Posts Tagged ‘ form ’

28 May
2010

In hot pursuit of Angels on another Haydock Super Saturday

It’s another belter of a card at Haydock Park this Saturday afternoon, one which readers would do well to take a good look at with some cracking action in store.

They kick off with a previous Group 3 winner High Standing aiming to launch his 2010 season with a win first time in the sports360.co.uk Achilles Stakes at 2.00pm.

I’m really looking forward to seeing him back on a racecourse, but a bet looks out of the question as they’ve chosen to drop him back in trip to five furlongs, and how his familiar hold up tactics and that trademark finishing burst inside the last furlong will be delivered is open to debate.

Ex Preston North End legend Martin James is the man behind Sports360, a leading sports branding agency (sponsors of the Achilles), but the identity of some of the characters invited to quaff champage in his box at Haydock would leave you reeling. A couple of the freeloaders involved are serial offenders….

Speaking of which the noble Lord Culcheth has also popped up in the past seven days, making a real nuisance of himself after bumping into some unsuspecting American tourists from Kentucky.

The unfortunate Yanks apparently made the mistake of being charmed by his sinister grin, spray tan, pencil thin moustache and ill fitting tracksuit, and requested a tour guide to show them the way to a decent boozer in their chosen town, only to be frog marched commando style into a grotty cougar den where the evil Culcheth proceeded to ignore them wholesale, and promptly copped off with some decrepid, haggard, leathery creature near the dj booth.

Back to the racing though and one horse I will be backing in a hard to solve J.W. Lees Sandy Lane Stakes at 2.30pm is in form Richard Hannon’s Angel’s Pursuit.

He’s very closely matched with the re-opposing Quarrel on his Newbury form in September’s Group 2 Dubai Duty Free Stakes, having finished a length ahead of his rival that day at level weights, whereas here he has to concede 3lbs.

What I like about Angel’s Pursuit though is he’s had a run (Quarrel hasn’t been seen since), and what’s more it was a highly pleasing winning one as he took Newbury’s listed Carnarvon Stakes a couple of weeks ago.

Corporal Maddox ran in the same race but threw in a stinker and was the first beaten, while on his first run of the season he couldn’t get the better of Society Rock at Ascot, the horse Angel’s Pursuit beat in a finish at Newbury.

We could see considerable improvement from Khattaab, while runaway Thirsk maiden winner Rainfall could turn out to be anything, but with trip and ground to suit it’s a win bet on Angel’s Pursuit for me.

Bookmakers free bets avialble to use on this weekend’s racing and the upcoming World Cup

Half an hour later the filles and mares take their turn in the EBF Joan Westbrook Pinnacle Stakes (3.00pm).

French import Becqu Adoree fascinates me on her first start for Luca Cumani, but she might appreciate some real cut in the ground and is passed over in favour of tough as nails Barshiba for David Elsworth and Hayley Turner.

A course and distance winner of last year’s Lancashire Oaks this filly is a class act, as displayed when she saw off Duncan in game fashion in a small field at Ascot three weeks ago.

Things will be easier back against her own sex, and although Les Fazzani will have her fans she found one too good at Chester in the shape of Debussy in the Huxley Stakes, and that could prove to be the case once again with Barshiba fancied to do the business.

In the maiden at 4.10pm there looks to be a winner waiting to happen in the shape of the Queen’s Royal Applause colt Royal Exchange.

Of the three of these who’ve had a run he’s the only one to have made the frame, going down by a whisker when chinned by Klammer in the dying strides at Newbury in April.

Klammer gave that form a healthy boost when going in again at Newmarket in May, and Royal Exchange really ought to gain compensation here.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets at Haydock Park:

2.30 – J.W. Lees Sandy Lane Stakes – 1 Angel’s Pursuit (win) @ 5/1 with Paddy Power

3.00 – EBF Joan Westbrook Pinnacle Stakes – 1 Barshiba (win) @ 10/3 with Stan James

4.10 – EBF R Draper Ltd Maiden Stakes – 6 Royal Exchange (win)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 7 years, 5 months ago

10 Apr
2010

Saturday’s Betting Directory Grand National tip?

