Archive for the ‘ Flat ’ Category

21 Oct
2016

A Riveting Racing Post Trophy

A field of 10 are declared to fight out Saturday’s Group 1 Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster, the £200,000 end of season highlight which you’ll see live with us on Channel 4 (3.50pm).

The highlight of a 10-race live bonanza which also features action over the sticks from Cheltenham’s Showcase meeting, the Donny highlight has gone to some special horses in recent years, the likes of Authorized, St Nicholas Abbey, Camelot and Kingston Hill.

The market for this race was turned on its head earlier this week, with a surge of support for current favourite Yucatan, who usurped his Aidan O’Brien-trained stablemate Capri as short-priced favourite, before the latter failed to feature in the final line-up.

O’Brien has won this race seven times down the years, initially gaining his first British Group 1 with Saratoga Springs in 1997, and most recently with Kingsbarns in 2012, and as well as Yucatan he also runs outsiders Finn McCool and The Anvil.

However, it’s not just O’Brien who has been prolific in this race, or on this course…

The last three seasons he’s had to settle for second best, thwarted by a jockey who seems to save his best for Town Moor.

Step forward dual St Leger winner, Andrea Atzeni, the man who piloted no less than eight winners at the track’s big September Festival.

Courtesy of Kingston Hill, Elm Park and most recently 33/1 shot Marcel, Atzeni has ridden the last three winners of the Racing Post Trophy, and in Rivet he has an excellent chance to extend the sequence this time around.

Rivet’s trainer, William Haggas, has enjoyed a bountiful season by anyone’s standards, firing in winners left, right and centre, and he’ll be looking forward to trying to bag this prize with a horse who is a recent Group 2 winner at this track, having taken the Champagne Stakes last month.

The Rowley Mile didn’t seem to suit him in the Dewhurst last time out, but Rivet gained valuable Group 1 experience at Newmarket, and don’t forget it’s still early days for a horse who has only had four starts.

The form of the Haggas stable, combined with the rich promise of Rivet as he steps up in trip, and the unerring accuracy of Atzeni when it comes to this race, all mean the Fastnet Rock colt has to get the vote – Rivet is available at 11/2 with either Coral or Skybet.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bet:

3.50 Doncaster – Racing Post Trophy – 6 Rivet (win) @ 11/2 (Coral or Skybet)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 6 months ago

14 Oct
2016

‘Man’ Up For Champions Day Challenge

The standard is so high it’s almost ridiculous at Ascot on Saturday, a venue which might not be everyone’s cup of tea, but boy can they attract the star names!

The Champion Stakes and QEII headline a glittering card just heaving with quality performers, with a total of four Group 1’s among a six race roster.

France have won the aforementioned £1.3m QIPCO Champion Stakes three times since 2006, most recently with Cirrus Des Aigles in 2011, and have a superb chance to do so once again five years on, as Jean-Claude Rouget joins the party with Almanzor.

Rouget won this race nine years ago in the days it was staged at Newmarket, getting the job done with Literato and giving me a winner in the process, and he returns with the horse who produced a jaw-dropping performance to seal the Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown five Saturdays ago.

Also the winner of the French Derby at Chantilly in June, he beat a cast of equine superstars last time out on the outskirts of Dublin, including subsequent Arc winner Found.

Rouget stood firm with his plan to bypass the riches on offer in the Arc, suggesting that Ascot would be Almanzor’s ideal track and this his perfect race.

He’ll have a freshness edge over the re-opposing Found, and though there a host of viable contenders, the French contender looks the real deal.

The great Frankel was the last favourite to take this prize back in 2012, but in Almanzor we look likely to have another.

Elsewhere on the card, a completely different angle arrives in the Group 1 Champions Fillies And Mares at 2.35pm.

Ireland hold a very strong hand courtesy of Seventh Heaven and Zhukhova, but one who might have been ignored from the same parish is Even Song…

A stable companion of Seventh Heaven, her season has turned into a disappointment after winning at Royal Ascot, but there’s still time to turn things around, especially when she’s 25/1.

