Archive for the ‘ Bookmakers ’ Category

07 Apr
2017

2017 Grand National Tips

Grand National Tips

One For Arthur (each way) @ 16/1 with Paddy Power
Just A Par (each way) @ 50/1 with Paddy Power

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Posted 7 months, 2 weeks ago

30 Sep
2016

No Need To ‘Er’ On The Side Of Caution

Superb racing is the order of the day wherever you look this weekend, one which encompasses the Arc at its temporary home at Chantilly, plus valuable domestic cards at Ascot and Newmarket.

The latter of those features the highly enticing Group 1 Sun Chariot Stakes, the £250,000 fillies and mares mile contest, set to be run at 4.00pm on Saturday.

A field of nine includes visitors from France and South Africa, with the three strong Gallic contingent headed by Jean-Claude Rouget’s three-time Group 1 scorer, Ervedya.

Aided by the fitting of a first-time pair of sheepskin cheekpieces, she returns to racing against her own sex for the first time this season, looking to build on solid efforts at Royal Ascot and Deauville.

Rouget has been successful with three of his last five runners at home, and British and Irish punters are also familiar with his skills, as the Sun Chariot falls just three weeks after his Almanzor turned on the style to win Leopardstown’s Irish Champion Stakes.

Ervedya is overdue a win this season, and she can see off her compatriots as well as Aidan O’Brien’s talented but inconsistent Alice Springs.

Meanwhile, they go over the sticks at Fontwell, where the ultra-consistent, front-runner, Gowanauthat, might be able to bag another win for the Charlie Mann/Harry Bannister combination.

Top weight won’t make it easy for the horse who saw his five race winning spree ended at Worcester eight days ago, but even then he ran a gallant race to be second, and he continues to thrive on his racing.

His winning run might not have too much juice left in it, but this small field looks ideal for a horse who likes to try and boss affairs, and coming up against three rivals returning from a layoff this might be a shrewd choice of race (3.30pm).

Former course and distance winner, Gowanauthat, is 9/4 with the Betfair Sportsbook.

Lastly, Fontwell’s 2m 5f conditional jockeys’ handicap chase (4.40pm) looks a great opportunity for a young rider to achieve a career milestone, with in-form trainer Neil Mulholland giving young Jordan Canavan a fine chance aboard Highbury High.

Up six pounds for his win at Warwick 11 days ago, this gives him a solid chance to record back-to-back wins, and in doing so get his novice rider up and running.

Chief market rival Unify looks worth taking on, appearing under a penalty just four days after winning.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

3.30 Fontwell – Southern Water Handicap Chase – 1 Gowanauthat (win) @ 9/4 (Betfair Sportsbook)

4.00 Newmarket – Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes – 3 Ervedya (win) @ 4/1 (bet365, BetVictor, Betway, Hills or Ladbrokes)

4.40 Fontwell – Cappagh Utilities Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase – 1 Highbury High (win) @ 2/1 (BetVictor)

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

09 Sep
2016

In The Sheikh Up At Donny

The 250th running of the £100,000 Doncaster Cup (3.40pm), the stayers’ Grade 2, is the focal point of this afternoon’s card at Town Moor, a quality day’s racing in itself, but also a handy aperitif for what promises to be a spectacular weekend of sport in both Britain and Ireland.

First though, we need to try and unearth a diamond from the assembled field of nine for today’s race, in which the bookies make Roger Charlton’s Quest For More their market leader.

The blinkered winner of York’s Lonsdale Cup, he hasn’t always been the most reliable conveyance, and it ought to be remembered that in the Goodwood Cup on his penultimate outing, he was only sixth, behind third-placed Sheikhzayedroad.

At double his odds the latter hints at being the value alternative today, coming here off the back of that fine third in the Goodwood Cup, as well as filling the same position behind Order Of St George in the Ascot Gold Cup.

Rated 113, he’s only 1lb behind the favourite on figures, and is a guaranteed stayer with no quirks.

Trainer David Simcock continues to fire in the winners, and his contender here looks attractively priced at the 6/1 available with either bet365 or Ladbrokes.

Good luck!

Today’s best bet at Doncaster:

3.40 – Doncaster Cup – 7 Sheikhzayedroad (each way) @ 6/1 (bet365 or Ladbrokes)

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Posted 1 year, 2 months ago

02 Sep
2016

Sprint Cup Highlights Competitive Haydock Card

No Tom I’m afraid this week folks so you’ve got me, Russell Palmer from the Betting Directory as I bid to ably deputise as Tom tops up his tan on holiday.

