

He was in a class of his own on his latest appearance at Sandown, the form of which has worked out really well.

Lob into the equation his handy 8lb age allowance and you have a decent argument for an investment. I know Pipe is keen on his chances, and don’t forget heavily backed favourite Cousin Vinny endured a rough ferry crossing from Ireland and didn’t eat up when he arrived.

Latest Supreme Novices Hurlde Odds

2.05pm – Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase – Long time favourite Tatenen looks to be the one to take a decidedly average looking renewal of this contest. He’ll appreciate a strong gallop, the lack of which was his undoing when beaten by Follow The Plan at Leopardstown at Christmas time.

He looked excellent when winning here at the Open meeting in November, and has the gears to take this for Paul Nicholls and Ruby Walsh. The 4/1 with bet365 looks a fair reflection of his chances.

Compare the Latest Arkle Chase Odds

2.40 – William Hill Trophy Handicap Chase – Top weight Star De Mohaison can stamp his class on this race and defy top weight.

The 2006 Royal & SunAlliance Chase winner hasn’t seen much racing since his Festival triumph, restricted by chronic tendon troubles.

However, with those injury worries now firmly in the past the eight year old, who ran his best race for a long time when a narrow second here under a big weight in a competitive December handicap, can make up for lost time.

It was touch and go whether connections launched him into a Gold Cup bid such is the high regard with which he is held, and at 10/1 each way with Boylesports he’s going to be very hard to keep out of the frame.

William Hill Handicap Trophy Odds

3.20 – Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle – With the rain forecast to arrive later this evening and 22 rivals to contend with I’ll happily take a watching brief where hot favourite Binocular is concerned.

Instead sniff out a bit of value and have a look at Ashkazar, currently a whopping 22/1 with VCbet, and last year’s winner Katchit, currently 14/1 (Champion Hurdle Odds Comparison).

Ashkazar ran a cracking trial in the Kingwell and is far too big at his inflated price, while Katchit seems to lit up at the sight of Cheltenham and could be a different horse on Tuesday afternoon.

Both should be backed each way with realistic chances of making the frame, and don’t forget bet365 are paying four places on the race.

4.00 – Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase (Handicap) – The quandry of which Enda Bolger horse to back is a teaser for fans of the Cross Country race, but I’m really keen on the idea of Garde Champetre following up last year’s runaway success.

While this time around he does face the imposte of top weight it didn’t prevent Spot Thedifference from winning this contest in 2005, and with Nina Carberry doing the steering I fancy him to fend off stablemate L’Ami. Get involved at 4/1 with Betfred or Victor Chandler.

Cross Country Hurdle Odds

4.40 – David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle - A race I’m thoroughly looking forward to! All the money in recent days has been for Willie Mullins’ Quevega, seemingly based upon one placed run in a Grade 1 hurdle in France on atrocious ground behind stablemate Hurricane Fly.

She won well enough last time out at Punchestown but didn’t beat much, and she runs into a streetwise opponent in the shape of Lucy Wadham’s United here.

United has some cracking form in the book: a former winner of Punchestown’s Champion Four Year Old hurdle, she also made the frame in the World Hurdle plus the Irish equivalent back in 2007, and has returned from a long absence looking as good as ever with wins at Haydock and Ascot.

The Ascot performance was only workmanlike, but she’ll appreciate a proper gallop and can reward her patient connections with victory on the big stage here.

Donald McCain’s decision to run Whiteoak in the Champion Hurdle has left the door ajar, and at 9/2 with Paddy Power United can take the David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle.
 

David Nicholson Mares Hurdle Odds 

Good luck on Day One!

Tom

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Posted 1 year ago

We’re Sure You’d Be Mad if you Miss Today’s Horse Racing Tips

If you have cash laying dormant in your betting account due to the recent inclement weather and are itching to have a bet on some proper racing, then you could do worse than have a bet on Mad Max (1:55 Newbury) and Sure Josie Sure (3:45 Necastle) today.

Mad Max is smart Novice Hurdler from the Nicky Henderson yard and picked up where he left off last season (winner of two Bumpers) on his seasonal debut when winning at Ascot in November and can continue his unbeaten run at the Berkshire track today.

Sure Josie Sure is best price 9/4 with Paddy Power at the time of writing and the David Pipe trained runner is expected to be well backed for the Bumper at Newcastle.