Despatched the 4/5 favourite for the Irish Oaks (won by Seventh Heaven), she flopped that day and has failed to fire in one further appearance.

Yes she’s got work to do to catch up with her stablemate, plus on ratings several of her other opponents here, but watch her win at Royal Ascot again (a display which meant she went off odds on for a Group 1 next time out) and then question if she’s got the potential to find her spark again?

Jamie Spencer rides a filly who might run much, much better than the 25/1 with Hills suggests.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

2.35 Ascot – QIPCO British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes – 9 Even Song (each way) @ 25/1 (William Hill)

3.45 Ascot – QIPCO Champion Stakes – 9 Almanzor (win) @ 13/8 with Paddy Power 

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 6 months, 1 week ago

08 Oct
2016

Back To Business For The National Hunt Brigade…

Today’s fixture at Chepstow signals the start of the jumps campaign for many of the purists, the day when the big operations wheel out their early season silver and begin locking horns once again.

While the Flat season still has a month to go and today’s Dewhurst and Cesarewitch command plenty of attention, it’s across the Severn Bridge where many racing fans will be casting excited eyes, fuelled by the return of nearby Hereford from a four year absence just 48 hours ago.

One trainer who isn’t wasting a spare second this season is Neil Mulholland, the Northern Irishman in command of close to 100 horses, six of whom have won inside the last fortnight, including an across the card treble on Wednesday.

That this is a trainer who can unearth diamonds is without question, and today he might be the man to follow in a fiendishly tricky three mile handicap chase at 5.00pm, with his Indian Stream fancied to continue his upward curve.

Four from six over fences, handicappers tend to take a dim view of horses who win by 20 lengths in a supposedly hot race, but that’s exactly why Indian Stream did last time we saw him when winning at Market Raspberry in June, earning a 10 pound rise to today’s mark of 145.

Good ground and his form figures after an absence of three months or more (1,1,1) all bode well, and he looks a big danger despite coming up against proven quality today, available at 12/1 each way with Paddy Power.

Mulholland also appears to have an excellent chance with his other runner on the card, as Pure Poteen returns to try and repeat last year’s win in the concluding three mile Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase.

Down to a mark of 100, five pounds lower than when taking this 12 months ago, he’ll feel the benefit of a recent pipe opener over hurdles, and can go well in what isn’t a great race.

Finally, another horse on the lookout for a repeat win is Lucinda Russell’s Shine A Diamond in the 4.05 at Hexham.

The winner of the corresponding race in 2014 and also second in it a year ago, he’s had a recent run over hurdles to sharpen him up, and looks likely to be right in the mix.

Two pounds lower than when successful two years ago, plus only two pounds higher than when sent off the 15/8 jolly for this race last season, it won’t be his mark of 90 that prevents him from winning.

Shine A Diamond looks worth risking at the 9/1 available with any of bet365, BetVictor, Ladbrokes or Stan James.
Good luck!
Today’s best bets:

4.05 Hexham – Intu Handicap Chase – 3 Shine A Diamond (each way) @ 9/1 (bet365, BetVictor, Ladbrokes or Stan James)

5.00 Chepstow – Toteexacta Handicap Chase – 3 Indian Stream (each way) @ 12/1 (Coral or Paddy Power)

5.35 Chepstow – Totetrifecta Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase – 10 Pure Poteen (each way) @ 12/1 (Boyles or Paddy Power)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 6 months, 2 weeks ago

02 Oct
2016

Join The Jet Set At Chantilly

Nothing went right for Dermot Weld’s dual Derby winner Harzand last time out, struck into in the Irish Champion Stakes when strongly fancied to further enhance his reputation as Europe’s top three-year-old.

This afternoon’s £2.1m Qatar Prix De L’Arc De Triomphe looks the perfect stage for him to bounce back in the grandest style imaginable though, as he graces a contest in which 17 of the last 22 renewals have gone the way of his age group.

