Archive for the ‘ Betfred ’ Category

17 Aug
2016

York Day One Tips

All roads lead to the Knavesmire here in sunny York, with day one of the always keenly-anticipated Ebor Meeting upon us.

If affordable champagne, top notch Flat racing, big crowds and tricky betting heats are your bag then this is the place to be without question.

The opening card of the four day fixture has the look of a bookmaker’s day, but the way to attack it could be to target a couple of big-priced fancies in the feature races…

Rated 120 and placed in both the English and Irish Derby, you’d have to respect Aidan O’Brien’s Idaho in the Great Voltigeur at 3.05pm, the horse who the firms make just 4/1 for next month’s St Leger.

He’s odds on to take today’s audition for that contest by the scruff of the neck, but there could be value in opposing him today with 10/1 chance Imperial Aviator.

Trained by in-form Roger Charlton, who has notched three winners from his last 11 runners, Imperial Aviatior steps up in trip here after a break, trying his hand at Group 2 company after a failed experiment in the French Derby.

To be fair he was completely unsuited by the Soft ground at Chantilly, and as a son of star performer Paco Boy, is much better judged on what he can achieve on today’s surface, Good to Firm.

His father was unbeaten on that going description, including a brace of Group 1’s.

As for Imperial Aviator, he was unbeatable at a lower level in the spring, seeing Ulysses at Leicester, before turning on the style in a red-hot three-year-old handicap at Newbury in May.

This demands far more, but he could have lots of improvement to come at a mile and a half, and he looks generously priced at 10/1 with any of bet365, Boyle, Hills or Ladbrokes.

The big ones comes around at 3.40pm, with the big money Juddmonte International attracting a glittering field of 13.

Trying to attain a sixth win on the bounce, Roger Varian’s Postponed is hot favourite for this, but he has to prove he’s as potent at a mile and a quarter as he is at a mile and a half, and at more than four times his price there could be value in chancing your arm with the William Haggas-trained Mutakayyef.

Drastically improved since being gelded in the winter, this son of Sea The Stas looks more than ready for a tilt at a top level prize, winning both of his starts this year.

Haggas could barely be having a better season, firing in winners left, right and centre, and in Mutakayyef he has a horse who could net him a huge prize.

He looked great last time out at Ascot, and goes really well here any York.

Back him each way at a general 8/1.

Good luck!

Wednesday’s best bets at York:

3.05 – Betway Great Voltigeur Stakes – 5 Imperial Aviator (each way) @ 10/1 (bet365, Boyles or Ladbrokes)

3.40 – Juddmonte International Stakes – 7 Mutakayyef (each way) @ 8/1 (bet365, Betfred, BetVictor or Betway)

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Posted 6 months, 1 week ago

17 Jun
2016

Log On For Commonwealth Glory & Football Double Delight

For the fourth day on the bounce it’s a top notch racing and football double header, spearheaded by six races on the penultimate day of Royal Ascot, plus key three Euro 2016 matches in Groups D and E.

It’s to Ascot we’ll head first to try and unravel some each way value on a tough card, one which could see the Soft ground improve a little, but only if the showery weather stays away.

The second race on the card is the Group 2 King Edward VII Stakes, a mile and a half contest where a field of nine will do battle for an overall £200,000 pot.

Split between Ascot and Leopardstown trainer Aidan O’Brien enjoyed four winners yesterday, and it’s little surprise to see his Beacon Rock topping the bookies’ lists.

The comfortable Gallinule Stakes winner is the pick of Ryan Moore, but at bigger odds one who might have slipped through the net is Across The Stars, quietly fancied at big prices for the Epsom Derby, before failing to act on the track.

Today, Sir Michael Stoute has enlisted the help of Frankie Dettori for this talented sort, one who was almost certainly unlucky in-running when third to the reopposing Humphrey Bogart and Carntop at Lingfield in early May.

Effective on a range of ground, his turn might not be long in coming, with this just sixth racecourse start.

