Posts Tagged ‘denman’

What a Weekend in store at Newbury – tips available now

Denman is red hot favourite for the Hennessy but I'm opposing him!

Denman is red hot favourite for the Hennessy but I'm opposing him!

A nigh on perfect weekend of sport lies in wait for armchair punters, with two fantastic days racing at Newbury, Newcastle’s Fighting Fifth, a typically strong Hatton’s Grace card at Fairyhouse, plus a mid-table scouse derby, the pivotal top of the table Arsenal v Chelsea game and the small matter of ‘el derbi superclasico’ over in Spain.

I can just picture my great mate Lord Culcheth parked on the sofa glugging his Liebfraumilch from a pint glass, Betfair fired up on his laptop, the 42 inch stolen plasma screen belting out Sky Sports or some obscure hooky Greek satellite channel, mobile at the ready, smug grin on his face as he snuggles up to some leathery old cougar he met while prowling the coat queue or the burger van at 4am that morning, dreaming of a trip to Andalucia with the profits of his punting.
(more…)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 3 months, 3 weeks ago

Back to the norm at Ascot & Wolverhampton – this weekend’s tips‏

Great though it is, there might not be quite the same buzz walking into York on Saturday morning as there was arriving at Longchamp a week ago, but with the exploits of Sea The Stars, Youmzain, Rosanara and Manighar still fresh in mind and conversation, it’ll be great to be back on the track and looking forward to the last five weekends of the Flat.
 
What’s more, with the Jumps campaign gathering pace there’s a lot to look forward to, not least the news from Paul Nicholls’ press day of the return of heavyweights Denman (likely to return in the Hennessy after a racecourse gallop at Exeter on Nov 10th) and Kauto Star (likely to return in the JNwine.com Champion or the Betfair Chase).

Bet On this Weekend’s Racing after registering with Bet365 and get upto a £200 Free Bet
(more…)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 5 months, 1 week ago

A Diamond each way bet for Friday‏

Sue Smith looks to have found Stagecoach Diamond a cracking opportunity to return to form and win his first race over fences at the age of 10 in Kelso’s John Smith’s Handicap Chase at 4.35pm on Friday.

A 120-rated winning hurdler Stagecoach Diamond is down to a mark of 108 over fences, and is certain to benefit hugely from quicker underfoot conditions.

He gets in with just 10 stone on his back, and that’s before conditional jockey Tjade Collier takes another valuable 3lb off.

Of the opposition you may remember injury prone top weight According To John finishing third in Denman’s SunAlliance back in 2007, while King Barry has been in sparkling form but is shooting up the handicap as a consequence.

Said to be flying at home Stagecoach Diamond can make his mark at likely odds of around 12/1. Get on each way.

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 1 year ago

Day 4 Cheltenham Tips – All To Play For!

Surprises a plenty on day three of the Festival as Big Buck’s upset the big two in the World Hurdle and Imperial Commander showed his true colours in the Ryanair to down hot favourite Voy Por Ustedes. The same Big Buck’s who wasn’t even intended to be jumping hurdles this season just a short while ago….

Less surprising was a 577-1 handicap double for Venetia Williams courtesy of Kayf Aramis in the Pertemps and Something Wells in the Festival Plate. We knew she’d come to the party sooner or later, although Davy Russell’s delayed tactics aboard Notable D’Estruval in the Plate left a few observers scratching their heads.

All in all a bookmakers day – two odds jollies turned over to knock the stuffing out of punters, plus a gamble on Poker De Sivola going astray in the Kim Muir.

Still, hope springs eternal, here’s the plan for Gold Cup day:

1.30 – JCB Triumph Hurdle

Walkon can get punters off to a flyer and put a smile back on Choc Thornton’s face after he took a kicking in the Champion Chase. He looked a class act when winning here last time, and chief market rival Zaynar showed all the acceleration of a fridge freezer in a recent piece of work at Kempton Park.

He’ll be better on the day but he’ll have to be at his very best to stop the ultra tough Walkon – 5/1 with Toteport and Paddy Power looks the way to go. Zaynar came out on top last time they met, but Walkon looks primed to reverse that form.

Triumph Hurdle Odds
2.05 – Vincent O’Brien County Hurdle (Handicap)

Dave’s Dream goes in search of the Imperial Cup/Cheltenham £75,000 bonus here, but I fancy Sunnyhillboy to ruin that particular plot – a ready winner at the Open meeting in November he’s been kept fresh for this target since a December victory at Sandown – back him each way at 8/1 (general).