It’s a pretty competitive day looking across the cards, with the highlight the 32Red Sprint Cup at Haydock (4.30pm). Limato is the short priced favourite and with good reason following his win in the July Cup earlier in the Summer and the second place last time out behind Mecca’s Angel in the Nunthorpe.

There was no disgrace in finishing second that day and his form is better than any in Saturday’s field. However, with forecast rain on its way to Haydock the four year old’s participation could be up in the air, so I’ve picked out a couple of each -way chances as insurance.

The form of the July Cup is key here as I like the second and third home that day to go well again on Saturday.

The filly Quiet Reflection has been hugely impressive this season, winning the Group 2 Sandy Lane here in May by three and three quarter lengths. A win in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot followed and she was third at Newmarket last time. She gets a fillies allowance here, goes on any ground if there is to be a change in the going and arrives fresh. The Henry Candy trained filly can be backed each-way at 11/2 with Coral.

The horse who finished between Limato and Quiet Reflection in second at Newmarket was Suedois who represents real value here at 14/1.

If we’re backing Quiet Reflection then Suedois should also be considered. The David O’Meara trained five year old has four pounds in hand on Quiet Reflection from that July Cup run due to the weight for age allowance and I can’t for the life of me see why he’d be a double figure price amongst this field.

Earlier in the card I like the look of Hathal trained by William Haggas in the Superior Mile (3.00pm). I backed Yorker trained by Haggas in the Strensall Stakes a few weeks ago at York, a horse that had come back following a long lay off and the trainer has a knack with horses such as these with Hathal running for the first time in a year.

The four year old was improving last year winning a Listed race at Newbury before the lay-off. The Haggas yard is in absolutely scorching form with his last 38 runners yielding 20 who have finished either first or second. At 7/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair it looks a cracking each-way bet.

Tom will be back next week, good luck with Saturday’s bets!

Saturday’s Best Bets:

3.00pm Haydock – Superior Mile – Hathal (each-way) 7/1 (Paddy Power and Betfair)

4.30pm Haydock – 32Red Sprint Cup – Quiet Reflection (each-way) 11/2 (Coral) and Suedois (each-way)  14/1 (Various)

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Posted 1 year, 2 months ago

25 Aug
2016

Stoute In The ‘Thik’ Of It

Supplemented for a race his trainer, Sir Michael Stoute, has won eight times since 1987, Thikriyaat looks the one to be with in Saturday’s most valuable prize, the Group 2 Doom Bar Celebration Mile (4.30pm) at Goodwood.

One of the infrequent but popular days upon which the Chanel 4 bandwagon gets a welcome chance to set up camp on the scenic Sussex Downs, the Celebration mile features a field of just five, of which the two three-year-olds, Thikriyaat and Zonderland, hold sway at the top of the market.

Bear in mind, the Classic generation have dominated this event and then some, taking six of the last eight renewals, from a mere 11 representatives.

What’s more, Thikriyaat has been beaten just once in five career outings, and even that came when runner-up at the hands of a future Group 1 scorer, Ribchester.

He won a Group 3 over course and distance last time out on a track that can take some knowing, and looks a very solid option in the hands of Paul Hanagan.

At the time of writing, both Stan James and Paddy Power are 15/8.

Notching a double figure winners tally in the fortnight to Friday, it could actually be a quickfire ‘cross the card’, Group race, three-year-old double for team Stoute, as Ulysses goes for Windsor’s Winter Hill Stakes on Saturday evening (6.00pm).

Fit again Ryan Moore is jocked up to partner a horse who made a massive impression when winning his maiden at Newbury, earning a hike in class that saw his next start come in the Derby!

A shade out of his depth there, he was more at home when winning a mile and a half Group 3 at Glorious Goodwood.

This drop in trip to 1m 2f won’t be an issue, especially with Moore eager to make up for lost time.

Good luck!

Saturday’s best bets:

4.30 Goodwood – Doom Bar Celebration Mile – 4 Thikriyaat (win)

6.00 Windsor – Winter Hill Stakes – 4 Ulysses (win)

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Posted 1 year, 2 months ago

19 Aug
2016

Life’s A Breeze In York

Two down, two to go here at the York Ebor Meeting, where both extremes are on display today, with the blink and you’ll miss it five furlong Nunthorpe topping the bill alongside the two mile marathon runners in the Lonsdale, both of which you can see live with us on Channel 4.