Across The Stars is 12/1 with any of bet365, Betfred, BetVictor, Betway or Paddy Power.

It’s hard not to be excited by the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup upcoming at 3.40pm, the three-year-old sprint over six furlongs.

A filly tops the market in the shape of Karl Burke’s prolific winner, Quiet Reflection, but at quadruple her price the one who was most visually impressive when I watched him win was one of the Richard Hannon runners, Log Out Island.

Admittedly it was only in listed company at Newbury in May, but lit up by a first time hood the pace he showed that day to go screeching clear of his field was incredible, and if he can reproduce that effort today he’ll have a fine chance.

It’s not as if James Doyle’s mount has come from nowhere, finishing second in the Mill Reef Stakes as well as winning the Redcar Two-Year-Old Trophy in 2015.

Today he’s an 8/1 chance with Paddy Power.

Swapping racing silks for a football shirt, there could be a solid double to take advantage of among today’s big games…

The Stade Municipal in Toulouse is the venue for pace-setting Italy against Zlatan Ibrahimovich’s Sweden in Group E at 2pm, a match where Sweden would dearly love to get three points, but look likely to be undone by the Italians high energy counter attacking game.

The Swede’s limitations were exposed against Ireland in match day one, with the supply line to a largely lethargic attack sealed off efficiently.

They’re up against a much better side here, one that don’t concede very often with a tight and experienced defence run like a metronome by ‘keeper Buffon.

Azzurri boss Conte may have something that appears similar to a school janitor’s mop attached to his head, but don’t let that put you off backing his side to make it two wins from two.

Next up, there could be a similar good news story for Croatia in Group D.

They play the Czech Republic in St Etienne (5.00pm), along with Marseille’s Velodrome by some way the best grounds in the tournament, and the eastern city can become a fond memory for the team martialled on the pitch by Messrs Modric and Rakitic.

They were far too good for Turkey on matchday one, and can effectively seal their progress with a win today.

In places (such as Ladbrokes) the double pays an attractive 3/1.

Good luck!

Today’s best racing and football bets:

3.05 Royal Ascot – King Edward VII Stakes – 1 Across The Stars (each way) @ 12/1 (bet365, Betfred, BetVictor, Betway or Paddy Power)

3.40 Royal Ascot – Commonwealth Cup – 6 Log Out Island (each way) @ 8/1 (Paddy Power)

Euro 2016 – Italy to beat Sweden, Croatia to beat Czech Rep – double pays 3/1

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Posted 8 months, 1 week ago

29 Dec
2015

Taylor Made For A Grey Day

A pair of Grade 1’s in the shape of the Neville Hotels Novice Chase (1.55pm) and the Ryanair Hurdle (2.30pm) usher in the fourth and final day here at Leopardstown, with the track set to be hit by some fairly rough weather for the denouement of its great Christmas fixture, the best of which you’ll see live with us on RTE2.

Both feature just four runners, with Drinmore winner No More Heroes a best price 2/5 to extend his winning sequence over fences to three in the former, while a little later it’s Nichols Canyon, the only horse to have beaten runaway Christmas Hurdle winner Faugheen, who is no bigger than 1/2 to claim his sixth Grade 1 prize.

That means opportunities are probably limited, especially with the ground riding Heavy, so we’ll look further afield for the day’s sole recommendation, to Doncaster and their two mile Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (1.10pm).

Six go to post for this, featuring some promising types such as Donald McCain’s Katachenko, who won a messy race at Wetherby on Charlie Hall Chase day, but couldn’t follow up off a pound higher next time out – he’ll have to pull out more having gone up another four pounds here.

Charlie Longsdon’s Long Lunch travelled beautifully through his race at Sandown last time out, just fading late on, suggesting today’s drop back in trip could be a huge asset, while former Imperial Cup hero Baltimore Rock can surely play a hand if fit and ready to roll on his first try over fences, reappearing as he does after a 262-day absence.