County Hurdle Odds

2.40 – Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

Pride Of Dulcote can make his mark here – Alpha Ridge looks likely to make the running and set this up as a match between Cape Tribulation and Pride Of Dulcote. I have to favour Ruby Walsh’s mount on a testing track with the drying ground very much in his favour. The 7/2 with Blue Square and Paddy Power looks reasonable.

Albert Bartlett Hurdle Odds
3.20 – totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup

Kauto? Denman? Neptune? Madison?

Personally I’m Neptune Collonges all the way as he comes with none of the question marks associated with his more illustrious stablemates. This likeable grey continues to improve, was placed in the race last year, and looks sure to give his running.
The 6/1 looks a cracking each way bet with Bet365, Totesport and Victor Chandler.

Cheltenham Gold Cup

4.00 – Christie’s Foxhunter Chase

A contest I’m really looking forward to, with the chance to see Clive Smith’s distinctive colours back in the winner’s enclosure as Royal Auclair takes his chance in the Foxhunters. Now a 12 year old he’s run in all the top races down the years and can still be a force at this level following recent Hunter Chase wins at Sandown and Fontwell.

Back him each way at 10/1 (general)

Foxhunters Chase Odds
4.40 – Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle

David Pipe matches Willie Mullins’ feat in the Bumper by saddling eight of the 24 runners in the race named after his father, and he can hit the target with Big Eared Fran, a horse who looked the real deal in winning at Sandown last Saturday. There’s 5/1 available with VCBet, Paddy Power and William Hill.

Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
5.15 – Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase (Handicap)

Venetia Williams was firing on all cylinders on Thursday winning with 16/1 Kayf Aramis and 33/1 Something Wells, and she can notch again here with in-form Lorient Express.

The 10 year old is in the form of his life and can trouble the judge at 16/1 each way (general).

Grand Annual Chase Odds

Good luck!

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 1 year ago

Look to Ascot for Winning Tips this Weekend

You know things can’t be too bad when staring at you from the box directly ahead is Gold Cup winner Denman, to the left is runaway Queen Mother Champion Chase winner Master Minded, and to the right is treble King George winner Kauto Star.

That was the sight that confronted us early this morning when we paid a visit to the Ditcheat, base of Champion trainer Paul Nicholls to get the lowdown on Denman’s road to recovery following his treatment for an irregular heartbeat.

The big horse looked in great nick, cantering up the famous Manor Farm gallop ears-pricked looking every inch the star he is. Tune in to tomorrow’s Morning Line for some more detailed quotes from the frankly brilliant Nicholls, who couldn’t be more accomodating in keeping the public up-to-speed with one of his favourites. He’s all systems go for a tilt at Newbury’s Aon Chase on February 7th, so fingers crossed he’ll be as good as ever.

It can be little wonder so many winners are sent out week after week by Nicholls, there’s a great buzz about the place that seems to have everyone smiling, right the way up from the lads doing the mucking out to the bloke who makes the decisions. First class.�

Onto this weekend’s sport and opportunity knocks on an Ascot card jam packed full of quality action tomorrow afternoon, and I’m especially looking forward to seeing Lucy Wadham’s classy United serve it up in the Warfield Mares’ Hurdle at 2.50pm.

Off the track for 20 months after a fine third in the Champion Stayers’ Hurdle at the 2007 Punchestown Festival, she bounced back with a lively performance to see off Chief Yeoman at Haydock on the Saturday before Christmas, and said to have thrived since then, she’s going to take all the beating under the in-form Dominic Elsworth.

Her obvious long term target is the David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival, and she should take this en-route.

On the same card I really fancy Free World to advertise his Arkle claims in the Montpelier Group Lighting Novices’ Chase (1.40pm). I’m still not quite sure how he managed to get chinned in the dying strides by the gutsy Araldur at Sandown last time out (Choc Thornton’s ride like a man possessed might have something to do with it!), but I fancy him to get back on the winning trail tomorrow afternoon at the expense of the highly touted Calgary Bay.

Free World’s November defeat of the Philip Hobbs trained Planet Of Sound now reads especially well after he came out and won a hot contest at Newbury earlier this week.

It’s a thriller in prospect, with the second and fourth in the Arkle betting going toe to toe, and it could be worth dipping back into the Arkle market to take a bit of 14/1 each way about Free World for the long term target. (This column already advised fellow Nicholls’ inmate Tatenen at 16/1 for the Arkle back in October).�

I also like the look of Karabak in the National Hunt Novices’ Hurlde at 3.55pm. Alan King’s six-year-old caused a bit of an upset when he beat Nicholl’s Mahonia on Ruby Walsh’s comeback ride at Cheltenham in December, and he can go in again on his third try over hurdles.