It feels like a year in racing can pass in the blink of an eye, and although it doesn’t seem like 10 minutes ago it really is 12 months since Mon Mome carried 11 stone to victory in the John Smith’s Grand National, earning himself a place in racing’s hall of fame and propelling jockey Liam Treadwell into the headlines after Clare Balding’s comments about his teeth.

At 4.15pm on Saturday Mon Mome will be back at Aintree to defend his crown under 11st 7lb, although Aidan Coleman takes over in the saddle after recovering from a heavy fall at the track on Thursday afternoon.

Click here for the 2010 Grand National Racecard and Latest Odds

Tom Lee’s selection for the 2010 John Smith’s Grand National
Number 24, Character Building (each way) @ 20/1 (Betfair).

Tom’s Grand National Lowdown

Here’s the lowdown on the market principals, and Tom Lee’s Betting Directory take on who’ll be picking up the £521,053 first prize:

Grand NationalBig Fella Thanks – 3lb lower (now off a mark of 146) than when sixth in the 2009 National. Represents leading trainer/jockey combo of Paul Nicholls and Ruby Walsh, nicely weighted and has good experience of these big fences. Won his warm up race at Newbury but is prone to making the blunder, as seen at Becher’s first time around last season. Other reservations would be his age (he’s only eight and all bar one recent winner have been nine or more) and his win record – two of his 10 starts over fences. Nonetheless he looks certain to go off favourite. Back Big Fella Thanks and get a £10 Free Bet
 

Grand NationalMon Mome – 100/1 rag when winning this a year ago, he now has the assistance of the excellent Aidan Coleman up top and will be a popular each way selection. Hasn’t managed to win since, but ran a magnificent prep race when charging up the hill to nab third in the Gold Cup. This will be his third spin in the race and although it’ll be harder under his big weight he’s impossible to rule out. Back Mon Mome and get a £10 Free Bet

Grand NationalThe Package – The subject of sustained support in recent days he looks to hold a cracking chance despite the stats speaking loudly against the younger horses. Timmy Murphy felt unable to desert 2008 winner Comply Or Die so Graham Lee takes this plum mount. Only a seven year old this will be just his ninth run over fences, but he jumps and stays and might be running on through beaten horses. Ran a superb race in defeat when narrowly touched off by Chief Dan George in the William Hill Trophy at the Cheltenham Festival, although how much that took out of him would be the worry. Back The Package and get a £10 Free Bet

Grand NationalBlack Apalachi – One of two decent chances for trainer Dessie Hughes this 11-year-old will be looking to improve on two previous tries in the National; in 2008 he fell at the second, while in ’09 he unshipped Denis O’Regan at Becher’s the second time around. Does though have fond memories of these fences after landing the 2008 Becher Chase. Stays longer than the mother-in-law, but might want some rain to be seen to full effect. Back Black Apalachi and get a £10 Free Bet

Grand NationalSnowy Morning – 10 years of age now he’s the sole representative for number one Irish trainer Willie Mullins (n.b. age is certainly no barrier – 15 of the last 16 winners were aged 9 or above). Third in Denman’s Sun Alliance back in 2007 he has completed on both tries in the National to date, finishing third off a mark of 145 in 2008, then running ninth a year ago. A versatile performer, he’s effective at a range of trips and has won over both fences and hurdles since his last visit to Liverpool. Is off a feasible mark, and the Irish have won five of the last 10 runnings. Back Snowy Morning and get a £10 Free Bet

Grand NationalTricky Trickster – One of four chances for champion trainer Paul Nicholls I’m far from keen on his chances. A lovely looking type he changed hands for huge money after winning the 2009 National Hunt Chase with a view to winning this race. Had he come here off the back of his win in the Aon Chase I’d give him a squeak, but in retrospect it may have been a big mistake running him in the Gold Cup (in which he ran miserably, beaten over 100 lengths by Imperial Commander). What’s more he’s got to defy the stats as a seven-year-old – as mentioned above 15 of the last 16 winners were aged 9 or more. If I were a bookmaker I’d be very happy to lay him at 16/1. Back Tricky Trickster and get a £10 Free Bet