However, perhaps the one with the least question marks is Brian Ellison’s runner, The Grey Taylor.

He has the assistance of jockey Richard Johnson, as the Herefordshire man blazes a trail towards a double century of winners for the season, currently motoring along on 167.

The Grey Taylor was a very useful hurdler, winning two of five starts, and going off at 5/1 for Kemtpon’s prestigious Dovecote Novice’s Hurdle back in February.

It’s over fences though that he has the potential to be even better, a school of thought encouraged by October’s pillar to post win over the larger obstacles at Carlisle.

Confidence is high after that, and Ellison has his string in great nick, firing in five winners from his last 17 runners.

Good luck!

Tuesday’s best bet:

1.10 Doncaster – betdaq.com Novices’ Ltd Handicap Chase – 2 The Grey Taylor (win) @ 9/4 (bet365, Betfred, BetVictor, Ladbrokes or Paddy Power)

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

28 Dec
2015

Arctic Excursion Just The Ticket At Leopardstown

It’s a wet and windy Leopardstown that’s set to welcome another big crowd for day three of the annual Christmas meeting, one which boasts the Grade 1 Christmas Hurdle and Lexus Chase as its chief components, both of which you’ll see live with us on RTE2.

The three mile Christmas Hurdle (1.55pm) in particular looks set to be a thriller, pitting strong stayers Martello Tower and Alpha Des Obeaux against the classy, but stamina unproven, Arctic Fire.

Albert Bartlett winner Martello Tower is returning to the track from a 290 day absence since his Cheltenham heroics, but even so is bound to try and make this as searching a test as possible.

The same is true of Alpha Des Obeaux, who was comfortably accounted for by Arctic Fire in Fairyhouse’s Hatton’s Grace Hurdle last month, though that came over half a mile shorter than today’s trip.

Seemingly there aren’t too many chinks in 169-rated Arctic Fire’s armour, a horse available at just 8/1 for the two mile Champion Hurdle in March, though the conundrum for his trainer is the embarrassment of riches which sees him furnished with two seemingly superior options for that contest already, in the shape of the monster Faugheen, as well as Nichols Canyon.

Trying to keep them apart is no easy feat, so it makes sense to try and chisel out a new discipline for Arctic Fire, stepping him up in trip in a fascinating experiment.

Will he stay, or will the petrol light be flickering on empty?

On ratings the last season’s Champion Hurdle runner up ought to be an odds on shot, he’s proven on Soft ground, hails from a stable in red hot form, and has the assistance of Ruby Walsh.

Perhaps more importantly, he’s seen out both of his races this season powerfully, staying on well to score over two and a half miles at both Navan and Fairyhouse, a precedent which bodes well for this afternoon.

There’s no guarantee, but I expect him to win today, and his current odds of 12/1 for the World Hurdle to be adjusted accordingly.

Elsewhere, winner number 167 of the season beckons for champion jockey elect Richard Johnson, as he partners Cotillion in Leicester’s Parsley Selling Hurdle (1.25pm).

Johnson, on target for trainer Ian Williams at Huntingdon on Saturday, gets the leg up on a horse who won on the all-weather 12 days ago, and was last seen hurdling at the 2012 Cheltenham Festival.

It’ll be a disappointment if he doesn’t have too many guns for some limited opposition.

Good luck!

Monday’s best bets:

1.25 Leicester – Parsley Selling Hurdle – 5 Cotillion (win) @ 5/4 (Betfred, Betvictor, Coral or Hills)

1.55 Leopardstown – Squared Financial Christmas Hurdle – 2 Arctic Fire (win) @ 11/10 (bet365, Betway or Paddy Power)

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Posted 1 year, 2 months ago

12 Sep
2015

Can They Reel In Rank Outsider In Vintage Irish Champion?

A headline total of 27 millimetres of rain fell at Leopardstown overnight leaving the outer track, upon which today’s Group 1 QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes will be run, officially Yielding (Good in places).

