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Punters on the ropes as bookies celebrate – Thursday’s Cheltenham Festival Tips

At the end of day two the bookmakers definitely took a 2-0 lead over punters, leaving them on the ropes and in desperate need for a few winners on the final two days of the 2010 Cheltenham Festival. Tom has got five selections for us on Thursday, which will hopefully help us get us back in the game ahead of the all important final day on Friday.

Thursday’s Cheltenham Festival tips:

1.30 – Jewson Novices’ Novices’ Handicap

Dave’s Dream (each way) @ 12/1 with Paddy Power.

2.40 – Ryanair Chase

Poquelin (win) @ 7/2 with Bet365, Ladbrokes and William Hill.

3.20 – Ladbrokes World Hurdle

Bet 1 – Lie Forrit (each way) @ 50/1 with Bet365.
Bet 2 – Powerstation (both each way) @ 40/1 with Bet365.

4.00 – Byrne Group Plate

Watch My Back (each way) @ 8/1 with Bet365 and Paddy Power.

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Posted 14 hours, 59 minutes ago

Get in the spirit on Champion Chase Chase Day – Wednesday’s Cheltenham Tips

Day One wasn’t a bad start for Tom’s Cheltenham tips. Yesterday’s selections yielded four seconds and a winner, which meant followers lived to fight another day, albeit somehwat unluckily with the first three beaten by a cumulative winning distnace of less than one length. Bookies certainly to a 1-0 lead in the bookmakers v punters battle at Prestbuty Park on the whole but let’s hope Tom can pick up where he left off and Tuesday with his Wednesday Cheltenham Festival tips.

Read Tom’s Full Day Two Cheltenham Preview and Tips

1.30 – 140th Year Of The National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup

Mobaasher each-way  @ 12/1 with Ladbrokes and Sportingbet.

Tom predicts that this useful ex-Paul Nicholls runner who is versatile in terms of both going and trip, and is still improving over fences, has a great chance of making the frame off level weights with the field given he’d only be conceeding weight to just three of today’s rivals if this was a handicap. It is also encouraging that current trainer, Venetia Williams, claims that Mobaasher is her best chance of a winner at the Festival.

2.05 – Neptune Investment Management Novices’ Hurdle

Quel Esprit (win) @ 7/2 with Bet365 & Paddy Power

Fourth in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham last year, this Willie Mullins inmate has made the transition to hurdling and Tom passes on the strong word that connections fancy him to win this and with Ruby Walsh doing the steering who can argue?

2.40 – RSA Chase

Punchestowns (win) @ 11/4 with William Hill.

Tom has been hugely impressed with Punchestowns on his two starts as a Novice Chaser and even goes as far as to suggest he could be a future Champion in the making and takes the Nicky Henderson runner to beat the other market principles of which he raises question marks about.

3.20 – Seasons Holidays Queen Mother Champion Chase

Kalahari King each-way @ 9/2 with bet365, Paddy Power or Ladbrokes.

Tom is happy to take on strong favourite Master Minded in this race, question whether the Paul Nicholls runner will be able to recapture the form which has seen him land this race for the last two years. With this in mind, his selection is Kalahari King who has Cheltenham form in the bag and made a winning return at Doncaster last month and coupled with promising noises from connections, this Ferdy Murphy runner makes a solid each-way claims.

4.00 – Coral Cup

Mamlook each-way @ 20/1. Take advantage of 5 places with Paddy Power.

Tom predicts that Mamlook will relish in this race given his love of big field handicaps. He has been in good form recently and a big run can be expected at a handsome price.

5.15 – Weatherbys Champion Bumper

Drumbaloo each-way @ 15/2 with bet365 who are paying 4 places.

This selection for the final race of the day has been subject to support  in recent weeks and Tom think the James Lambe runner can make the from for each way backers with Choc Thornton in the saddle.

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Posted 1 day, 3 hours ago

‘Get’ off to a flyer on Day One of the 2010 Cheltenham Festival – Tuesday’s Tips

Tom’s full preview and tips for Day One of the 2010 Cheltenham can be read at Betting Directory’s dedicated Cheltenham Festival siter site – Tom’s Day One Cheltenham Preview.

Below is a summary of the tips for each of the six races on the opening day.

Good Luck!

