Posts Tagged ‘ races ’

07 Oct
2011

The Best Bets For Saturday’s TV Races At Newmarket

The re-modelled Future Champions Day at Newmarket’s Rowley Mile provides the main filling in Saturday afternoon’s Channel 4 televised banquet, and though I’ll be heading over the Severn Bridge for a much needed taste of National Hunt action at Chepstow, there ought to be a couple of winners to be unearthed on a tricky looking card at HQ.

The Flat boys kick off at 2.05pm with the Group 2 Burj Khalifa Challenge Stakes, a contest which hopefully isn’t too hard to unravel as I’m a backer of Strong Suit for Richards Hughes and Hannon.

The 6/4 market leader for Saturday’s opener was an emphatic scorer in Glorious Goodwood’s Group 2 Lennox Stakes last time out, a contest which has produced two subsequent winners and which on this occasion underlined this Rahy colt’s undoubted potential.

That win built on his June win in Royal Ascot’s Jersey Stakes (G3), results which sandwiched a fine (and it has to be said unlucky) third in Chantilly’s Group 1 Prix Jean Prat.

Strong Suit goes on the ground, acts on the track, and crucially comes here a fresh horse.

Despite the fact he has to concede weight to all comers I expect him to have too many guns for the fillies Chachamaidee and Maqaasid. Win bet at 6/4 with Ladbrokes or William Hill.

Let’s hope that can put some funds in the bank as things take on a distinctly tougher complexion half an hour later, with 16 juveniles lining up in the Group 1 Emaar Middle Park Stakes over six furlongs at 2.35pm.

This is wide open, but it’s just possible that some of these fancied horses such as Bapak Chinta and Rebellious Guest might be undone by meeting this faster ground for the first time (Good to Firm at the time of writing).

France are represented by a very exciting colt in the shape of Family One, a son of Dubai Destination who has won four of his six starts and found only Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere winner Dabirism too hot to handle in the Morny last time out.

He definitely ought to be in the mix, but on the downside he’s a baby and has to make a long journey overseas for the first time.

Of the home team Alan McCabe’s Caspar Netscher will be the choice for many punters at home and on the track.

His recent form is tremendous and more than suggests he’s up for a crack at the top level, having taken both the Gimcrack and the Mill Reef since mid-August, but you also have to consider he’s seen plenty of sport for one so young (this is his ninth appearance since May!).

All of which leads me back to a Royal Applause colt from a slightly less fashionable stable, with James Toller’s Saigon catching my eye at a juicy 20/1 each way with Ladbrokes.

He’s got less miles on the clock but some interesting history with Caspar Netscher: in three meetings to date the score between them stands at 2-1 to Alan McCabe’s horse, but Saigon is proven on the surface and has never run a bad race.

I put him up as a bet in the Mill Reef when he finished third, three quarters of a length adrift of his rival, but Johnny Murtagh takes over in the saddle, and at big odds he hasn’t got that much to find on official figures (BHA rating of 106) to trouble the principals.

Two wins from five appearances isn’t too shabby a record, with only one of those runs seeing him finish outside the first three, plus it includes a pair of Group placings.

Perhaps Caspar has improved a good deal since going down to Saigon in July, but not to the extent that Saigon should now be nearly four times his price.

In a contest that’s hard to gauge I’m happy to plump for what appeals to me as a spot of value – with that in mind a spot of the 20’s with Ladbrokes, who go 1/4 odds 1-2-3 each way, will do nicely.

I’m not going to bore you with a debate on the perceived wisdom, or lack of, in running the seven furlong Dewhurst 35 minutes after the Middle Park, but if it’s not to your taste console yourself by trying to relieve your friendly neighbourhood turf accountant of a few quid to lighten the mood.

I couldn’t see past the Futurity winner Dragon Pulse when he lined up in the National Stakes at the Curragh four weeks ago, but the sight of Aidan O’Brien’s Power mowing him down in the latter stages of the seven furlong Group 1 is indelibly scrawled on my memory, and for that reason alone I’m very happy to back him at 100/30 with William Hill.