Regrettably, that has to place significant doubt around the participation of four-time Group 1 winner Gleneagles (five if you count the Grand Criterium in which he was disqualified), for whom the ground needs to be Good or quicker for him to take his place in a truly stellar line-up.

All eight are winners at the top level, and it wouldn’t really be a surprise if any of the field were to rise to the top this afternoon.

For even occasional racing fans it has the look of the unmissable, and you’ll see it all live with us on RTE2 from 5.00pm.

French visitor Cirrus Des Aigles boasts a CV that contains no less than seven Group 1’s and £6.1m in prize money, Dermot Weld’s Free Eagle is rich with promise, trained specifically for this race and a dual course winner, last year’s hero The Grey Gatsby returns to try and become only the second ever dual winner of this contest, the mighty Golden Horn is in town trying to both add to his Epsom Derby and Eclipse successes and repair the minor dent to his reputation after being shot down at York last time out, while the three-year-old fillies Found and Pleascach are both carved from the sought-after material reserved for champions.

Only one can win though, and with the ground changing and some of that brigade either short of match practice (Free Eagle and Cirrus) or coming here off the back of very hard runs (Golden Horn), might it be that we could be in for an almighty shock?

In another year Aidan O’Brien’s apparent third string, Highland Reel, could very well be prominent in the betting for this race, such is the strength of his form, but in 2015 he’s dismissed as a 25/1 outsider. Crazy.

Consider that he made all in the Grade 1 Secretariat Stakes in America last time, displaying an impressive turn of foot to run away with the race.

However, he proved when winning the Vintage Stakes at Glorious Goodwood in 2014 that he could also be ridden with much more restraint, something that gives big race jockey Emmet MCNamara options.

Second in the French Derby on Good to Soft, we know the ground won’t be an issue, and proven over a mile and a half as well there are no lingering stamina doubts.

McNamara could be gifted an easy lead, a very dangerous plan for a horse who has electric speed.

Official ratings leave him with plenty to do, but 25/1 is an insult to a horse of this proven quality, and I’ll be backing him each way to leave Leopardstown stunned.

Later in the day the Group 2 mile Clipper Logistics Boomerang Stakes will also be run on the outer circuit (6.50pm), on ground that will enhance the chances of dual course and distance scorer Custom Cut.

This 117-rated Notnowcato gelding won’t have crossed the Irish sea just for fun, and is trained by David O’Meara, who’s operating at a 29% strike-rate in Ireland since 2010.

Custom Cut rarely runs a bad race and could have measure of his seven rivals.

Good luck!

Today’s best bets:

5.45 Leopardstown – QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes – 6 Highland Reel (each way) @ 25/1 (bet365, Betfred or Paddy Power)

6.50 Leopardstown – Clipper Logistics Boomerang Stakes – 2 Custom Cut (win) @ 4/1 (BetVictor, Ladbrokes or William Hill)

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Posted 1 year, 5 months ago

28 Aug
2015

Fun Mac The Tip Of The Day At Goodwood

With Tom away this weekend, resident Betting Directory racing tipster Steve Chambers picks out a couple of runners at Goodwood he’s very interested in on Saturday…

Inclement weather sweeping across the country this week has left racegoers donning their umbrellas and not their sunglasses, but with the weather set fair for the weekend it’s sure to be a cracking Saturday of racing and Goodwood host a superb seven-race card and it’s the south coast venue that our brace of tips run.

The Celebration Mile is the star attraction on the Sussex Downs at 3:45pm, but the fast-improving Kodi Bear has scared off most of his rivals and the impressive Sovereign Stakes winner should be able to record another Pattern success as he gears up for a possible tilt at British Champions Day later on in the season.