Sitting neatly between the two feature events is the Group 3 City Of York Stakes (3.05pm), where despite the presence of highly-rated three-year-old Nemoralia, the value play could be Dean Ivory’s Librisa Breeze.

Only a four-year-old, he looked very much a Group horse in the making when justifying a gamble at Ascot last month, and another big step forward would come as little surprise here.

He looks very fair value at 5/1 with any of BetVictor, Betway, Hills, or Skybet.

Some 35 minutes earlier (2.30pm), reformed character Pallasator can be on his best behaviour to land the Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup.

He ran arguably his best ever race last time out, when going down a length and a half to Big Orange in the Goodwood Cup, and he looks a more solid option than favourite Trip To Paris, who makes his second start since returning from an injury lay-off.

He hasn’t always been the most straightforward customer in the preliminaries, but Pallasator seems to be a different proposition now and can cement that with a victory here, to build on a fortnight in which his stable have enjoyed seven winners from 20 runners.

Lastly, rather than getting drawn into the imponderables about the ground for Mecca’s Angel or the trip for supplemented Limato, I’m going for a small each way wager in the feature (3.40pm) on a huge outsider.

Prince Of Lir, winner of the Norfolk at Royal Ascot and sent off favourite for a Group 2 in France last time out, is one of three runners in the Nunthorpe for sprint master, Robert Cowell.

One of only two juveniles in the field, both of whom receive a vast weight concession from the older sprinters, he might outrun his price in the hands of Tom Marquand – a number of firms are offering 40/1.

Good luck!

Friday’s best bets at York:

2.30 – Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup – 3 Pallasator (win) 4/1 with Bet365

3.05 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes – 5 Librisa Breeze (win) 5/1 with Bet Victor

3.40 – Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes – 19 Prince Of Lir (each way) 40/1 with Paddy Power

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Posted 1 year, 3 months ago

18 Aug
2016

Back On Song In Sunny York?

Fast ground, big crowds and blazing sunshine are the key ingredients so far here in York, where we head into day two of the Ebor Meeting after an opening salvo which featured headline displays from Idaho and Postponed.

The first of those is now something in the region of a 7/4 favourite for the St Leger after barrelling his way through yesterday’s Great Voltigeur, while Roger Varian’s Postponed could be set to light up the Arc de Triomphe at its temporary home of Chantilly in October, for which bookies’ quotes range between 4/1 and 5/1 following his classy display in the feature Juddmonte International.

Today’s big one comes at 3.40pm in the shape of the Darley Yorkshire Oaks, with a four strong challenge from Aidan O’Brien, spearheaded by proven top level performer Found.

There is a little bit of a question mark for her on this quicker surface though, and in receipt of a meaty 10 pounds it might be one of the three-year-olds that come to the fore.

Seventh Heaven lived up to her name when winning the Irish Oaks in mid-July, but it’s another of the O’Brien quartet, Even Song, who might claw back some of her dented reputation from that race by springing a surprise today.

Sent off the 4/5 market leader for the Curragh Group 1, she wasn’t a danger at any stage that day, but leat we forget any horse can have an off day, and this filly didn’t go off odds on for a Group 1 by accident…

Furthermore, Ryan Moore chose her over both Seventh Heaven and Pretty Perfect that day, no doubt hugely impressed by her win in Royal Ascot’s Ribblesdale.

A return to that form, with Pat Smullen up for the first time today, might see her make a mockery of her odds, with bet365 and Stan James both going 14/1 and 1/4 odds for each way money.

Later on, another filly crossing the pond from Ireland who might be over-priced is the Jim Bolger-trained Glamorous Approach, who takes her place in the hands of Kevin Manning in the EBF & Sir Henry Cecil Galtres Stakes (4.20pm).

The Bolger stable is in superb nick, and today’s mile and a half assignment might be ideal for a progressive three-year-old who has been experimented with at a variety of distances.

By Derby winner New Approach, she’s joint top rated but gets weight from the older horses, giving her a great chance to at least make the frame at the 15/2 available with Hills.

Good luck!