Grand NationalArbor Supreme – Not without a chance for JP McManus (who has four runners in the race). Won’t mind better ground than he often encounters in his native Ireland on this his first ever run on English soil. Ran a sound prep race at Leopardstown and looks a thorough stayer based on his wins over marathon trips at Punhcestown and Fairyhouse in 2008. Benefits from the assistance of the brilliant young Paul Townend on his back, but I do wonder if he’s good enough to take this off a stiff enough looking mark of 142. Back Arbor Supreme and get a £10 Free Bet

Grand NationalNiche Market – Thoroughly likeable type who has been a great success story his underrated stable. Winner of the Irish Grand National in April 2009, he’s never run at Aintree before but has plenty of experience of big fences, is a thorough stayer and ran a belter to be third to Denman in this season’s Hennessy. Was only just denied by Tricky Trickster in the Aon, and although he finished down the field in the William Hill latest he’d certainly have an each way squeak. Horses who ran in the previous season’s Irish National do have a good record – Bobbyjo, Papillon, Red Marauder and Numbersixvalverde are recent winners who did exactly that. Back Niche Market and get a £10 Free Bet

Grand NationalState Of Play – 2008 Charlie Hall Chase winner has had his injury problems but comes here a fresh horse having only run once (pulled up in the Hennssy) since finishing fourth to Mon Mome a year ago. Evidence of more recent well being would be encouraging, but took to the National fences with relish last season, bravely rallying three furlongs out and mounting a challenge after having lost his place. Represents a shrewd outfit and is 5lb lower now. Chance. Back State of Play and get a £10 Free Bet

Grand NationalCharacter Building – Yet to totally fulfil the enormous promise he has always shown, the booking of Nina Carberry could prove to be a masterstroke. Stays all day, is a bit careful, a bit lazy, but might well be able to weave his way through the inevitable chaos and put in a challenge at the business end of this wonderful race. Back Character Building and get a £10 Free Bet

The brilliant Nina could be just what he needs to kid him through the early stages and if she can get him to put it in then he’s very nicely weighted, will go on the ground and has just about the perfect level of experience. Hasn’t troubled the judge yet this season but this is a race in which recent form is somewhat less important. Generally makes the frame. Won 2009 Kim Muir Chase. My each way selection at 20/1 with Coral and Sportingbet.

Grand NationalComply Or Die – Timmy Murphy has remained loyal to the 2008 winner, although he is a stone higher in the weights nowadays. Simply loves this race. Not only has he won it, but also returned to be a brave second to Mon Mome in 2009. No eye-catching form to speak of this term, but don’t let that put you off since the same was true in the run up to last year’s contest. No prizes for guessing which race has been his target all year.  Back Comply or Die and get a £10 Free Bet

Good luck!

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 7 years, 7 months ago

27 Nov
2009

What a Weekend in store at Newbury – tips available now

Denman is red hot favourite for the Hennessy but I'm opposing him!

Denman is red hot favourite for the Hennessy but I'm opposing him!

A nigh on perfect weekend of sport lies in wait for armchair punters, with two fantastic days racing at Newbury, Newcastle’s Fighting Fifth, a typically strong Hatton’s Grace card at Fairyhouse, plus a mid-table scouse derby, the pivotal top of the table Arsenal v Chelsea game and the small matter of ‘el derbi superclasico’ over in Spain.

I can just picture my great mate Lord Culcheth parked on the sofa glugging his Liebfraumilch from a pint glass, Betfair fired up on his laptop, the 42 inch stolen plasma screen belting out Sky Sports or some obscure hooky Greek satellite channel, mobile at the ready, smug grin on his face as he snuggles up to some leathery old cougar he met while prowling the coat queue or the burger van at 4am that morning, dreaming of a trip to Andalucia with the profits of his punting.
(more…)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 7 years, 11 months ago

14 Nov
2009

All points North in the Paddy Power Gold Cup – Saturday’s tips

We’re up and running with a brilliant first day of the Open Meeting in the can at Cheltenham, with Razor Royale bagging the biggie he’s always threatened and Henry de Bromhead’s Loosen The Load staking his claim as a hurdler to follow this season (at over 18 hands he’s going to be some chaser under big weights with a penalty in his novice campaign), followed by banks specialist Garde Champetre stealing the show in the Cross Country race. All that despite the rain.

It’s brilliant being back at Cheltenham with its lively, friendly, knowledgeable crowd, and on Saturday afternoon they can profit from backing Irish raider Northern Alliance in the feature Paddy Power Gold Cup at 2.35pm.