1:30 – Spinal Research Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

Get Me Out Of Here (each way) @ 5/1 with Bet365 and William Hill

2.05 – Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

Somersby (win) @ 4/1 with Ladbrokes and Victor Chandler

2.40 – William Hill Trophy Handicap Chase

The Package (each way) @ 13/2 with Sportingbet

3.20 – Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle

Bet 1 – Go Native (win) @ 9/2 with Ladbrokes or Wiliam Hill
Bet 2 – Khyber Kim (each way) @ 8/1 with Victor Chandler or Paddy Power

4.00 – Glenfarclas Handicap Chase (Cross Country)

Garde Champetre (win) @ 9/4 with Sportingbet or William Hill

4.40 – David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle

Quevega (win) @ 2/1 Bet365, Ladbrokes and William Hill

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Posted 2 days, 13 hours ago

Pepe to take Rivals’ measure in Imperial Shootout

Not since Collier Bay beat a small field in 1995 has the traditional pre-Cheltenham handicap teaser of the Imperial Cup been without a representative from the Nicholashayne base of the Pipe team, but with Hunterview unable to creep in at the bottom of the weights and Salut Flo shopping elsewhere, that’s exactly what we’ve got for the 2010 renewal, live on Channel 4 at 3.05pm on Saturday afternoon.

Bookmakers are keenest on improving Qaspal for Philip Hobbs and AP McCoy; the six year old needs to win here to get a penalty which would carry him ironically into next week’s Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle and a tilt at the £75,000 bonus.

This lightly raced type has got it together the last twice, winning at Kempton (when he wasn’t overly fluent at his hurdles) and then hacking up over further at Sandown.

Dropping back in trip in a vastly more competitive contest here this will be by far the biggest field Qaspal has encountered, and what’s more the handicapper has had his say, slapping him with a stone rise to a mark of 124.

On those grounds I’m happy to pass him over, but I won’t be looking too far down the list, with only two of the last eight winners of this race boasting a double figure SP.

The one that catches my eye is Paul Nicholl’s high achiever Pepe Simo, a classy type who did so well pre-Christmas he earned a pop at the Christmas Hurdle.

Earlier in the campaign easy wins at Wincanton (twice) and Haydock helped earn him a mark of 140, which means he races with 11st 5lb on his back here.

Ruby Walsh is again on board, preferring him to Nicholls’ other runner Pistolet Noir.

The winner of a bumper at Taunton during his debut campaign he was considered good enough for a shot at the Champion Bumper 12 months ago (finishing 9th behind Dunguib), and the upgrade to hurdling has been a largely positive one, with three wins culminating in his best display at Haydock where he had a real cut at his hurdles and really looked to have got the hang of the job, putting several lengths daylight between himself and the chasing pack.

He wasn’t good enough to trouble Go Native and co in the Christmas Hurdle, but he might be next year and this is far easier.

Given that my selection is by Victory Note out of Vallee Doree heaven only knows where they got the name Pepe Simo from, although possibly it was influenced by that immaculately dressed buffoon Lord Culcheth, who has been known to return from Matalan with the odd pair of orange Pepe jeans in his bin bag.

An entry in the County Hurdle means Nicholls also has the option of fishing for the £75,000 bonus if he can win here and at the Festival, but no doubt he’ll be more than satisfied if they can claim Sandown’s big pre-Cheltenham prize.

As with any big field handicap there are a stack of alternative options, but Pepe Simo looks to have excellent claims.

Good luck!

Saturday’s Sandown Park tip:

3.05 – Paddy Power Imperial Cup – 4 Pepe Simo (each way) @ 7/1 (Skybet, Totesport, Victor Chandler)

n.b. at lesser odds both Bet365 & Paddy Power are betting 1/4 odds 1-2-3-4-5 on the race

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Posted 6 days, 3 hours ago

Nothing ‘Grim’ About Saturday’s Doncaster Tips

The countdown continues! Only two Saturdays to go until Cheltenham is finally here, but in the meantime cast your eyes towards South Yorkshire and Doncaster’s sportingbet.com Grimthorpe Handicap Chase at 3.25pm this afternoon.

A field of 15 are set to head to post for the Donny showpiece (live on C4), and the one to be on is market leader Possol who lines up for Henry Daly and Richard Johnson on his first chase start since April 2009.

Daly sends him north from his Shropshire base safe in the knowledge the handicapper can’t do any damage to his already published Grand National weight of 11st 3lb however well he performs, and despite a big weight to shoulder here his trainer can now unleash one of his stars with his sights firmly set on winning this on the way to Aintree glory (he’s best at 20/1 for the National, a price that might be worth a small interest before post time at Doncaster).

A class horse for connections since being bought from France in 2007 Possol saw off subsequent National winner Mon Mome over fences at Haydock in the autumn of 2008, before performing with real credit behind Nacarat in last year’s Racing Post Chase.

Things didn’t pan out for him in the William Hill Trophy at the Festival, but he signed off the 2008/09 campaign with a 22 length demolition of Ollie Magern at Perth, and his shrewd trainer has shyed away from running him over fences ever since with a view to protecting his mark of 151 for the National.

Instead they’ve been making hay with easy novice hurdles wins at Ascot and Doncaster from Possol – he positivly hacked up on both occasions to prove his wellbeing, and he even has a cheeky entry for the Albert Bartlett at the Festival.