The presence of the unbeaten pair Bronterre and Ektihaam mean we get an inflated price given what Power has already achieved, but they’ll need to be seriously good to beat this fella, who has only tasted defeat once in a five race career.

Power has Ryan Moore up top, has won twice on Good to Firm, and overcame stamina doubts with a strong galloping performance at this trip last time out. Win bet.

From the sublime to the congested at 3.50pm, with the Betfred Cesarewitch posing a head scratcher even a knit-infested Hercule Poirot would struggle to contend with, as 34 go to post for the two and a quarter mile handicap.

I think I might have one to go to war with though, and a quick glance at the stats provides a handy bit of reassurance – two years ago Darley Sun stuck one in the net for the three year olds in this race, and in 2011 I fancy the only member of the Classic generation in the field to do likewise, with Mark Johnston’s Colour Vision well worth a nibble each way at 25/1 with any of Boylesports, Paddy Power or Victor Chandler.

He gets a meaty weight allowance from the older horses, hacked up over this trip on similar ground at Pontefract last time, has the best of the draw in stall six and hails from a yard who won this with Contact Dancer in 2004.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

2.05 Newmarket – Burj Khalifa Challenge Stakes – 1 Strong Suit (win) @ 6/4 (Ladbrokes or William Hill)

2.35 Newmarket – Emaar Middle Park Stakes – 13 Saigon (each way) @ 20/1 (Ladbrokes)

3.10 Newmarket – Dubai Dewhurst Stakes – 6 Power (win) @ 10/3 (William Hill)

3.50 Newmarket – Betfred Cesarewitch – 9 Colour Vision (each way) @ 25/1 (Boylesports, Paddy Power or Victor Chandler)

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Posted 5 years, 11 months ago

21 Sep
2011

Friday’s Best Bets At Newmarket & Worcester

The Channel 4 cameras are in attendance on the Rowley Mile this afternoon, but as in keeping with Thursday’s Newmarket action winners probably won’t be easy to come by with some fiendishly tricky tests on the card for punters.

One contest where I thought we might have a bit of joy to build up weekend funds is the Group 2 Nayef Joel Stakes over a mile at 2.25pm.

I like the look of the old timer Premio Loco to show his younger rivals a clean set of heels, he was right back to his best when scoring in the same grade at Doncaster last time, thrives on fast ground, and can notch his fifth win at this level given that he gets in here without a penalty.

I have to say doubts about his chief market rivals also bolster confidence – Poet’s Voice ran a stinker to finish last of seven when 15/8 favourite in the Celebration Mile, Ransom Note ideally wants further than just a mile, conversely Libranno has to prove his stamina at the trip, while Tazahum is the one most likely to derail our best laid plans, but he needs to up his game even further to see off Premio Loco.

Despite being seven years of age Premio Loco looks as good as ever, and if he reproduces the same zest which saw him secure third in the Lockinge or win at Donny last time out then the 9/2 with Boylesports or Paddy Power is well worth dipping in for.

Switching codes there’s growing excitment among National Hunt followers with the season proper drawing tantalislingly closer, and at Worcester today I reckon another veteran can show the young’uns how it’s done as Charlie Longsdon’s Lord Jay Jay lines up for the two mile handicap chase at 4.30pm.

A previous course and distance winner, expect the eleven year old to bounce out and make all under capable conditional Kielan Woods.

The drop in trip will be in his favour, and I’m not sure anything will be able to reel him in as he bids to add to his Stratford win last time out.

It’ll certainly make for an exhilerating experience watching the race anyway!

Good luck!

Friday’s best bets:

2.25 Newmarket – Nayef Joel Stakes – 3 Premio Loco (win) @ 9/2 (Paddy Power or Boylesports)

4.30 Worcester – Frederick William Thorpe Handicap Chase – 2 Lord Jay Jay (win) @ 5/2 (Blue Square)

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Posted 6 years ago

02 Mar
2011

A Sin Not To Back The Saint At Bangor

Donald McCain’s Jimmy The Saint returned from a near three year absence to score in battling fashion from a fair sort over two miles at Towcester four weeks ago, and he can build on that experience by taking the Excel Signs Ltd Novices’ Hurdle (4.50pm) at his stable’s local track on Wednesday afternoon.

