Archive for the ‘glorious goodwood’ Category

Weekend best bets – Galway, Goodwood & Market Rasen‏

Day 6 here at Ballybrit and a tricky looking card for punters to try and unravel.

There’s a tight look to the front of the market in the 1m Maiden at 5.00pm, and the one to be on is Crying Time, who ran a cracker when a 33/1 shot to go down three parts of a length when to Aidan O’Brien’s Vicount Nelson on his racecourse debut, and can improve from that experience to see off Mikhail Glinka and Waajida.

Next up at 5.30pm I can pass on a good word for Dermot Weld’s Natural High in the Festival Bumper in the colours of Moyglare Stud. They say this son of Sadler’s Wells is working like a horse ready to win on his racecourse debut.

Over at Goodwood in the 7f Maiden at 4.15pm Richard Hannon’s Invincible Soul looks over priced at 14/1 with Bet365 – back him to make the frame.
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Posted 7 months, 3 weeks ago

Friday’s best bets at Glorious Galway and Goodwood‏

As my old mate John ‘Scouse Lobster’ Cruces (of Betfred and Talksport fame) frequently likes to remind anyone within earshot ‘it’s a marathon, not a sprint’, a point you’d have done well to remind the dishevelled looking masses pouring out of Ballybrit at the end of a riotous Ladies Day last night, but with three days still to go it’s hats off to anyone braving the wind and rain to make it there for Friday’s evening fixture.

The best bet on the card looks to be Paul Flynn’s in-form Drunken Sailor, bidding to record his first win of the season with conditions to suit in the Arthur’s Day Handicap at 6.50pm.

In finishing second to Aidan O’Brien’s current Ebor favourite Changingoftheguard in the Ulster Derby at Down Royal over 1m 5f he posted an eye-catching display and proved his stamina for the trip.

With Padraig Beggy again in the saddle and taking a valuable 3lbs off a similar effort can prove good enough here.
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Posted 7 months, 3 weeks ago

Deutschland ready to taste Guinness Hurdle success‏! (Plus Thursday’s Goodwood Tips)

It’s Ladies Day at Galway and I’ll be applying a liberal splash of Blue Stratos before throwing myself into the fray on day 4 of another brilliant Galway race week.

After an anxious wait to see whether or not he’d make the cut, connections of Guinness Galway Hurdle favourite Deutschland are in line for a bumper pay day as the Willie Mullins-trained six year old prepares to take Thursday’s major prize.

Campaigned over fences and on the level recently this in-form son of Red Ransom would have faced the imposte of top weight in the Plate, but instead opts for this far more attractive looking assignment with a mere 10st 5lbs to shoulder.

Herr Ruby Walsh gets the leg up and can boot home Deutschland in front of a packed Ladies Day crowd at Ballybrit on his first hurdles start since January.
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Posted 7 months, 3 weeks ago

Ghanaati primed for Goodwood Glory – Wednesday’s Goodwood & Galway tips‏

Dual Group One winner Ghanaati can make it a hat-trick of top level successes in this afternoon’s BGC Sussex Stakes at 3.25pm (live on C4).

Something of a surprise package when she took the 1,000 Guineas at 20/1 back in May, she stepped up markedly on that by routing them in Royal Ascot’s Coronation Stakes, and with the fillies’ allowance strongly in her favour this afternoon this well made daughter of Giant’s Causeway can see off the colts in this clash of the generations.

Of the opposition the talented Paco Boy faces a tough ask trying to concede 11lbs to our selection, while there’s no way I can entertain backing Rip Van Winkle at prices as short as 11/8 when he too has to give weight (3lbs) to an outstanding filly, but more importantly failed to handle the camber when fourth in the Derby at Epsom – it’s anyone’s guess how he’ll cope with Gooodwood unique undulations.

Ghanaati rates a confident selection at 5/2 with Coral.
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Posted 7 months, 3 weeks ago

Tuesday’s best tips for Glorious Goodwood

Five brilliant days of high class racing kicks off on the picturesque Sussex Downs at 2.10pm today, when we’ll be looking to point you in the right direction of a few winners over the course of the meeting.

The opening Mile Heritage Handicap over 1m 2f sees William Haggas’s talented Alfathaa take his chance againdt some in-form rivals.

Doing all his best work near the finish when a creditable four lengths fifth to Acrostic at Sandown last time over a mile, he’ll be well suited by this step up in trip.

Prior to that, Alfathaa ran an excellent race at Royal Ascot and my feeling is he certainly has a race of this calibre on his radar.

Back him to make the frame at 7/1 with an each way bet with Sportingbet.
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Posted 7 months, 3 weeks ago

Glorious Goodwood Races Tips

As one of the feature race meetings of the UK season, Glorious Goodwood has very similar tipping criteria to that of Royal Ascot, as many of the runners perform at both meetings.

It is a good meeting however for favourite backers, where there is approximately a 30% strike rate. In fact for Stakes races for four year olds and above there is something like a 40% strike rate. Unfortunately many of the favourites are very short priced so profit margins are not anywhere near as good as Royal Ascot. In fact for best profits at Glorious Goodwood, punters should look at the 3yo Handicaps; these show a distinct profit.

Trainers who have most winners are Richard Hannon, John Gosden, Mick Channon, Mark Johnston and Saeed Bin Suroor and more recently Aiden O’Brien. All six of these trainers have excellent strike rates at the meeting. Bin Suroor of Godolphin has a particularly high strike rate of 27%. Best trainer for profit with online bookmakers however is Brian Smart who horses have shown a profit of well over 100%.

Top jockey, unsurprisingly is Frankie Dettori but despite having most winners and best strike rate, he is not necessarily profitable. William Buick in fact the claimer has best profit mark but he will be losing his claim any time soon.

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Posted 1 year, 7 months ago