The double pays over 4/1 with Paddy Power – Claim a £30 free bet when you join today

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Posted 1 year, 2 months ago

Wrap up a couple of winners in time for Christmas!‏

The Channel 4 cameras head for Haydock & Newcastle this weekend, and for those of us braving the betting ring at the former, it should be pretty lively to put it mildly, with all the North West Premiership sides otherwise engaged, meaning thousands of wasted locals in full ‘works-out’ party mood trying to attack us as we cower in the corner.

If you’ve never witnessed two scousers dressed as Rudolph the Red nosed Reindeer doing the Scoop6 shuffle in a vain attempt to get on tv, Haydock’s the place to go to break your duck.

Joking apart, the atmosphere will be fantastic, so if you’re sick of Christmas shopping there’s no finer way to spend the first day of the holiday period.

No finer way that is, if you can back a winner or two, and we’ll head to Ascot for the two best bets of the day.

There’s a rumour doing the rounds that Father Christmas wears red & white, but I’ve got a sneaking suspicion he might be wearing green and gold on Saturday as JP McManus holds a massive chance of a big race double at the track.

First up at 1.40pm there’s no way I’m going to desert Nicky Henderson’s Binocular in the re-arranged Boylesports International – I think they’ll be playing for places in behind the selection in a race they’ve moved mountains to have re-scheduled.

Fair play to all involved, not least Ascot racecourse plus both Boylesports and Ladbrokes who’ve worked together to get what looks an unmissable contest back on the calendar following a soggy day at Cheltenham last Saturday.

Already an antepost investment for the Champion Hurdle, Binocular is a name that’s cropped up on plenty of occasions in this column, and the four-year-old can enhance his tall reputation at the expense of stablemate, Chomba Womba and Emma Lavelle’s Crack Away Jack.

Placed in listed company in France and versatile as regards the ground, don’t forget he had Crack Away Jack some six and a half lengths adrift in a Juvenile Novices’ Hurdle over course and distance back in January.

He followed that up by justifying odds-on favouritism in the Adonis at Kempton, before finding only the more physically mature seven-year-old Captain Cee Bee too good in a rare old scrap in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.

He then re-emerged in spectacular fashion putting the Triumph Hurdle winner Celestial Halo to the sword with brutal ease at Aintree some three weeks later.

Frustrated by the weather last Saturday his only public appearance so far this season was little more than a schooling exercise against inferior rivals at Haydock on Betfair Chase day.

Connections says he more than ready to rubber stamp his place at the head of the Champion Hurdle betting, so help yourself to a bit of 13/8 with either Boylesports, Betfred or Totesport for this weekend’s assignment.

Little more than an hour later, a maximum field of 21 go to post for a fascinating looking Ladbrokes Hurdle, and it’s another Henderson inmate who’ll be carrying my cash in the shape of Aigle D’Or

Ever since the Greatwood when the Halling gelding put in a massive shift as red hot favourite, shaking up a horse who in retrospect was very well treated on a lenient mark of 124 in the shape of Numide, this race has been the target and I can’t resist a slice of the 11/2 generally available as an each way investment.

A lack of confidence by connections in Ashkazar puts me off the second favourite, and greater dangers may lurk at the bottom of the weights with Philip Hobbs’ duo Belcantista and Prince Taime having scraped into the handicap as numbers 20 and 21.

Belcantista is especially interesting having been 25/1 on Monday, before some bloke called JP McManus decided to buy himself an early Christmas present – no surprise he’s subsequently been the antepost gamble of the week, with the buzz horse now only 6/1 in a place.

That said it’ll have to be a good horse that sees off Aigle D’Or. I don’t take any great pleasure in tipping up two favourites in one column, but I do believe these two have oustanding chances to make it a McManus-Henderson-McCoy Saturday treble.

Good luck!

Saturday’s Racing Tips

1:40 Ascot – Binocular to win – 13/8 at either Boylesports or Betfred

2:45 Ascot – Aigle D’or each way – 11/2 at Totesport

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Posted 1 year, 2 months ago

Look to Leicester for the Wednesday Nap‏

You get the impression Nicky Henderson could train a winner with the yard terrier right now, and the recent hot streak can continue with the long-awaited return of Au Courant in Leicester’s opening Beginners’ Chase at 12.50pm.

The eight-year-old, a winner of a bumper and a hurdle race when last seen out some 3 years ago (he has a 1056 day absence to overcome), is said to have schooled like a high-class chaser in the making, and can see off his four rivals to make it a winning return with Tony McCoy in the saddle.

Anyone concerned about the lay-off should bear in mind how adept Henderson seems to be at re-introducing horses from a spell on the sidelines – Clay Hollister’s Sandown romp on Saturday is a case in point, so don’t be put off.