Highly rated by his trainer the eight year old should stay two and a half miles standing on his head, and now he’s over his lengthy injury woes he can make up for lost time in the hands of Jason Maguire. Win bet.

Good luck!

Wednesday’s best bet:

4.50 Bangor – Excel Signs Ltd Novices’ Hurdle – 1 Jimmy The Saint (win) @ 6/4 with Bet365, Victor Chandler & Stan James

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Posted 6 years, 6 months ago

26 Feb
2011

Three Tips at Newcastle On Eider Chase Day

Was there ever a more pronounced case of the punishment failing to fit the crime than Jason Maguire’s seven day ban after a brilliant ride on Cool Mission at Doncaster earlier this week?

Donald McCain’s consistently excellent stable jockey stands to miss out on the ride on Peddlers Cross in the Champion Hurdle unless his punishment is reduced on appeal (due to be heard on Thursday). Crazy.

Watch the race again online and you’ll agree perhaps the frequency with which he used the stick was excessive, but on a reluctant mount who needed stoking up for the majority of the race, imagine the outcry in the betting shops if Jason managed to get as close as he did at the business end of the race and then failed to exert an ounce less than maximum effort, madness!

Furthermore, on a horse who’d never been marked before, how on earth was his jockey to know things were going wrong in that department for the first time whilst trying to ride a protracted and hard fought race?

Lacerations on horses are very much not what the game is about and certainly never what we want to see, but the bottom line is respected jockeys like Jason are master horsemen not barbarians: let’s hope common sense prevails and a far more reasonable 2-4 days is arrived at as a compromise.

He must be allowed to line up in those well known blue and yellow colours on March 15th.

Looking ahead to this afternoon with racing passing an inspection up at Newcastle mudlarks are the order of the day, it will be absolutely bottomless up at Gosforth Park, but hopefully we’ve got a couple of winners up our sleeve to take advantage.

There are a few in with a squeak in the Bet On Totescoop6 At totesport.com Handicap Hurdle run over two miles at 2.15pm – but the one I really like here is Reindeer Dippin, who’s in form having hacked up over fences at Ayr two weeks ago, will absolutely love the ground whilst others are toiling, and significantly can race from a far lower mark over hurdles (126) than fences.

Young conditional Henry Brooke takes off a valuable seven pounds to leave him with a nice racing weight of 11st 1lb, and he can see off recent Betting Directory nap Dontpaytheferryman, for whom things get harder raised 10 pounds for that win at Musselburgh.

I’ll be backing him to win at 11/2 with any of Bet365, Betfred, Coral or Ladbrokes.

It’s a cracking renewal of the Eider Chase (live on C4 3.15pm) over the marathon 4m 1f in heavy ground, and if ever there was a day for the old boy Comply Or Die (no win for three years) it’s today given that the handicapper has given him a chance at long last with a mark of 144 (especially now the National weights are published!).

He won this race off a mark of 139 on the way to National glory in 2008, but this time around it’s going to be a war of attrition lugging top weight in bottomless ground.

For that reason he is overlooked in favour of a younger candidate from another in form West Country yard: the likeable Giles Cross hails from the Devon stable of Victor Dartnall, and after a gutsy second to Synchronised (for which he was raised four to a feasible 136) in the Welsh National, he can get the headline win I think he deserves this afternoon.

An out and out stayer who’ll relish the conditions I really fancy Giles Cross – it’s a win bet at 5/1 with either Ladbrokes or Stan James for me.

Sticking with Newcastle Chamirey can make amends for his recent blunder at Catterick when he wished Jason Maguire a happy Valentines Day by unseating him three from home when in a command position 12 days ago by winning the 3m Novices’ Chase.

Timmy Murphy (who won on him at Towcester) is back on board today, and granted a better round of jumping it’ll be a surprise to me if he’s beaten. Win bet.