A real head-scratcher for punters is the 888Sport Handicap at 2:35pm, but Brian Meehan’s Fox Trotter, who is available at 10/1 with Betfred Bookmakers, could be a major player if he can build on a decent fourth placed finish in the Qatar Stakes over course and distance earlier in the month at the Glorious meeting.

He will have form to turn around with Mark Johnston’s Enlace, who landed that coveted handicap prize, but Meehan’s charge is a lot better off at the weights for this event, and having not been upped by the handicapper for that run then he’s sure to be on the vicinity again, as a field of 20 runners go to post.

That outing was his first of the season, and the three-year-old is sure to strip fitter for those exertions and he could well be the one to be with and Betfred’s 10/1 is more than generous in what is a devilishly difficult punting assignment.

An intriguing Listed contest may have only attracted a field of six, but the 888Sport March Stakes at 3:10pm is sure to serve up a thrilling finish and Hughie Morrison’s Fun Mac could be worth siding with, as he looks to build on a fine runner-up spot in the Ascot Stakes at the Royal meeting in June.

Installed as a 10/3 shot with Betfred, the four-year-old put up a brave effort when second to subsequent Ebor fifth Clondaw Warrior, and with form in soft conditions this Shirocco gelding could relish a bit of give underfoot and with stamina the order of the day in this 1m 6f then Fun Mac can record his fourth career success.

Saturday’s Best Bets – Goodwood

2:35pm – 888Sport Handicap – Fox Trotter (win) @ 10/1 with Betfred

3:10pm – 888Sport March Stakes – Fun Mac (win) 10/3 with Betfred

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Posted 1 year, 6 months ago

14 Aug
2015

Hunger Strike At Newbury?

Friday morning at 7am in Newbury.

The ground is officially Good prior to the track’s two day feature meeting, the crown jewels of which are Saturday’s Group 2 Betfred Hungerford Stakes, as well as the same day’s Group 3 Geoffrey Freer.

A look out of the window suggests that just as Andrew Balding’s wishes are being met, fellow trainer Henry Candy’s hopes have been dashed.

Both had heavyweight names prominent in the betting for Saturday’s Hungerford (3.45pm, live on Channel 4), but while Balding wants it wet for 115-rated Here Comes When, his counterpart wanted the sun to put its hat on and scorch the turf to suit his 115-rated Limato, who sadly was declared a non-runner of Friday afternoon.

Frustratingly for Candy, though, the forecast is for it to dry up later, in Irish parlance it’s been “lashing” down for the past 24 hours and the changing ground forced the Oxfordshire based handler not to take any chances with his runner.

Both had just the one runner in Saturday’s £150,000 renewal of the seven furlong Group 2, a very strong running which had initially attracted a field of 16.

It’s chock full of possibilities, with old adversary Adaay stepping up in trip, Here Comes When steps down from this year’s usual mile, recent course and distance scorer Windfast looks to follow up, while the reliable Safety Check tries to add to his excellent Lennox Stakes placed effort at Glorious Goodwood, as fascinating contender Richard Pankhurst dips his toe into some very deep water on just his third ever start.

The original pick for this race going to be the Hugo Palmer trained Home Of The Brave but after failing to eat up at lunch on Friday, Palmer was left with no option but to withdraw the three-year-old son of Starspangledbanner, from the race.

The preference therefore is for the aforementioned Here Comes When, who has been promoted to 7/2 favourite following the omissions of Home Of The Brave and Limato. The Andrew Balding yard has enjoyed a fantastic season to date and whilst the pick hasn’t been to the winners enclosure’ so far in 2015, he’s put up some credible efforts.

The five-year-old was last seen  finishing fourth behind Solow at Goodwood last month and he was far from disgraced when finishing just under three lengths behind Night Of Thunder in the Group 1, Lockinge Stakes, at Newbury in May, whilst his best form has come over seven furlongs, boasting three wins from eight runs over Saturday’s distance. His last three victories have come with ‘soft’ in the going and as such, he’s worth taking a punt on at the 7/2 on offer with Bet365

Earlier in the afternoon the extended 1m 5f Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes (2.35pm) provides another enjoyable puzzle to try and unravel, with the sponsors early prices putting in last year’s St Leger second Romsdal as their 5/2 market leader, with Sir Michael Stoute’s Gospel Choir snapping at his heels on 11/4.
Neither has won as much prize money as as Red Cadeaux however, with the now nine-year-old globetrotter perched on £4.99m career earnings.