Plenty of positives to recommend this horse with too: in good form this year in all disciplines having being at least placed on the flat, over hurdles and fences in recent times, he took the Guinness Kerry National at the Listowel Festival last time out in the hands of Ruby Walsh, beating a solid yard stick in the shape of veteran Church Island.

Paul Carberry resumes his partnership with the eight year old this time, and this sound jumper who has won three of his seven chase starts can land a major prize here.
(more…)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 8 years ago

06 Nov
2009

Chasing the American Dream – 2009 Breeders’ Cup Tips

All eyes on Santa Anita for this weekend's tips

All eyes on Santa Anita for this weekend's tips

Two great days racing from the sun-drenched Los Angeles suburb of Santa Anita involving a typically strong European challenge are just around the corner, and to celebrate I’ll be enjoying the LA weather from the comfort of the somewhat more inclement surroundings of Doncaster.

Put the violin away though and get stuck in to to the best bets across the 14 race card.

Racing UK and At the Races are showing the whole thing, and on Friday night I can pass on a strong word for American trainer Jonathan Sheppard’s four year old filly Informed Decision in the Filly & Mare Sprint over seven furlongs on the Pro-Ride surface (11.02pm).

Latest Breeders Cup Filly & Mares Sprint Betting
(more…)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 8 years ago

10 Jul
2009

Time for a Bunbury Cup Thrill From Captain Brill – Friday’s Newmarket Tip

It was hard not to be mightily impressed by Captain Brilliance’s return to the track from a protracted injury lay off over course and distance last time out. Everything looks set for a big run from the classy four year old who represents the Jeremy Noseda yard. The booking of Johnny Murtagh to take the ride only inspires further confidence.

The bullish sentiments from those closely invovled with the horse suggest he may well progress a good deal further than handicap company, and as such he merits a win bet at 4/1 this afternoon with Ladbrokes.

Meanwhile, at Chester in the ‘lucky last’, look no further than Mark Brisbournes Prelude. A trip to Chester in the second week of July usually results in a course and distance win for Prelude and back off a winning mark he looks set to maintain that tradition. Bet365 go best price at 3/1.
(more…)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 8 years, 4 months ago

10 Jun
2009

Yeats is the tip for the Ascot Gold Cup

Tom is on holiday this week, so he has left his column in the trusty hands of the Betting Directory editorial team! Despite him sunning himslef in warmer climates, he has still found time to pick up the phone and point us in the direction of some value about potential winner – in the form of Yeats to win next week’s Ascot Gold Cup at an attractive price of 3/1, a price generally available with most bookmakers.

The Aidan O’Brien trained Yeats will be bidding for his fourth successive Ascot Gold Cup victory when he lines up for next Thursday’s Group One, 2 mile 4 furlong trip around the Berkshire track. Should he win, he will become the first horse ever to win the race four times and currently shares the record of three back to back victories with the great French horse of the 70s, Sagaro.

His first win in the race came back in 2006 when he won at odds of 7/1, when he proved that he loves  every yard of this marathon trip and he followed up in 2007 and 2008 at odds of 8/13 and 11/8 respictively, with last year’s win being the most decisive with a winning margin of five lengths back to Geordieland in second place.
(more…)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 8 years, 5 months ago

01 Jun
2009

Best Bets for Monday’s Racing

After a couple of promising efforts John Dunlop’s well regarded Times Up can score in the 4:30 at Leicester now that he steps up in trip and the 6/4 generally available with any of the following bookmakers makes appeal –  Ladbrokes, Stan James, Paddy Power.

Later on at Windsor, take a bit of the 3/1 with Bet365 about Nadeen, building on his debut success in a Brighton maiden.

Two win singles and a win double is today’s advice.

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 8 years, 5 months ago

13 May
2009

York’s back! Wednesday’s tips?

It’s 10 months since I’ve paid a visit to the picturesque Knavesmire, rain stopping play at the Ebor before a major revamp of the drainage system lead to a prolonged closure during the late summer and Autumn racing months.

Now though York’s back, and with the sun beating down and the course looking in pristine condition it’s all systems go.