It’s an afternoon in front of the Channel 4 cameras alongside my colleague Tanya Stevenson for yours truly, and although I’m struggling to make a recommandation in the Adonis Hurdle the same cannot be said of the feature Racing Post Chase, where I fully agree with trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies who’s of the opinion his Razor Royale is being written off far too early on the back of his Hennessy no show.

The winner of this contest a year ago this horse is still only nine, loves the track and goes well fresh.

A couple of poor runs and punters and pundits alike are quick to put a line through him, but I can’t resist chancing my arm that a return to the scene of his greatest triumph can spark a revival under the trainer’s son Sam (who claims three pounds), especially in light of the fact he is well treated on the figures here.

In an open contest where many (definitely Nacarat after a wind op) are respected, a few quid each way on Razor Royale at 14/1 with Coral is my take on it.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

2.15 Newcastle – Bet On Totescoop6 At totesport.com Handicap Hurdle – 3 Reindeer Dippin (win) @ 11/2 (Bet365, Betfred, Coral or Ladbrokes)

3.00 Kempton – Racing Post Chase Handicap – 8 Razor Royale (each way) @ 14/1 (Coral)

3.15 Newcastle – totesport.com Eider Handicap Chase – 3 Giles Cross (win) @ 5/1 (Ladbrokes or Stan James)

4.25 Newcastle – Play Poker At tspoker.com Novices’ Chase – 3 Chamirey (win) @ 11/10 (Betfred, Stan James or Victor Chandler)

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Posted 6 years, 7 months ago

29 Dec
2010

Small is beautiful as Leopardstown gears up for a big day?

An outstanding card at Leopardstown this afternoon sees three consecutive Grade 1 races on the menu for racegoers to enjoy, and although the sight of three small fields will dismay some (five runners in all three), it’s very much a case of quality not quantity.

With some short prices recommended I’ll be playing up the following selections in multiples:

The Future Champions Novice Hurdle (12.50pm) over two miles kicks off our coverage on RTE, and on paper it looks a straight match between Willie Mullins (two winners at Leopardstown yesterday) Zaidpour and Shark Hanlon’s (won the bumper yesterday) unbeaten Hidden Cyclone.

Both have won their last two races without being extended, but the bookmakers clearly favour Zaidpour and rightly so in my opinion; of the pair he may display the greater tendency to act on this testing ground, plus he benefits from a 3lb weight allowance as the only four year old in the line up.

The only doubt would be how he has recovered from his romp in the Royal Bond at Fairyhouse, but all being well (and Mullins was exuding confidence when interviewed yesterday) he can get us up and running with a winner.

Next up at 1.20pm we see Ireland’s best three two mile chasers go head to head in the Paddy Power Dial-A-Bet Chase, and having beaten chief market Golden Silver rival a length and a quarter at Navan last month for me it simply has to be 2010 Queen Mother Champion Chase winner Big Zeb.

Barry Geraghty has opted to stay in Ireland to ride him rather than head to Newbury to ride Punchestowns, and as a course and distance winner who has won on heavy ground in this calendar year he looks very hard to beat despite the level of opposition.

The 13-8 with Paddy Power or William Hill looks well worth tucking in to.

In the Festival Hurdle over two miles at 1.55pm you get the impression the only way Solwhit’s connections can get one over Hurricane Fly in his current vein of form is with a tazar gun craftily deployed near the final hurdle – Willie Mullins stable star couldn’t have been more impressive in seeing off his great rival in the Hatton’s Grace earlier in the month.

Those of you with longer memories will recall Punchestown back in April when Hurricane Fly got the better of Solwhit once more in the Rabobank Champion Hurdle.

In short it should become 3-0 to Hurricane Fly shortly before 2pm. He’s biggest at 4-6 with Totesport.

We’ll need a fourth selection, and that arrives courtesy of a very strong word for Nicky Henderson’s Irish import Accordingtojodie, an Accordion four year old who’s very strongly tipped up to win the concluding bumper at Newbury (3.50pm).