He was second in this in 2013, and fourth a year ago – a repeat of either effort would carry him through the incredible five million barrier.

He doesn’t appeal as a possible winner though, unlike Gospel Choir, who has returned from an injury layoff this summer seemingly better than ever.

Last year’s Yorkshire Cup hero got the job done in listed company at Newmarket in June, before running a mighty race when half a length and a head behind Big Orange in a Group 2 at the July Meeting.

That’s the same Big Orange who went on to win the Goodwood Cup a fortnight ago, giving the form a rock solid outlook.

In-form Frankie Dettori takes over from injured Ryan Moore, and looks like he could be on a winner.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets at Newbury:

2.35 – Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes – 4 Gospel Choir (win) @ 11/4 (Betfred) *Non Runner

3.45 – Betfred Hungerford Stakes – 12 Here Comes When @ 7/2 (bet365)

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Posted 1 year, 6 months ago

30 Jul
2015

Shark Attack Feared In Galway

One of Irish racing’s best-loved and most instantly recognisable characters could be about to take centre stage at packed to the rafters Galway today, as County Carlow-based John Hanlon, far better known simply as ‘The Shark’, arrives in the wild west armed with a strong and intriguing challenge for today’s €300,000 Guinness Galway Hurdle (4.45pm, live on RTE1), courtesy of stable star Hidden Cyclone.

The 10-year-old Stowaway gelding has done his charismatic trainer proud, winning 12 races in all including five of his six outings over hurdles.

What’s more, he’s been readied for his big day with a fluent win on the Flat at Leopardstown, a smoother than smooth performance during which he never remotely left his comfort zone.

You can be 100% certain he will have to this afternoon though, as the proven quality and younger legs of the likes of Quick Jack, Diakali and Thomas Edison put it up to him.

However, the ratings case for Hidden Cyclone couldn’t be any more plain….the horse who has consistently boxed against the heavyweights over fences is rated 158 in that code, plus has as recently as February won a Grade 2 Chase.

Over hurdles however he is much more favourably assessed, seeking to exploit a mark over the smaller obstacles of just 137.

Factor in the three pound claim of Brian Hayes and you can see exactly why he’s an attractive proposition, under a feather weight, at the 8/1 available each way with Boylesports of BetVictor.

He ran well on his only previous experience of Galway (in 2013) and is one to keep on side today.

‘The Shark’ could also enjoy a dream start to the afternoon, with the richly-promising Clondaw Farmer fancied to successfully plough a successful furrow in the Guinness Dublin Porter Beginners Chase, run at 1.50pm.

Placed in a point-to-point, he won his bumper here at Galway a year ago, and then eased through his maiden hurdle at Down Royal without breaking sweat.

He’s up against the frustrating As De Ferbet for Willie Mullins and Ruby Walsh this afternoon, and can make his winning mentality count.

Good luck!

Thursday’s best bets at Galway:

1.50 – Guinness Dublin Porter Beginners Chase – 2 Clondaw Farmer (win) @ 4/1 (bet365, Betfred, Betvictor, Coral, Ladbrokes or William Hill)

4.45 – Guinness Galway Hurdle – 14 Hidden Cyclone (each way) @ 8/1 (Boylesports of BetVictor)

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Posted 1 year, 7 months ago

05 Jun
2015

A Perfect Storm On Derby Day At Epsom

FULL EPSOM DERBY COVERAGE can be found on the Betting Directory dedicated microsite…

Derby day at Epsom, followed by a Champions League final that pits the guile and experience of Pirlo and Buffon against the twinkle-toed magic of Messi.