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Posted 1 year, 3 months ago

Different day, same outcome for the Weekend Nap!

A frosty night in Newcastle put paid to our plans to clean up at Newcastle last Saturday, but Punjabi still holds the whip hand in the re-arranged WBX.com Fighting Fifth Hurdle at Wetherby this Saturday (1.50pm).

Only six now go to post, and with two-time Fighting Fifth winner Harchibald now confined to barracks back in Ireland, this should be a straight-forward task for Nicky Henderson’s classy five-year-old. Both favourites and five-year-olds have a cracking record in the race, and that looks set to improve further still. He’s versatile enough to cope with this sharper track, and should have more than enough up his sleeve to see off Sublimity, who he had in rear at both Cheltenham and Punchestown back in the spring.

If the ground were to dry up then Blue Bajan, a creditable third to the heavily gambled Sentry Duty at Ascot, could be the one for the forecast.

On the back of recent hype regarding a few missed opportunities, it was intriguing to see Paul Nicholls fail to send out a single runner from Sunday to Tuesday this week, and then only one at Plumpton on Wednesday, but he was back in the winners’ enclosure at Wincanton on Thursday, and could have something to smile about when Free World takes his chance in Sandown’s Betinternet.com Henry VIII Novices’ Chase at 2.00pm on Saturday.

The four-year-old has only had three starts in this country, but he bolted up over course and distance at the first time of asking over fences, beating some reasonable opposition by eight lengths and upwards on November Handicap day.

Champion jockey AP McCoy did the steering that day, and you ‘ll have to have been stuck in a very large snow drift all week to fail to know he’s back on board in the aftermath of fevered discussion about Sam Thomas’s current tribulations.

Suffice to say AP got a real tune out of Free World that day; Sandown is a serious test first time out over fences, but the fact all the 33/1 for the Arkle was hoovered up pre-race suggested big things were expected, and he duly delivered. I’m not about to suggest an antepost bet in a race where his trainer is spoilt for choice, but this looks a winnable-looking target as he continues his chasing education.

On the subject of the much-maligned Sam Thomas I might as well throw my hat into the ring and point out what a fantastic jockey he is, and a couple of disappointing results aren’t about to alter that opinion.

A seriously nice guy to boot, he’s a massive talent & will be back in the winners before you know it. Our build ‘em up and knock ‘em down media culture has hung him out to dry in recent days, but why on earth are people so desperate to see him fail? On the back of taking the first two races on the card at Wincanton on Thursday watch him boot home a few winners at Chepstow this weekend, and have a word with yourself if you’re still complaining about him.

What he really needs is a high profile Grade 1 winner to get his name back up in lights, and he can get exactly that as Noland returns to Ireland to line up in Punchestown’s John Durkan Memorial Chase over 2m 4f on Sunday at 2.05pm.

It’s a fascinating race involving none other that 2006 Cheltenham Gold Cup winner War Of Attrition,who’s brought a massive smile to the face of all true jumping fans by winning both of his comeback runs to tentatively re-enter the ‘09 Gold Cup equation, but he could be about to hit a barrier in the shape of the fleet-footed Noland.

I fancy Sam will have too many guns for War Of Attrition over this trip, and Noland can do him for toe to record another win across the Irish sea after he hacked up at Down Royal on November 1st.

Coral are being more than generous with their 11/4 offering about Noland, since Irish firm Paddy Power go only 2/1 and others go as short as 11/8 . Take advantage before it’s gone.

Last up, there’ll be a monster crowd at Sandown on Saturday to see the Tingle Creek Chase, a race I’ve loved watching down the years, the speed chasers thundering over the railway fences and up the hill – brilliant.

Master Minded looked one in a million at Cheltenham in March, and he’s tough to oppose despite the way he folded at Aintree the following month. That said, at the prices I can’t resist having a few quid on Tidal Bay at 100/30 – a stand out price with Ladbrokes.

Never out of the first two in 15 runs, his chasing stats are phenomenal, with six wins from seven appearances, and a runaway Arkle success in his locker. I was at Catterick on Wednesday & watched him have a nice prep on the track after racing, he popped over a couple of fences with Denis O’Regan in the plate and looks in great nick, and if there is to be a miniature upset, he’s the one alright.

Good luck!

Tom’s Weekend Tips
Saturday 6th December
Punjabi – 1:50 Wetherby
Free World – 2:00 Sandown
Tidal Bay - 2:35 Sandown

Sunday 7th December
Noland – 2:05 Punchestown

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Posted 1 year, 3 months ago