The winner of his only career start to date, at Galway in August when with Tom Mullins, our man with his snout in the trough at Seven Barrows says get on. That’ll do for me.

Good luck!

Wednesday’s best bet – win yankee on the following selections plus win singles on Big Zeb and Accordingtojodie:

12.50 Leopardstown – paddpowerpoker.com Future Champions Novice Hurdle – 5 Zaidpour (win) @ 2/5 (Paddy Power or Boylesports)

1.20 Leopardstown – Paddy Power Dial-A-Bet Chase – 1 Big Zeb (win) @ 13/8 (William Hill)

1.55 Leopardstown – paddypower.com Iphone App Festival Hurdle – 1 Hurricane Fly (win) @ 4/6 (Totesport)

3.50 Newbury – Help Heros – Help Horses Charity Standard Open NH Flat Race – 1 Accordingtojodie (win) @ 11/10 (Bet365 or Victor Chandler)

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Posted 6 years, 9 months ago

21 Aug
2010

The Baron can lord it at Sandown – Saturday’s best bets

It’s the end of a full on week on the Knavesmire but the show must go on, and we’re off to Sandown Park this afternoon to try and round things off in style on Variety Club day.

The big betting race of the day live on C4 is the Sunderlands Handicap over 1m2f at 3.10pm – plenty in there with a shout but the one improving at the fastest rate of knots appears to be Tony Newcombe’s course and distance winner Hanoverian Baron, who has won four of his last six and may well still have more to come.

He’s up to a mark of 91, but only went up three pounds for his win at Ascot last time and has benefitted enormously for the switch to middle distances.

The defection of Spanish Duke will make the task a good deal easier, and Steve Drowne (who last partnered him when he won over c&d) can guide Hanoverian Baron to another victory.

At Bath tonight in the mile handicap (7.05pm) don’t be too surprised to see a resurgent display from John Quinn’s recently out of sorts Captain Macarry.

This is an open looking contest and having hinted at a return to form at Sandown last time when he finished fourth Captain Macarry really ought to be able to make his presence felt here off a perch of just 73.

You only have to go back to October to find him winning a race off 85, but he’s been out of sorts since then. Now though he’s tumbling down he weights and will be a danger to all in a weaker race than he’s been eligible for recently.

His trainer bagged two winners at the Ebor meeting this week in the shape of New Planet and Hawk Mountain, and I’m hopeful of a command performance from Captain Macarry.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

3.10 Sandown – Sunderlands Handicap – 8 Hanoverian Baron (win) @ 7/1 with Ladbrokes

7.05 Bath – Swindon Designer Outlet Tommy Hilfiger Handicap – 5 Captain Macarry (win) @ 5/1 with Paddy Power

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Posted 7 years, 1 month ago

07 Aug
2010

Saturday’s Tips for Ascot, Ayr & Newmarket

Saturday’s Morning Line should be well worth waking up for, with Paul Fisher (COO of Jockey Club Racecourses and star of Thursday night’s Undercover Boss on C4) on tap as studio guest at Newmarket.

The likable Fisher came across really well mingling with his rank and file employees, working as a groundsman at Carlisle, on the turnstiles at Cheltenham, as well as taking orders and washing the dishes at Sandown amongst others – as such he should be excellent value.

Saturday’s racing isn’t one of the stronger weekends on the calendar, but it is Shergar Cup day at Ascot, and I’ll be hoping to back a couple of winners at the Berkshire venue, starting with Robert Cowell’s consistent type Prohibit in the five furlong Shergar Cup Dash at 2.10pm.

Although he’s never won a handicap off a mark this high Prohibit is well drawn, in the form of his life, has posted two very good recent efforts at Ascot, and due to the international nature of the day has the assistance of Christophe Soumillon in the plate.

He takes his racing really well this fella, and can post his first win since March after a cracking effort to take third in the Stewards’ Cup last Saturday.

Next up is a 0-95 handicap over a mile and a half run as the Shergar Cup Classic, and Michael Jarvis’s Rahy gleding Yashrid looks like a typical improver from his top stable.