Golden Horn and Pirlo have both got stamina doubts to answer as it happens, but both could decide the outcome of their respective sporting showpiece.

Live with us on Channel 4 at 4.30pm the £1.325m Investec Derby has drawn a field of 12 to the Epsom Downs, and couch potatoes have never had it so good, as as 7.45pm the eyes of the sporting world will be drawn to Berlin, as Barcelona and Juventus lock horns to decide who’ll get their hands on old big ears, the Champions League trophy coveted by Europe’s elite.

Supplemented Dante winner Golden Horn tops the market at Epsom, but his well documented stamina doubts are a concern for anyone entertaining backing him at a general 6/4.

If you were watching Channel 4 Racing last Saturday you’ll know I was looking forward to backing Zawraq, but Curragh trainer Dermot Weld will be as sick as a pig that his horse is lame and unable to run.

In his absence I’m taking a chance with a 20/1 shot, in the hope that Newmarket handler William Haggas can secure a first Derby with Storm The Stars.

At huge odds you get guaranteed stamina, some excellent form in the book, plus versatility regarding ground.

It’s six years since the mighty Sea The Stars powered to victory in this race, and he could be about to supply the 2015 winner with one his offspring.

Go back through his form and you’ll find just a neck separating him from Golden Horn at Nottingham last October.

He ran well in defeat when not entirely comfortable on the track when second to the re-opposing Hans Holbein in the Chester Vase, but enjoyed an inch perfect preparation for this when making all in Goodwood’s listed Cocked Hat Stakes 15 days ago.

He’s improving all the time, and has clearly benefitted from stepping up in distance.

Combine that with the form of the Haggas team, a meaty 11 winners from just 29 runners in the fortnight to Friday, for a stunning 38% strike-rate, and there looks to be enough ammunition to recommend an each way wager.

Elsewhere, Abergavenny trainer Dave Evans can strike with one of his two runners at Doncaster, with Wordiness primed to continue his good recent form in the 0-70 staying handicap at 2.30pm.

Evans is another man in form, winning with two of his seven runners on Thursday, and employs the services of ace apprentice Gary Mahon, who claims seven off top weight and is full of confidence having won on two of his three recent rides.

Wordiness ran well here last time, and prior to that was much improved when bounding clear at Newbury.

Mahon’s claim effectively takes him back to his winning mark, and he looks the one to beat in this Class 5 event.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

2.30 Doncaster – Ladbrokes App Handicap – 1 Wordiness (win)

4.30 Epsom – Investec Derby – 11 Storm The Stars (each way) @ 20/1 (bet365, Betfred, BetVictor or Ladbrokes)

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Posted 1 year, 8 months ago

09 May
2015

Wedding Vow Can Be Perfect Marriage With Christophermarlowe For A Saturday Racing Double

Regular site columnist and tipster, Tom Lee, has been flat out recently with TV commitments for RTE in Ireland at Punchestown last week and Channel 4 this week, at Chester’s May meeting. Notwithstanding, he hasn’t ignored his duties on this page and followers of his picks will know all too well that he has been in fine form over the past seven days.

However, with the flat season now in full swing and his diary chock-a-block for the foreseeable future, Tom’s making the most of a rare weekend off with a trip to Portugal, entrusting the Betting Directory team to provide winners whilst he fills his face with natas and guzzles Super Bock…

The Channel 4 cameras are at Lingfield on Saturday as the Derby and Oaks trail steps up a gear for the renewals of the Surrey track’s Classics Trials Day.

With just four weeks to go until until the Epsom showpiece, contenders on both sides of the Irish Sea are currently staking their claims for the two Group One events, with the Guineas at Newmarket, last weekend and Chester, this week. Add to that next week’s Dante meeting at York and the Derrinstown Stud meeting at Leopardstown on Sunday and there’s no shortage of clues ahead of the Oaks and Derby.