What’s more, Derby winners have an excellent record, taking three of the last seven.

The perfect man for the big occasion, Pat Smullen, is likely to have him perfectly positioned to strike, and Harzand can provide a first Arc for Weld, plus a first for Ireland since Dylan Thomas got the job done back in 2007.

Speaking of which, it’s to Ireland we’ll head for the day’s other recommendation, picking up on Adrian Keatley’s Jet Setting in the second race at Tipperary.

Dropping markedly in class, the Irish 1,000 Guineas winner can show her true colours against inferior opposition, lining up in the Group 3 Coolmore Concorde Stakes.

It’s worth remembering she loves testing ground and won by three lengths last time we saw her in a Group 3.

Good luck!

Sunday’s best bets:

2.10 Tipperary – Coolmore Concorde Stakes – 3 Jet Setting (win) @ 15/8 (BetVictor, Ladbrokes or Paddy Power)

3.05 Chantilly – Qatar Prix De L’Arc De Triomphe – 11 Harzand (each way) @ 15/2 (Coral)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 6 months, 3 weeks ago

30 Sep
2016

No Need To ‘Er’ On The Side Of Caution

Superb racing is the order of the day wherever you look this weekend, one which encompasses the Arc at its temporary home at Chantilly, plus valuable domestic cards at Ascot and Newmarket.

The latter of those features the highly enticing Group 1 Sun Chariot Stakes, the £250,000 fillies and mares mile contest, set to be run at 4.00pm on Saturday.

A field of nine includes visitors from France and South Africa, with the three strong Gallic contingent headed by Jean-Claude Rouget’s three-time Group 1 scorer, Ervedya.

Aided by the fitting of a first-time pair of sheepskin cheekpieces, she returns to racing against her own sex for the first time this season, looking to build on solid efforts at Royal Ascot and Deauville.

Rouget has been successful with three of his last five runners at home, and British and Irish punters are also familiar with his skills, as the Sun Chariot falls just three weeks after his Almanzor turned on the style to win Leopardstown’s Irish Champion Stakes.

Ervedya is overdue a win this season, and she can see off her compatriots as well as Aidan O’Brien’s talented but inconsistent Alice Springs.

Meanwhile, they go over the sticks at Fontwell, where the ultra-consistent, front-runner, Gowanauthat, might be able to bag another win for the Charlie Mann/Harry Bannister combination.

Top weight won’t make it easy for the horse who saw his five race winning spree ended at Worcester eight days ago, but even then he ran a gallant race to be second, and he continues to thrive on his racing.

His winning run might not have too much juice left in it, but this small field looks ideal for a horse who likes to try and boss affairs, and coming up against three rivals returning from a layoff this might be a shrewd choice of race (3.30pm).

Former course and distance winner, Gowanauthat, is 9/4 with the Betfair Sportsbook.

Lastly, Fontwell’s 2m 5f conditional jockeys’ handicap chase (4.40pm) looks a great opportunity for a young rider to achieve a career milestone, with in-form trainer Neil Mulholland giving young Jordan Canavan a fine chance aboard Highbury High.

Up six pounds for his win at Warwick 11 days ago, this gives him a solid chance to record back-to-back wins, and in doing so get his novice rider up and running.

Chief market rival Unify looks worth taking on, appearing under a penalty just four days after winning.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

3.30 Fontwell – Southern Water Handicap Chase – 1 Gowanauthat (win) @ 9/4 (Betfair Sportsbook)

4.00 Newmarket – Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes – 3 Ervedya (win) @ 4/1 (bet365, BetVictor, Betway, Hills or Ladbrokes)

4.40 Fontwell – Cappagh Utilities Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase – 1 Highbury High (win) @ 2/1 (BetVictor)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 6 months, 3 weeks ago

24 Sep
2016

Cambridgeshire Going Back To Yorkshire?