Today’s best bets at York:

3.40 – Darley Yorkshire Oaks – 6 Even Song (each way) @ 14/1 (bet365)

4.20 – EBF & Sir Henry Cecil Galtres Stakes – 6 Glamorous Approach (each way) @ 7/1 (Paddy Power)

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Posted 1 year, 3 months ago

17 Aug
2016

York Day One Tips

All roads lead to the Knavesmire here in sunny York, with day one of the always keenly-anticipated Ebor Meeting upon us.

If affordable champagne, top notch Flat racing, big crowds and tricky betting heats are your bag then this is the place to be without question.

The opening card of the four day fixture has the look of a bookmaker’s day, but the way to attack it could be to target a couple of big-priced fancies in the feature races…

Rated 120 and placed in both the English and Irish Derby, you’d have to respect Aidan O’Brien’s Idaho in the Great Voltigeur at 3.05pm, the horse who the firms make just 4/1 for next month’s St Leger.

He’s odds on to take today’s audition for that contest by the scruff of the neck, but there could be value in opposing him today with 10/1 chance Imperial Aviator.

Trained by in-form Roger Charlton, who has notched three winners from his last 11 runners, Imperial Aviatior steps up in trip here after a break, trying his hand at Group 2 company after a failed experiment in the French Derby.

To be fair he was completely unsuited by the Soft ground at Chantilly, and as a son of star performer Paco Boy, is much better judged on what he can achieve on today’s surface, Good to Firm.

His father was unbeaten on that going description, including a brace of Group 1’s.

As for Imperial Aviator, he was unbeatable at a lower level in the spring, seeing Ulysses at Leicester, before turning on the style in a red-hot three-year-old handicap at Newbury in May.

This demands far more, but he could have lots of improvement to come at a mile and a half, and he looks generously priced at 10/1 with any of bet365, Boyle, Hills or Ladbrokes.

The big ones comes around at 3.40pm, with the big money Juddmonte International attracting a glittering field of 13.

Trying to attain a sixth win on the bounce, Roger Varian’s Postponed is hot favourite for this, but he has to prove he’s as potent at a mile and a quarter as he is at a mile and a half, and at more than four times his price there could be value in chancing your arm with the William Haggas-trained Mutakayyef.

Drastically improved since being gelded in the winter, this son of Sea The Stas looks more than ready for a tilt at a top level prize, winning both of his starts this year.

Haggas could barely be having a better season, firing in winners left, right and centre, and in Mutakayyef he has a horse who could net him a huge prize.

He looked great last time out at Ascot, and goes really well here any York.

Back him each way at a general 8/1.

Good luck!

Wednesday’s best bets at York:

3.05 – Betway Great Voltigeur Stakes – 5 Imperial Aviator (each way) @ 10/1 (bet365, Boyles or Ladbrokes)

3.40 – Juddmonte International Stakes – 7 Mutakayyef (each way) @ 8/1 (bet365, Betfred, BetVictor or Betway)

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Posted 1 year, 3 months ago

17 Jun
2016

Log On For Commonwealth Glory & Football Double Delight

For the fourth day on the bounce it’s a top notch racing and football double header, spearheaded by six races on the penultimate day of Royal Ascot, plus key three Euro 2016 matches in Groups D and E.

It’s to Ascot we’ll head first to try and unravel some each way value on a tough card, one which could see the Soft ground improve a little, but only if the showery weather stays away.

The second race on the card is the Group 2 King Edward VII Stakes, a mile and a half contest where a field of nine will do battle for an overall £200,000 pot.

Split between Ascot and Leopardstown trainer Aidan O’Brien enjoyed four winners yesterday, and it’s little surprise to see his Beacon Rock topping the bookies’ lists.

The comfortable Gallinule Stakes winner is the pick of Ryan Moore, but at bigger odds one who might have slipped through the net is Across The Stars, quietly fancied at big prices for the Epsom Derby, before failing to act on the track.

Today, Sir Michael Stoute has enlisted the help of Frankie Dettori for this talented sort, one who was almost certainly unlucky in-running when third to the reopposing Humphrey Bogart and Carntop at Lingfield in early May.

Effective on a range of ground, his turn might not be long in coming, with this just sixth racecourse start.

Across The Stars is 12/1 with any of bet365, Betfred, BetVictor, Betway or Paddy Power.

It’s hard not to be excited by the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup upcoming at 3.40pm, the three-year-old sprint over six furlongs.