This race isn’t just a stepping stone though, with over thirty five grand going to the winner, and I really fancy him to bag this on the way to the National.

Decent ground and a strong stamina test allied to Donny’s left handed galloping track will suit him perfectly, and although Wogan and Mill Side appear as obvious dangers, Possol can defy a big weight to take this.

At Newbury I’m looking forward to taking in the snappily titled Blue Square Supporting Greatwood Veterans’ Handicap Chase at 2.35pm.

I’m a big fan of these senior citizens races, and you only have to have a chat with my no nonsense associate Lord Culcheth to know that advancing years shouldn’t be a barrier to true love.

There’ll be a mighty cheer if Trabolgan can roll back the years and repeat his 2005 course and distance Hennessy win, and although he missed three years with injury he looked like his old self and ready to win last time out when going well at Doncaster before a mistake robbed him of his chance.

Generally he’s a very clean jumper despite that bad error, and it’s fair to say the handicapper may have given him a real chance now on a mark of 137.

A stone lower than his finest hour he is 12 nowadays, but when you consider he doesn’t have the miles on the clock of some of today’s rivals and represents the in form Henderson camp who continue to fire in the winners, he looks to hold all the aces in this contest.

To complete the set with another chaser I reckon can strike on Saturday afternoon, look no further than Sa Suffit in Kelso’s totesport.com Premier Chase at 3.35pm.

He handles very testing conditions the best of any of rivals, is well suited by the conditions of this race, is improving fast and can take this in the hands of Denis O’Regan.

Finally, breaking new ground for this column, a strong recommendation for Saturday’s Super League fixtures: back Huddersfield Giants to win at a shade of odds against away to Wakefield Trinity Wildcats.

Good luck!

Saturday’s tips:

2.35 Newbury – Blue Square Supporting Greatwood Veterans’ Handicap Chase – 5 Trabolgan (win)

3.25 Doncaster – sportingbet.com Grimthorpe Handicap Chase – 2 Possol (win)

3.35 Kelso – totesport.com Premier Chase – 4 Sa Suffit (win)

Super League – Huddersfield Giants to win at Wakefield Trinity Wildcats

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Posted 1 week, 5 days ago

Strike a chord with Bellvano – Saturday’s Tips

After tasting defeat at the hands of the highly rated Menorah over Christmas, Nicky Henderson’s Bellvano is very strongly fancied to bounce back to winning ways in the 16:15 at Newbury this afternoon.

He won’t be a fancy price, but with glowing reports eminating from the Seven Barrows work watchers he can strike with a minimum of fuss here. The 8/11 generally available seems a realistic reflection of his chances.

Later in the day, cast your eyes towards Wolverhampton’s 20:50 where Mick Channon’s unraced Nadinska can score at the first time of asking. I expect this to go off shorter than the 15/8 currently available with Bet365 and Skybet.

The win double pays a fraction short of 4/1, a price readers would be advised to take advantage of.

Finally, for those of you looking for a winner on the weekend football coupon, you could do worse than have an interest in the following treble;

Nottingham Forest to win at Doncaster
Norwich to win at Brighton
Shrewsbury to beat Hereford

This pays around the 13/2 mark with the majority of firms.

Good Luck!

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Posted 1 month ago

Strawberry the pick of Saturday’s Racing Tips

Betting Directory’s resident tipster, Tom Lee, is away this week and has left the task of finding a few winners in the trusty hands of the site’s editor, known only as ‘The Bulldog’ to regular readers. So whilst Tom is recovering from a suspected overindulgence of Mixed Shellfish “Royale”, I have been busy studying the form ahead of this weekend’s action and Saturday’s Sandown card looks to present a couple of excellent opportunities to get amongst the winners.

The Toteswinger Challengers Novices Chase at 2:35 looks like the perfect opportunity for the Nicky Henderson trained Punchestowns to continue his preparations ahead of the Cheltenham Festival next month. Making only his second start over fences, he is likely to be a short price to follow up his impressive debut win back in November. However, readers who followed Tom’s advice and backed him for the Royal and Sun Alliance Chase at 7/1 ahead of that seven length Newbury success may wish to tune in to channel four on Saturday afternoon and hope that another win will see the current odds of 7/2 shorten further and increase the value of their antepost voucher.

In the 3:10 at Sandown, it is another Nicky Henderson runner in the form of Strawberry, who I expect to run a big race in the Totescoop6 Heroes Handicap Hurdle. This mare made an impressive return to Hurdles when landing a Grade Two at Kempton over Christmas and despite disappointing when pulled up in her latest outing at Ascot a couple of weeks ago she is worth a second chance off a mark of 140 on favoured soft going.