Already a course and distacce winner Yashrid has been successful in three of his seven starts to date, with his best effort produced most recently when taking a 0-85 in some style at Ascot.

After being bumped near the start he ran on very strongly that day in the hands of Philip Robinson, and although this is tougher the handicapper only put him up four pounds for that, and the booking of Hayley Turner could be just what’s needed.

It’s a race with plenty of plausible alternatives, but Yashrid went in the notebook immediately after his win at the end of July, and can complete a hat-trick here.

In the Shergar Cup Stayers at 3.55pm I’m confident we can recoup last week’s losses on Mark Johnston’s Lady Eclair.

Johnston was incredibly bullish about the prospects of his Danehill Dancer filly when she was upped vastly in trip to 2m 5f in the Goodwood Stakes last week, telling anyone who’d listen he though she’d see out the trip and win.

As it was the petrol light was flickering on empty a quarter of a mile from home, and she could only plug on to be fourth. There’ll be no such problems here though, as she’ll stay two miles standing on her head, and can resume winning ways in the hands of South African pilot Anton Marcus, known back home as ‘Superman’.

In the first race of their evening card at Ayr there ought to be a health warning attached to backing Jim Goldie’s River Falcon in the six furlong apprentice handicap (5.40pm).

At the age of 10 and without a win for fully three years I certainly won’t be going in heavy, but running off a big weight with a capable 5lb claimer easing the burden in the weakest race he’s contested for a very long time, you’d have to say it’s game over if he can’t win this, and I can’t resist one last flutter on the old boy.

He is now more than two stone below his career high mark of 99, but as recently as May he was rated over a stone higher than his current mark of 70, and you don’t have to trawl back miles to find some reasonable efforts than provide encouragement than he can make mincemeat of these rivals.

A cautious win bet in is the advice (if you’re in the mood).

Finally to Newmaret where’ll I’ll be stationed with the Channel 4 team, watching the highlight of the card in the shape of a potentially informative Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes for juvenile fillies.

Soviet Song and Rainbow View are just a couple of the names to land this race in recent years, while last year’s fourth home Snow Fairy hasn’t done so badly this season…..

Luca Cumani and Kieren Fallon look to hold the whip hand here as Khor Sheed bids to step up on her recent listed win over six furlongs on the July course.

She was impressive that day given that she was slowly away, getting up to see off Shoshoni Wind by a cosy length. The extra furlong will allow her to do things a little more fluently, and she can take this valuable prize en-route to a tilt at some more prestigious targets later in the year.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

2.10 Ascot – Barclays Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) – 2 Prohibit (each way) @ 4/1 with Ladbrokes

2.35 Newmarket – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes – 7 Khor Sheed (win) @ 9/4 with Bet365 or Paddy Power

2.45 Ascot – Titanic Quarter Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) – 6 Yashrid (win) @ 4/1 with Paddy Power or Ladbrokes

3.55 Ascot – St Hallett Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) – 1 Lady Eclair (win) @ 10/3 with Stan James

5.40 Ayr – Champagne G.H. Mumm Cordon Rouge Apprentice Handicap – 1 River Falcon (win)
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Posted 7 years, 1 month ago

08 Jul
2010

Pursue the ‘Spanish’ look on Ladies’ Day – Thursday’s Newmarket tips

The Spanish are in the ascendancy at present, but at Newmarket today it can pay to side not with Xavi and Iniesta, but with Stoute and Moore, as they team up with Spanish Moon in the feature Princess of Wales’s sportingbet.com Stakes, live on C4 at 3.10pm.

The undoubted class horse of the race Spanish Moon hasn’t been seen in this country since winning a listed race on the All Weather at Kempton in November 2008 – soon afterwards the killjoy powers that be slapped him with a parking ticket for being a shade tricky about loading in the stalls, and his connections cleverly chose to look further afield and have been mining far better prize money all over the place ever since.

His British exile has yielded all sorts of lucrative efforts elsewhere: second in the Dubai Sheema Classic, a win in the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud, a win in Longchamp’s Prix Foy, fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Turf, second in the Hong Kong Vase and another third in the Sheema Classic last time out.