A filly tops the market in the shape of Karl Burke’s prolific winner, Quiet Reflection, but at quadruple her price the one who was most visually impressive when I watched him win was one of the Richard Hannon runners, Log Out Island.

Admittedly it was only in listed company at Newbury in May, but lit up by a first time hood the pace he showed that day to go screeching clear of his field was incredible, and if he can reproduce that effort today he’ll have a fine chance.

It’s not as if James Doyle’s mount has come from nowhere, finishing second in the Mill Reef Stakes as well as winning the Redcar Two-Year-Old Trophy in 2015.

Today he’s an 8/1 chance with Paddy Power.

Swapping racing silks for a football shirt, there could be a solid double to take advantage of among today’s big games…

The Stade Municipal in Toulouse is the venue for pace-setting Italy against Zlatan Ibrahimovich’s Sweden in Group E at 2pm, a match where Sweden would dearly love to get three points, but look likely to be undone by the Italians high energy counter attacking game.

The Swede’s limitations were exposed against Ireland in match day one, with the supply line to a largely lethargic attack sealed off efficiently.

They’re up against a much better side here, one that don’t concede very often with a tight and experienced defence run like a metronome by ‘keeper Buffon.

Azzurri boss Conte may have something that appears similar to a school janitor’s mop attached to his head, but don’t let that put you off backing his side to make it two wins from two.

Next up, there could be a similar good news story for Croatia in Group D.

They play the Czech Republic in St Etienne (5.00pm), along with Marseille’s Velodrome by some way the best grounds in the tournament, and the eastern city can become a fond memory for the team martialled on the pitch by Messrs Modric and Rakitic.

They were far too good for Turkey on matchday one, and can effectively seal their progress with a win today.

In places (such as Ladbrokes) the double pays an attractive 3/1.

Good luck!

Today’s best racing and football bets:

3.05 Royal Ascot – King Edward VII Stakes – 1 Across The Stars (each way) @ 12/1 (bet365, Betfred, BetVictor, Betway or Paddy Power)

3.40 Royal Ascot – Commonwealth Cup – 6 Log Out Island (each way) @ 8/1 (Paddy Power)

Euro 2016 – Italy to beat Sweden, Croatia to beat Czech Rep – double pays 3/1

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Posted 1 year, 5 months ago

15 Jun
2016

On The Hunt For Royal Ascot Riches

Perhaps my favourite race of the entire meeting at Royal Ascot is today’s ridiculously difficult Royal Hunt Cup (5.00pm), a big field mile barging match which is as attritional a handicap as you can get, made all the more difficult by the continuing rain turning the ground Soft.

Far from easy, but with bookies going 10/1 the field and the conditions meaning plenty can be discounted, it’ll be all the more satisfying if it can be unravelled.

The suggestion is to back a couple at big prices, then hope from some luck in-running…

My shortlist features the names Spirit Raiser, Donncha, Mr Owen and Secret Brief, with the latter pair the ones who’ll be carrying the cash.

Charlie Appleby is as confident as you can be about Secret Brief, noting that the Betway Lincoln winner will love the going and is thriving after a 74-day break following his Doncaster heroics.

Drawn in stall three, he’s up only four pounds for his April win, has proven big field handicap experience, plus a top pilot in William Buick.

At 14/1 he could very well be the one, especially with Paddy Power paying SIX PLACES each way!!

My other big hope is Qatar Racing’s sole representative Mr Owen – how on earth this fella is 28/1 is a mystery?

Fully proven even on really testing ground, he actually is rarity in that he’s a genuine Group 1 performer, now trying his hand in a handicap, albeit perhaps the toughest one all summer.

Third to Make Believe in last year’s French Guineas, he even went to Canada to run in the Woodbine Mile back in September.

If he takes to this sort of race he’ll surely outrun his price, and we know it’s been a plan as trainer Francois Rohaut has had him stabled in Deauville to cut down on the travel.

Oisin Murphy has options left, right and centre from stall 14.

Good luck!

Today’s best bets in the Royal Hunt Cup:

5.00 Royal Ascot – 12 Secret Brief (each way) @ 14/1 (Paddy Power)
5.00 Royal Ascot – 4 Mr Owen (each way) @ 28/1 (bet365, BetVictor or Coral)

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Posted 1 year, 5 months ago