The Lingfield Derby Trial isn’t as prestigious as some of the other pattern races at this time of the year but Christophermarlowe, who is one of five entered in the race, is certainly one to get excited about and could well be the first winner of this race to go on and win the Derby since High-Rise in 1998.

The John Gosden trained Colt is unbeaten in three, winning both his starts as a juvenile, before making a winning start to life as a three-year-old at Epsom in April, with an easy four-length victory over Godolphin’s Future Empire. That victory was enough to see his odds cut from 33/1 into 20/1 for the Derby and in the past couple of weeks, he has continued to attract support in the ante-post market and is now a best price 14/1 to win on 6th June.

Christophermarlowe is something of an unknown quantity when it comes to breeding – the first European trained offspring of Tapit, a Sire whose progeny have only previously raced in the USA. However, his owner, Michael Tabor, knows a thing or two about breeding and John Gosden has won the Derby before and judging by what he has shown so far in his career, there’s plenty to like about him and he can continue his winning sequence on Saturday afternoon.

Competition comes in the form of the Aidan O’Brien trained Kilimanjaro, who lost his maiden tag at Dundalk a couple of weeks ago but the son of High Chaparral was far from convincing 12 months ago and it’s unlikely that he represents Ballydoyle’s first string and the selection is prefered. However, at odds of 8/15, you’ve got to be a big-hitter to make it pay. Instead, it may pay dividends to double it up with another selection on the same card.

In the Oaks Trial, the Aidan O’Brien trained Wedding Vow looks to boast the strongest form of the 11 runners, despite having yet to win a race. The daughter of Galileo finished second behind Legatissimo last time out in a listed race at Gowran, before the David Wachman filly bolted to 1000 Guineas glory last weekend. The step up to 1m 3f is sure to suit Wedding Vow and given the form of her trainer, who has won the 2000 Guineas and two Derby trials at Chester this week, it’s hard to ignore her chances.

Like Christophermarlowe, Wedding Vow is also an odds-on chance at 4/6 but when backed together, the double pays 6/4 with the sponsor of both races, Betfred – a decent price about what are two very strong fancies.

For anybody looking to get stuck in to more tasty odds, the 29 runner Victoria Cup at Ascot provides an opportunity to get amongst the double-digit odds with bookmakers betting 14/1 the field, in a race that hasn’t seen the favourite win since Iffraaj obliged back in 2005! That said, six winners in the past decade have come from within the top three in the betting and that is where the selection, Zarwaan, is currently situated.

The Ed Dunlop trained four-year-old was thrown straight into handicap company, 12 months ago and despite not finding the winners enclosure in any of his four starts during his second season, there was plenty to like about how he adapted to the hustle and bustle of big field competition.

The son of Group One winner, Dutch Art, Zarwaan finished second in two class two events last Spring, before finishing a very creditable fifth in the 30-runner Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot, last June. His Official Rating has subsequently crept up to 102  but every run since losing his maiden tag two years ago has seen him run to that mark, if not better. He was last seen finishing sixth in the Lincoln Handicap, a race from which he will undoubtedly  benefit from in terms of fitness and where he also showed he can handle a cavalry charge.

Saturday is Zarwaan’s third try over seven furlongs, the other two starts over that distance saw him finish first and second and drawn in stall 14, jockey, Paul Hanagan, will have the benefit of deciding on which side to race from the middle stall. All considered, Zarwaan ticks all the boxes of trying to piece together  a complex puzzle like the Victoria Cup and at 12/1, makes plenty of each-way appeal.

Saturday’s Best Bets

Wedding Vow (to win 2:20 @ Lingfield) & Christophermarlowe (to win 2:55 @ Lingfield) – 6/4 double with Betfred

3:45 Ascot – Tote Scoop6 Victoria Cup – Zarwaan @ 12/1 (each-way) with Bet365

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Posted 1 year, 9 months ago