They don’t come any tougher than Saturday’s 35-runner Betfred Cambridgeshire, the historic nine furlong Newmarket handicap which is the centre piece of a heady day’s racing on the Rowley Mile.

Friday was a nice aperitif for the feature day, throwing up French filly Spain Burg under Frankie Dettori in the Rockfel Stakes, with the Group 2 winner put in at 16/1 for the 1,000 Guineas next year.

Saturday’s brace of Group 1’s raise the bar even higher, with the Cheveley Park and Middle Park both likely to take a bit of solving, but it’s in the Cambridgeshire (4.10pm, live on Channel 4) that punters’ grey matter will really be needed.

The winners of the last four renewals are all back for another taste, with Richard Fahey’s Third Time Lucky bidding to become to first horse since Prince De Galles in 1970 to win back-to-back renewals.

Trained at Musley Bank in North Yorkshire by Fahey, Third Time Lucky would be a third winning favourite in 10 years if he could oblige, but at much bigger odds it might be a fellow traveller from Yorkshire who sees his name up in lights…

David O’Meara’s Treasury Notes has had a profitable campaign, netting no less than four wins, with three at Ripon joined by one at Haydock Park.

He’s effective on a range of ground and has thrived in double figure fields.

His draw in stall 15 gives rider Danny Tudhope plenty of options, and a racing weight of 9 stone and a pound doesn’t look too daunting, indeed three winners since 2008 have carried that weight or more.

Also drawn in the middle (18), the other one I like is the Stuart Williams-trained Examiner.

Quick ground has to be a little bit of a question mark, but if he handles the surface then last year’s third has to have a serious chance of once again playing a starring role.

An effective partnership with Oisin Murphy has seen him second here at Newmarket and in the winner’s enclosure at Epsom on Derby weekend so far this campaign, since when he’s been saved for a tilt at this race.

Examiner is eight pounds higher than when placed in this race 12 months ago, but he does appear to have improved, while it’s also fair to mention that his stall, number 18, produced Friday evening’s Silver Cambridgeshire hero, Mishqaal.

Both horse represent some each way value in fiendishly difficult event.

Shop around for bookmakers offering five and perhaps even six places.

Switching codes there’s good sport to be had at Market Raspberry, where’s the Peter Bowen-trained Forever My Friend must have a solid chance of repeating last year’s win in the 2m 5f handicap chase (3.45pm).

Unbeaten in two runs at this venue, the son of King’s Theatre is now six pounds lower in the handicap than when winning this race 12 months ago, despite showing some okay form inbetween.

He’s up against a beatable looking bunch and hails from a stable who had a good win at Uttoxeter on Sunday.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

3.45 Market Rasen – 188Bet Handicap Chase – 4 Forever My Friend (each way) @ 11/2 with bet365

4.10 Newmarket – Betfred Cambridgeshire Handicap – 12 Treasury Notes (each way) @ 16/1 with Betfred

4.10 Newmarket – Betfred Cambridgeshire Handicap – 20 Examiner (each way) @ 20/1 with Bet Victor

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 7 months ago

22 Sep
2016

Unwrap A Gift At Newmarket?

The good horses may already be beginning to appear in the infancy of the Jumps season, with Moon Racer and Ballyandy – the last two winners of the Champion Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival clashing over hurdles at Perth on Thursday, something brilliantly flagged up by the highly recommended @CheltenhamNews Twitter account, but it’s to Newmarket we head this weekend for two televised days at the Cambridgeshire Meeting.

Group races aplenty combined with highly valuable, big field rat-a-tat-tat handicaps, Newmarket, the HQ of British Flat racing, is the place to be if you enjoy the Flat at this time of year…

For yours truly, fuelled by what may very well be the East of England’s finest curry on Thursday night, Channel 4’s coverage gets rolling on Friday afternoon with a two and a half hour live offering, featuring a brace of listed races ands a pair of Group 2’s.