The pick of the days racing is the Group 3 Tattersalls Musidora Stakes at 2.40pm, in which four of the six runners are still engaged in the Oaks, and the one I’m really looking forward to seeing strut her stufff is Michael Bell’s filly Sariska – a maiden winner at Newmarket back in November she met every bit of trouble going in her Guineas trial at Newbury, finishing a creditable fourth given the circumstances over seven furlongs in the Fred Darling.

Bred to stay much further I had her down as an unlucky loser that day given that she was a bit of a madame going down to the start, then missed the break, and then capped it off by meeting every bit of traffic going during the race. Perhaps not in receipt of the finest ride, she should see plenty of daylight in this small field and can atone.

Bell opted to swerve the Guineas after Newbury, choosing a step up in trip and hopefully a tilt at the Oaks (for which she is 10/1 general).

The fast-ish going is my one area of concern, but that also applies to High Heeled, and the one I really fear is the Queen’s horse Enticement – her own Newmarket win in November has worked out particuarly well.

All things considered though I think we could see fireworks from Sariska now she steps up in trip, her trainer holds her in the highest regard, and the 11/4 (guaranteed) with Boylesports looks worth a dabble.

Later in the afternoon the Blue Square EBF Novice Stakes sees five go to post, and I can pass on a good word for Mick Quinlan’s Starburst Excel, the only filly in the race, and the subject of positive reports from the Newmarket moles.

She was fourth of eleven on her racecourse debut at Newmarket in April, and in receipt of a handy 5lb fillies’ allowance here she can gain her first career success at 7/2 with Bet365.

Wednesday’s York tips:

2.40 5 Sariska (win) @ 11/4 (Boylesports)

4.20 6 Starburst Excel (win) @ 7/2 (Bet365)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 8 years, 6 months ago

07 May
2009

Here Come the Girls! (For this weekend’s tips)

It’s a fair bet that plenty of the boozed up patrons staggering out of a brilliant three day Chester May Meeting won’t be making it much further than the adjacent ancient city walls, but fingers crossed that won’t apply to too many of the Channel 4 Racing team who’ll be hot-footing it in the direction of Gatwick Airport and more specifically, Lingfield Park, for Saturday’s Oaks and Derby Trials at the Surrey venue.

A few names spring to mind of great horses who’ve completed the Lingfield/Epsom colts double, not least High Rise in 1998 (aren’t winning bets always memorable?!), although Teenoso, Slip Anchor and Kahyasi also won the Lingfield Trial before winning the big one.

That said, I’ll be waiting ’til 3.45pm for a bet and the Group 3 totesportbingo.com Chartwell Fillies’ Stakes over 7f for which 10 go to post.

Barry Hills’ is having a week to remember after Ghanaati’s 1,000 Guineas triumph and Daraahem’s success in the Chester Cup, and the veteran trainer could be about to make a return visit to the winner’s podium courtesy of a success for game four year old Royal Applause filly Royal Confidence.

I’m not convinced how much winning this race is going to take, and while previous Group race winner Chantilly Tiffany is sure to attract plenty of interest, I liked the way Royal Confidence beat her at Doncaster’s Leger meeting in September, and fancy her to get her measure once again.

A seven furlong specialist, she was only beaten two and a half lengths in last year’s Guineas, and with Hill’s string in flying she can arrive fast and late to take this en-route to a likely tilt at Royal Ascot’s Group 2 Windsor Forest Stakes.

Up the M1 at Nottingham I’ll also be investing a few shillings in another filly – snappy dresser Alan Berry’s Look Busy, who lines up in the Listed totesport.com Kilvington Fillies’ Stakes at 3.30pm.

Berry hasn’t changed his stinking blue puffa jacket since about 1987, and neither had Look Busy changed her coat when seeing off Crimson Fern in her recent winning seasonal re-appearance. She should improve markedly for that.

Tough as old boots she notched her seventh win inside a year at Bath over 5f just eleven days ago, and now stepping up to 6f Berry wants to take this before trying to land Haydock Park’s valuable Temple Stakes on May 23rd. Don’t be surprised if she heads to the ‘dock with another win under her belt.

Good luck!

Weekend tips:

2 Look Busy (win) 3.30 Nottingham (Saturday)

4 Royal Confidence (win) 3.45 Lingfield (Saturday)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 8 years, 6 months ago