This is a horse who’s achieved lifetime earnings in excess of £1.75m – not bad for a creature who sometimes has second thoughts about being bundled into the stalls!

Joking apart the six year old goes well fresh, has had a nice break since his latest spell in Dubai, is absolutely versatile as regards ground, and hails from a stable which has won this race three times in five seasons.

He passed a stalls test at Lingfield last week, so as long as he’s on best behaviour this afternoon he can do the business for us here.

Godolphin’s Holberg is the most likely challenger according to the bookmakers’ lists, but he may not be able to live with the proven class of Spanish Moon, despite hacking up in a listed race at Goodwood on his return from injury.

Of the remainder Man Of Iron is interesting – the winner of last year’s Breeders’ Cup Marathon when trained by Aidan O’Brien, he’s now with Luca Cumani and could well make the places, although he does have to improve on his one effort this season, when third in the listed Fred Archer Stakes over course and distance less than three weeks ago.

However the 15/8 with Coral and William Hill about Spanish Moon picking up where he left off on British soil looks about right to me.

In the opening race on Ladies’ Day, the Group 3 Bahrain Trophy, it can pay to ignore the official figures and back one of the lower rated horse in the race, one making rapid progress who can make the step up in class: step forward emphatic Edinburgh Cup winner Harris Tweed for William Haggas and Liam Jones.

This will be far harder for him racing off level weights against superior animals, with Corsica benefitting from a vast pull at the weights having given up 18lb for a five length beating last time, but that doesn’t take into account the progress being made by Harris Tweed – he’s improved measurably since Musselburgh say connections, and is well worth a shot at a better race.

You can back him early doors at 3/1 with Sportingbet who are best price.

While I strongly fancy the aforementioned tips my thoughts on the TNT July Stakes at 2.00pm are purely speculative, with a very small win bet unable to do any damage:

Only five go to post in a muddling contest, with Royal Ascot winner Approve penalised for his success there, Godolphin’s Neebras obviously dangerous after going down in a scrap with Coventry winner Strong Suit at Newbury, but then returning to rout the opposition in a Goodwood maiden, and Elzaam who is odds on after failing by the narrowest of margins against Strong Suit in the Coventry at the Royal Meeting.

There’s another one I haven’t menioned though, and that’s 9/1 shot Libranno.

The idea of backing an unbeaten Richard Hannon two year old at 9’s in a five horse race is quite appealing for a small stake, and even if the bookmakers are correct and he finishes fourth of five you haven’t got to have too much on at that price.

Essentially Liranno could be anything, but I’m having an interest at the price just in case – Paddy Power are laying the 9’s.

Good luck!

Thursday’s Newmarket tips:

1.30 – Bahrain Trophy – 3 Harris Tweed (win) @ 3/1 (Sportingbet)

2.00 – TNT July Stakes – 3 Libranno (win) @ 9/1 (Paddy Power)

3.10 – Princess of Wales’s sportingbet.com Stakes – 7 Spanish Moon (win) @ 15/8 (Coral and William Hill)

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Posted 7 years, 2 months ago

28 May
2010

In hot pursuit of Angels on another Haydock Super Saturday

It’s another belter of a card at Haydock Park this Saturday afternoon, one which readers would do well to take a good look at with some cracking action in store.

They kick off with a previous Group 3 winner High Standing aiming to launch his 2010 season with a win first time in the sports360.co.uk Achilles Stakes at 2.00pm.

I’m really looking forward to seeing him back on a racecourse, but a bet looks out of the question as they’ve chosen to drop him back in trip to five furlongs, and how his familiar hold up tactics and that trademark finishing burst inside the last furlong will be delivered is open to debate.

Ex Preston North End legend Martin James is the man behind Sports360, a leading sports branding agency (sponsors of the Achilles), but the identity of some of the characters invited to quaff champage in his box at Haydock would leave you reeling. A couple of the freeloaders involved are serial offenders….