He wants a fast pace and will definitely benefit from the step up in trip. Don’t forget only Mad Max has beaten him over timber so far, and he came out and won again this week too.

Lastly if you’re looking for one for the yankee at Ascot don’t miss Zaynar in the Juvenile Novices’ Hurdle at 12.30pm. He’ll be no price, but the 7/2 favourite for the Triumph Hurdle ought to enhance his already lofty reputation earnt in fine style with an emphatic win on his Newbury debut a few weeks back.�

PS, It appears the representatives of Manchester City Football Club weren’t having a laugh when they travelled to Milan to table a quite ridiculous €120m bid for Brazilian maestro Kaka. Beam me up! Unless Kaka’s on drugs or forced to sign at knife point there surely can’t be a prayer of him electing to exchange the San Siro for Stockport, Il Duomo for Dukinfield, Malpensa for Moston and pasta and olive oil for a nourishing dogfood pastie.

Even more remarkable is the fact that Skybet are still offering 10/3 about Kaka pulling on a Milan shirt in the first game after the absurd transfer window slams shut. It might not be everyone’s cup of tea,but I can’t resist a quid on him staying put.

Good luck!
Tom

Saturday 17th January Racing Tips
All at Ascot
Zaynar (12:30)
Free World (1:40)
United (2:50)
Karabak (2:55)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 1 year, 2 months ago

Get in Character for a Bet on The Hennessy Gold Cup

With Exotic Dancer all set to take on his old adversary Kauto Star in the Betfair Chase this Saturday it means the Hennessy weights are set to rise by a minimum 16lbs, good news if you’re eyeing the antepost lists for a likely contender lurking out of the weights in the mid 130’s.

Coming into Newbury’s big race of the year off a fair mark of 138 is John Quinn’s Character Building, third in the race to Denman 12 months ago when rated 135, and trained specifically for this target by his shrewd handler.

If there’s a a worry that his 2007/08 season ended prematurely due to injury then a winning re-appearance over hurdles at Towcester last month proved his well-being, as he stayed on up the stiffest of hills to see off Shannon Springs and put him spot on for Saturday week.

He’s fit and well, we know stamina won’t be an issue since he was second in the Cheltenham Festival four miler in 2007, he goes on literally any ground, and has form at the track. An each way investment at Sportingbet at odds of 8/1 looks to be the way to go.

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 1 year, 4 months ago

Kauto Star Odds Shorten in Haydock and Cheltenham Antepost Markets

The odds on kauto Star to win the Betfair Chase on the 22nd November are as short as 1/2 with Bluesq follwing his impressive win at Down Royal last weekend. The Paul Nicholls trained eight year old has won the first leg of the Betfair Million for the past two years and he is rightly warm order to make it a hat trick of wins in the race.

The manner in which he won last time out would suggest that he is somewhere close to the type of form he showed when winning the Cheltenham Gold Cup in 2007. He currently sits second, behind stablemate and current Gold Cup winner, Denman, in the betting for the 2009 renewal at best odds of 3/1 with Stan James, who have also shortened his odds about a third successive King George victory at Kempton on Boxing Day (5/6 from 10/11).

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 1 year, 4 months ago

Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips

To win a Cheltenham Gold Cup a horse needs to be at its prime. Staying chasers tend to reach their prime between seven and nine years old. Ten of the last eleven winners were aged between 7-9 years; with Denman, aged seven when winning last year. Those at the top of the market also do well, it is obvious that a horse thought to be good enough the race will have proven form and thus will have a shorter price. Eight of the last eleven winners were priced at 15/2 or shorter. Denman was 9/4 in 2008.

It is interesting to learn that Cheltenham Gold winners do not necessarily have to be hugely experienced. A trainer will always know whether or not he has a potential Gold Cup winner on his hands and therefore it stands to reason that he would not necessarily want to risk him by running him too often. For instance ten out of the last ten winners had raced only between 6-13 times over fences before landing the cup. Denman had raced only eight times over fences.

Prestbury Park, the Cheltenham Festival course is a unique trial for all horses and many find running there for the first time find the course and the gold cup atmosphere daunting. This is exacerbated if the race has a large field running. It is therefore sensible to look for a horse with either big race experience or indeed a horse with previous solid Cheltenham form. This is a well know trend for the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Eight out of the last eleven winners had either won or been second at Cheltenham before. Denman for instance had won the Sun Alliance Chase in 2006.

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 2 years ago