In the first if those Group events, only two of the last 10 favourites have prevailed in the Rockfel (3.05pm), in which the 2016 version is headed at the top of the betting by Roger Charlton’s evens shot Fair Eva, who tasted defeat for the first time when going down to Queen Kindly at York last month (she runs at Newmarket on Saturday in the Group 1 Cheveley Park).

Charlton will be hoping Fair Eva can set down a marker for next year’s 1,000 Guineas – indeed since 1988 four fillies have completed the Rockfel/Guineas double – and at present she is available at a best price of 8/1 with both Ladbrokes and Coral for next year’s fillies’ Classic.

It’s a tough one to call, and in the absence of a really strong opinion I’m going to instead flag up some value in the later Joel Stakes at 3.40pm, an open looking renewal of the £109,000 contest.

Dropping in class, John Gosden’s Group 1 performer Nathra will be popular here under Frankie combined with her fillies’ allowance, but there could be some mileage in taking her on with the Hugo Palmer runner, 113-rated Gifted Master.

Available at 9/1 in a six horse race, he’s top-rated and has lots of encouraging form, kicking off this season with wins at Newmarket and Ascot, before going off the red hot favourite at 5/4 for a Group 2 at Haydock Park.

If we knew then what we know now we’d have said it was a great run to finish third to Quiet Reflection, since when Gifted Master has been placed at Glorious Goodwood and tried his hand in Group 1 company in France.

Back down to Group 2 level, with William Buick on board (he’s unbeaten on Gifted Master) he looks over priced, and that’s before you factor in his form here at Newmarket!

His figures on the Rowley Mile in five career outings are a formidable 12111, and in a race where he gets weight from the older horses that looks encouraging to say the least.

Most firms are 8/1 but Coral go 9’s at the time of writing.

Later on, one race which isn’t on C4 but definitely wouldn’t look out of place, is the listed mile and a half Mukhadram Godolphin’s Stakes at 5.25pm.

It’s a really tricky one to call, but note the stable form of the Wiliam Haggas team, who run Dal Harraild – in the fortnight to the close of play on Wednesday they’d had an astonishing 21 winners in that 14 day period alone!

Hats off to Mr Haggas and respect to his runner, but my vote goes to the John Gosden’s inmate, Furia Cruzada.

The three-time Grade 1 winner in South America, she’s yet to strike in Europe, but to be fair has operated at a very high level and posted some excellent form in defeat, notably at Royal Ascot and Haydock Park.

Dropping in class, this can be her time to strike.

Good luck!

Friday’s best bets at Newmarket:

3.40 – Shadwell Joel Stakes – 5 Gifted Master (each way) @ 9/1 (Coral)

5.25 – Mukhadram Godolphin’s Stakes – 4 Furia Cruzada (win) @ 5/1 with bet365

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 7 months ago

19 Sep
2016

Sky High On A Tuesday?

One of four handicap debutants in an 11-runner field, Lucy Wadham’s Iconic Sky might be the solution to Lingfield Park’s all-weather staying race on Tuesday afternoon (4.05pm), lining up under would be champion jockey, Jim Crowley, as she steps markedly up in trip.

Campaigned at a mile and a quarter and a mile and a half so far, this daughter of Cup horse, Sixties Icon, can improve dramatically now upped in distance to a smidgin’ shy of two miles from a lowly mark.

Available at 7/1 in several places on Monday night, she also goes into a cheeky double alongside a selection at the day’s sole National Hunt fixture:

Neil Mulholland has found a really weak 0-100 contest in which to try and return Highbury High to winning ways at Warwick (2.50pm), restoring the nine-year-old to two and a half miles after a near miss over shorter at Fontwell last time out.

He remains on a wining mark and the stable have been among the winners.

At early prices the double pays 31/1.

Good luck!