Speaking of which the noble Lord Culcheth has also popped up in the past seven days, making a real nuisance of himself after bumping into some unsuspecting American tourists from Kentucky.

The unfortunate Yanks apparently made the mistake of being charmed by his sinister grin, spray tan, pencil thin moustache and ill fitting tracksuit, and requested a tour guide to show them the way to a decent boozer in their chosen town, only to be frog marched commando style into a grotty cougar den where the evil Culcheth proceeded to ignore them wholesale, and promptly copped off with some decrepid, haggard, leathery creature near the dj booth.

Back to the racing though and one horse I will be backing in a hard to solve J.W. Lees Sandy Lane Stakes at 2.30pm is in form Richard Hannon’s Angel’s Pursuit.

He’s very closely matched with the re-opposing Quarrel on his Newbury form in September’s Group 2 Dubai Duty Free Stakes, having finished a length ahead of his rival that day at level weights, whereas here he has to concede 3lbs.

What I like about Angel’s Pursuit though is he’s had a run (Quarrel hasn’t been seen since), and what’s more it was a highly pleasing winning one as he took Newbury’s listed Carnarvon Stakes a couple of weeks ago.

Corporal Maddox ran in the same race but threw in a stinker and was the first beaten, while on his first run of the season he couldn’t get the better of Society Rock at Ascot, the horse Angel’s Pursuit beat in a finish at Newbury.

We could see considerable improvement from Khattaab, while runaway Thirsk maiden winner Rainfall could turn out to be anything, but with trip and ground to suit it’s a win bet on Angel’s Pursuit for me.

Bookmakers free bets avialble to use on this weekend’s racing and the upcoming World Cup

Half an hour later the filles and mares take their turn in the EBF Joan Westbrook Pinnacle Stakes (3.00pm).

French import Becqu Adoree fascinates me on her first start for Luca Cumani, but she might appreciate some real cut in the ground and is passed over in favour of tough as nails Barshiba for David Elsworth and Hayley Turner.

A course and distance winner of last year’s Lancashire Oaks this filly is a class act, as displayed when she saw off Duncan in game fashion in a small field at Ascot three weeks ago.

Things will be easier back against her own sex, and although Les Fazzani will have her fans she found one too good at Chester in the shape of Debussy in the Huxley Stakes, and that could prove to be the case once again with Barshiba fancied to do the business.

In the maiden at 4.10pm there looks to be a winner waiting to happen in the shape of the Queen’s Royal Applause colt Royal Exchange.

Of the three of these who’ve had a run he’s the only one to have made the frame, going down by a whisker when chinned by Klammer in the dying strides at Newbury in April.

Klammer gave that form a healthy boost when going in again at Newmarket in May, and Royal Exchange really ought to gain compensation here.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets at Haydock Park:

2.30 – J.W. Lees Sandy Lane Stakes – 1 Angel’s Pursuit (win) @ 5/1 with Paddy Power

3.00 – EBF Joan Westbrook Pinnacle Stakes – 1 Barshiba (win) @ 10/3 with Stan James

4.10 – EBF R Draper Ltd Maiden Stakes – 6 Royal Exchange (win)

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Posted 7 years, 4 months ago

06 Nov
2009

Chasing the American Dream – 2009 Breeders’ Cup Tips

All eyes on Santa Anita for this weekend's tips

All eyes on Santa Anita for this weekend's tips

Two great days racing from the sun-drenched Los Angeles suburb of Santa Anita involving a typically strong European challenge are just around the corner, and to celebrate I’ll be enjoying the LA weather from the comfort of the somewhat more inclement surroundings of Doncaster.

Put the violin away though and get stuck in to to the best bets across the 14 race card.

Racing UK and At the Races are showing the whole thing, and on Friday night I can pass on a strong word for American trainer Jonathan Sheppard’s four year old filly Informed Decision in the Filly & Mare Sprint over seven furlongs on the Pro-Ride surface (11.02pm).

Latest Breeders Cup Filly & Mares Sprint Betting
(more…)

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Posted 7 years, 10 months ago