Up at Doncaster, the feature race of the day at Town Moor is the 3:25 Blue Square Handicap Chase in which Kalahari King can defy top weight to win this competitive looking race. The Ferdy Murphy trained nine year old looks fairly treated on what he achieved last season in events better than Saturday’s race, most notably when a short head second to Forpadydeplasterer in the Arkle at Cheltenham and a demolition job in the Grade One Maghull Novices’ Chase at Aintree. This will be his first run since last April and whilst there is the obvious question mark to answer regarding fitness, he is proven to go well fresh, winning three of his past five season reappearances on varying going. He is also sure to have his work cut out to concede weight to several useful rivals but eight of the past ten winners of this race have carried in excess of 11stone to victory and given his proven ability he looks like taking a chance with at 10/1 with Bet365 or Paddypower.

On Sunday, over in Ireland, there is an excellent card at Leopardstown where the feature race is the Hennessy Gold Cup. However, it is likely that most of the attention will be on 2:10, Deloitte Novice Hurdle, where the exciting Dunguib will make his final preparations before heading to Cheltenham but at odds of 1/3, he is best left but the 2:40, the Dr P.J. Moriarty Novice Chase, does present the opportunity for a bet in the form of Roberto Goldback. The Jessica Harrington trained runner has shown signs of making real progress in his last two runs and it would appear that the penny may have finally dropped following the transition from Hurdles to fences. Winning easily over Sunday’s course and distance last time out, it would be surprising not to see this lightly raced eight year old kick on once again and looks a solid option at 5/2 with Ladbrokes. He also hold an entry for the Arkle Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, for which he is currently a 33/1 with most bookmakers.

Weekend Racing Tips

3:10 Sandown, Saturday – Strawberry to win
3:25 Doncaster, Saturday – Kalahari King to win @ 10/1 with Bet365 or Paddy Power
2:40 Leopardstown, Snday – Roberto Goldback to win @ 5/2 with Ladbrokes

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Posted 1 month, 1 week ago

Raise the White Flag in Ascot’s Mares’ Hurdle for pick of this Weekend’s tips

The show is well and truly back on the road and isn’t life better for it?
 
Punters have finally got some proper winter sport to get their teeth into, Lord Culcheth has mysteriously disappeared to Berlin pursuing some hairy German cougar, the excellent Timmy Murphy has his thousand winners plaudits safely in the bag courtesy of a Taunton double, Cheltenham is just six and half weeks away, and a hero of Cheltenham’s past bounced back to remind us of former glories as 2006 Gold Cup winner War Of Attrition took the Galmoy Hurlde in some style at Gowran Park on Thursday.
 
Looking ahead to this weekend Jump racing afficionados will be licking their lips in the style of Preston carpet baron Bernard Dorsett (fans of cult C4 show Come Dine With Me will know exactly who I’m referring to), and understandably so.
 
In the Grade 2 Mares’ Hurlde over 3m at Ascot tomorrow afternoon I fully expect Donald McCain’s Whiteoak to stamp her class on proceedings after proving beyond doubt she stays the trip when hacking up at Kempton in November.
 
She does have to concede 5lb all round here, but I just cannot see that being a barrier to her getting her nose back in front.
  (more…)

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Posted 1 month, 3 weeks ago

Make it a Tranquil day at Leopardstown – Sunday’s tips‏

Leopardstown’s four day festive jamboree rolls riotously onto day 2 on Sunday, and a cracker lies in wait in the shape of the Paddy Power Dial-A-Bet Chase at 1.25pm.

It’s a race that pitches 156 rated pair Forpadydeplasterer and Tranquil Sea together, and there’s no way I can desert the runaway Paddy Power Gold Cup winner as he drops back in trip to 2m 1f here.

Edward O’Grady’s horse was rampant at Cheltenham in handicap company, turning an apparently hot race into a procession, and although this is obviously harder he’s improving fast enough to suggest a Grade 1 win could soon be his.

Don’t forget the horse he beat in the Paddy Power Poquelin then came out and bagged the Boylesports, and if you factor in he’s twice a career winner at Leopardstown (a bumper and hurdle race in 2007) he must have a big shout here.
(more…)

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Posted 2 months, 3 weeks ago

Binocular can rule the roost at Kempton – Boxing Day tips‏

If you’ve had your fill of rowing relatives, chocolate mousse, party poppers & atrocious television then get yourself to Kempton Park on Boxing Day for a cracking card that could turn out to be one of the great days of a really enjoyable NH season.

Shovelling cash on Kauto at 8/13 for a fourth King George isn’t my idea of fun, he should win and I dearly hope he does, but Deep Purple could turn out to be a huge improver and I expect a far better show from Imperial Commander than he put in last year, he might be the each way bet at 7/1, but I’ll swerve that in favour of a headline bet in the Christmas Hurdle.

Compare the best Boxing Day free bets from leading Bookmakers

Binocular can be a Boxing Day stocking filler by bouncing back to his best in the williamhill.com Christmas Hurdle.
(more…)

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Posted 2 months, 3 weeks ago
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