Tuesday’s best bets:

2.50 Warwick – Rathbone Investment Management H’Cap Chase – 2 Highbury High (win) @ 5/2 with bet365

4.05 Lingfield – National Windscreens H’cap – 7 Iconic Sky (each way) @ 9/2 with Sky Bet

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 7 months, 1 week ago

17 Sep
2016

It’s All In The Name On Ayr Gold Cup Day

Twice in the last 20 years horses have successfully defied a penalty to land the spoils in the Ayr Gold Cup, and that tally could be boosted on Saturday afternoon, with Bryan Smart’s Nameitwhatyoulike fancied to etch his name onto the roll of honour.

Worth a total of £200,000, the 25-runner six furlong sprint handicap is an annual teaser worth watching, live this time around on More4 at 3.45pm.

What looks a key ingredient here is the draw, in a race where last year’s winner, Don’t Touch, came from stall eight.

To be fair, that was just the third single figure drawn horse to win in a decade, but the evidence stacking up from the last two days clearly points towards the low numbers:

Ayr raced on Thursday, where in the concluding 19-runner sprint handicap, the first eight home emerged from stalls 1, 3, 7, 2, 8, 12, 6, 4.

Still not convinced?

In yesterday’s Bronze Cup, won by Classic Seniority, the first three home came from berths 5, 7, 8.

With that in mind, we need to target something drawn low and with experience in races of this nature.

Step forward Nameitwhatyoulike, in the hands of ace apprentice Adam McNamara.

McNamara’s five pound claim offsets the penalty earned for winning at York last time out, this horse’s second consecutive win, having also readily taken a 20-runner event at Ripon previously.

He handles cut in the ground, and knows Ayr having appeared in last year’s Silver Cup.

Something of a late bloomer, he appears a better horse now, having signed off 2015 with a big field handicap win at Doncaster.

The combination of McNamara, a favourable draw and a fast pace in a big field for a horse who has never been in better form, make Nameitwhatyoulike an attractive proposition at the 14/1 available with either bet365 or Paddy Power, both of whom bet to five places each way on the race.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bet:

3.45 Ayr – William Hill Ayr Gold Cup – 9 Nameitwhatyoulike (each way) @ 14/1 (bet365 or Paddy Power)

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 7 months, 1 week ago

11 Sep
2016

Salute The Curragh On A Champion Weekend

It’s all happening this afternoon, with a dazzling Irish Champions Weekend winging its way to the Curragh for the second mighty instalment, Listowel’s Harvest Festival getting underway for the first day of seven down in County Kerry, while in France it’s Arc Trials Day at Chantilly.

Plenty to chew on then, with Hidden Cyclone the star name at Listowel, where trainer John ‘Shark’ Hanlon has spotted a smart opportunity for him to bag €13,000 over hurdles after his heroics at Galway.

It’s in Kildare where the big money is to be dished out though, and in the five races slated live on RTE2 trainer Aidan O’Brien will have high hopes of a four-timer, one which at morning prices would pay something in the region of 7/1, with his key hopes:

2.35 – Blandford Stakes – Best In The World 10/11

3.40 – Moyglare Stud Stakes – Promise To Be True 11/10

4.15 – National Stakes – Churchill 4/6

4.50 – Irish St Leger – Order Of St George 1/5

Is is that straight forward? Rarely, as yesterday’s results proved.

O’Brien saw five favourites beaten on a tricky day, including Idaho in the St Leger at Doncaster, as well as General MacArthur and US Army Ranger at Leopardstown, all of whom were odds on.

For that reason I’ll be keeping my euros in my pocket where the four fold is concerned, choosing instead try and selectively weed out a hint of Curragh value.

It’s immediately noticeable that Irish racing has done much to attract overseas trainers, and a stunning 42 horses declared on today’s card are trained outside of Ireland, just 24 hours after Almanzor swooped to win the Champion Stakes for France.

One of those is Richard Hannon’s Mehmas, who’ll be doing his bit to foil the O’Brien four-timer, lining up under Frankie Dettori as the most creditable piece of opposition to Churchill in the Group 1 National Stakes at 4.15pm.

Churchill might be joint favourite for next year’s Derby at 16/1 and 20/1, but his form isn’t yet as tall as his reputation, and in Mehmas he meets much his stiffest challenger to date.

Stepping up in trip today, Mehmas brings experience and achievement to the table, having won four of his six starts to date, including gutsy Group 2 strikes at Newmarket and Glorious Goodwood the last twice.

He promises to be even better up in distance, and the 5/2 with Hills looks a fair price.

At rather more speculative odds, my other fancy on the card comes not from England but from Rathbride in County Kildare, just a short hop down the road from the Curragh.

There, trainer Ken Condon will have been celebrating last night, after well backed Landfall beat General MacArthur and co to win the Group 3 juvenile yesterday.

He might have more corks to pop tonight, especially if In Salutem can outrun his odds of 20/1 in the Derrinstown Stud Flying Five Stakes (3.10pm).

There has to be a real chance the six-year-old can do precisely that under Shane Foley, arriving here after a fruitful summer in top form.

The searing gallop and yielding ground will be perfect for a horse who looks more than ready to bridge the gap between handicaps and Group races.

Good luck!

Sunday’s best bets at the Curragh:

3.10 – Derrinstown Stud Flying Five Stakes – 3 In Salutem (each way) @ 16/1 with Bet Victor

4.15 – Goffs Vincent O’Brien National Stakes – 5 Mehmas (win) @ 9/4 with Sky Bet

Digg This
Reddit This
Stumble Now!
Buzz This
Vote on DZone
Share on Facebook
Bookmark this on Delicious
Kick It on DotNetKicks.com
Shout it
Share on LinkedIn
Bookmark this on Technorati
Post on Twitter
Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)
Posted 7 months, 2 weeks ago

Betting Tips Archive

April 2017
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
« Mar    
 12
3456789
10111213141516
17181920212223
24252627282930

Today's NAPS from leading Racing Journalists

1:50 Warwick View Result
Midnight MerlotMelissa Jones (Gloucestershire Echo)
2:20 Warwick View Result
Atlantic StormGarry Owen (Daily Record)
2:30 Pontefract View Result
AbushamahMoorestyle (Daily Star Sunday)
Red TeaChris Wright (Liverpool Echo)
2:50 Warwick View Result
Robin Of LocksleyChris Goulding (Scottish Express)
The Tourard ManRob Wright (The Times)
Thumb Stone BluesWise Owl (Belfast Newsletter)
3:05 Pontefract View Result
Another Wise KidPaul Kealy (Weekender)
Edward LewisNewsboy (Daily Mirror)
Rockavon (Sunday Mail)
The Duke (Yorkshire Post)
JudicialEbor (The Press, York)
Line Of ReasonMarlborough (Daily Telegraph)
Robin Goodfellow (Daily Mail)
Northgate LadGlendale (The Scotsman)
3:25 Warwick View Result
Contre Tous- (Racing and Football Outlook)
3:55 Warwick View Result
Big Casino- (The Guardian)
Morney WingRory Delargy (The Irish Field)
4:10 Pontefract View Result
Star CatchJeffrey Ross (Glasgow Evening Times)
Lee Sobot (Yorkshire Evening Post)
Patrick Weaver (The Star)
Mercury (Daily Post)
4:50 Kempton View Result
Captain PeacockThe Scout (Daily Express)
5:00 Warwick View Result
Gortroe JoeFortunatus (Sheffield Star)
5:30 Warwick View Result
Mr MercurialFarringdon (Morning Star)
5:35 Lingfield View Result
Frank CoolSteve Simpson (Blackpool Gazette)
5:40 Pontefract View Result
Miss SheridanJason Heavey (Sunday Express)
5:45 Windsor View Result
Next ChallengeKarl Hedley (Irish Post)
SwiftsureWest Tip (Western Morning News)
6:05 Lingfield View Result
MossgoTemplegate (The Sun)
6:15 Windsor View Result
EnglishmanKeith McHugh (Oldham Evening Chronicle)
6:35 Lingfield View Result
ShargiahWhistler (Sunday Telegraph)

Free Bets