Archive for January, 2009

Page 1 of 212

Three Good Tips For Saturday’s Sandown Card

I’ll be down at Sandown on Saturday where Optimus Maximus looks highly likely to get favourite backers off to a flying start in the Toteplacepot Juvenile Novices’ Hurdle at 1.30pm.

Bred to be a star over hurdles (he’s a half-brother to a couple of horses you’ll remember: Paul Nicholls’ very useful Albuhera, plus Irish and French Guineas winner Bachir) Nicky Henderson’s charge cost an eye-watering €825,000 when snapped up by current connections, and duly obliged at the first time of asking when readily drawing away from a good field in an above-average contest at Newbury a fortnight ago.

There’s still a bit of work to do to redeem his price tag, but Newbury was a start, and at current exchange rates there’s only about another €822,000 to go.

Tomorrow’s price won’t be anything to write home about, but he’s definite banker material for multiples fans, since soft ground holds no fears and he hurdled like a natural at Newbury.

No bigger than 33/1 for the Triumph Hurdle he can enhance his reputation with a cosy success here.�

The second race on the card should also go the way of favourite backers with 2008 Triumph Hurdle winner Celestial Halo set to advertise his Champion Hurdle claims in the Totepool Contenders Hurdle at 2.05pm.

He made a very pleasing return at Ascot last time in the re-arranged Boylesports International, running into the roadblock which is Binocular, but nonetheless performing with distinction in having to make the running, and then finishing well clear of Chomba Womba, Katchit and Crack Away Jack.�

Saturday’s opposition is nothing like as formidable, with Osana likely to need the run, and Afsoun just short of the class necessary to compete at the very highest level.�

They race for a tasty first prize of £31,310 in the Totesport.com Masters Handicap Chase at 3.45pm, and I’ll be having a couple of quid on a young horse on the upgrade in the shape of Jonjo O’Neill’s Can’t Buy Time, who’s definitely one to keep on the right side of.

Creeping up the weights after wins at Southwell, Huntingdon and Ascot, he posted a sound effort in finishing a close third in the Haydock’s Tommy Whittle Chase just before Christmas, and getting in with a handy 10st and the very capable Richie McLernon’s claim a further boost, he’ll be a danger to all on ground he’ll love.

The one to fear could be Nicky Richards’ According To John, off the track for 14 months, but third to Denman in the 2007 SunAlliance. According to connections he’ll need the run but with high-class form in the book he could be one to watch.�

Lastly I had to laugh at the tv coverage of Wigan v Liverpool on Wednesday night, and it’s hats off to whoever chooses the music at the JJB Stadium……new signing Mido slots in the penalty to make it 1-1, cue a bit of music to mark the occasion, what do they play? Walk like an Egyptian. Brilliant! Whoever is responsible deserves a pay-rise. Wigan Chairman Dave Whelan is sure to be reading this so take note. The sight of thousands of pie-eating Wiganers doing the accompanying dance moves is a sight to behold.�

Good luck!
Tom

Saturday’s Sandown Tips
Optimus Maximus (1:30)
Celestial Halo (2:05)
Can’t Buy me Time (3:45)

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

Go to Town with 13/2 Bet on Medicinal at Doncaster!

The locals will be out in force on Town Moor tomorrow for a decent Doncaster card, and I can’t resist having a few quid each way on Medicinal at 13/2 with Sportingbet in their big race at 3.00pm.
 
The South Yorkshire track has taken the rain reasonably well, with the ground currently good to soft, and Champion trainer Paul Nicholls holds an especially strong hand in the contest with three runners, including favourite I’msingingtheblues, who has excelled in bossing some small fields (he beat Calgary Bay here before Christmas), but steps into handicap chase territory for the first time.
 
It’ll be fascinating to see how much more rain they have at Doncaster, since I’msingingtheblues (as short as 11/4 with Stan James) has never run on ground more testing than the current conditions, and was once pulled out of a race at Uttoxeter with soft ground cited as the reason for his withdrawl.
 
Medicinal however posted his best effort over the larger obstacles last time out, when winning a decent 0-140 handicap at Haydock in November, a race in which they went off at a fierce clip, and if he can brush up on his jumping (which nearly derailed an excellent performance that day), then it’s very hard to envisage the selection not making the frame at a fair each way price.
 
The form of his Haydock win hasn’t been overly advertised, although the seventh horse Presenting Copper has been making waves, winning competitive races over fences and hurdles at Chepstow and Cheltenham in the following eight weeks.
 
The switch to Ditcheat seems to have brought about the best in Medicinal, and he’s certainly been in good heart since leaving Edward O’Grady last year. Nicholls also fits the tongue tie once again, an aid which seems to have done the trick since his only other start for Nicholls resulted in a good third at Aintree back in October.
 
He’ll love the ground, Sam Thomas keeps the ride, and despite a 10lb hike in the ratings for his Haydock win, he gets in with a handy 10st 10lb here as a result of Nicholls other runner Andreas compressing the weights.       
 
Of the remaining fancied runners I’d have to put a line through I’m So Lucky with David Pipe’s string so bang out of form – there’s no doubt Pipe junior is a seriously good handler, but he didn’t seem at all confident when I chatted to him at Wincanton on Thiursday, and it’s a waiting game for his string, as he’ll be banging in the winners as soon as they’re back on colour.
 
Doctor David is seriously interesting on his handicap chase debut – he’s another exciting young horse with a tall reputation who’s been bossing small field novice chases and will love the ground and flat track – he’ll be a genuine danger starting off on a mark of 144, but providing his jumping has been worked on at the Ditcheat academy then I’m more than happy to invest in Medicinal each way at 13/2.

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

FA Trophy Betting Tips

Guest tipster and Non League football expert Mark Sale, is back again this week looking to follow up his success last weekend and his midweek double.

With only a handful of games being played in the Blue Square Premier this weekend I’m turning my attention to the F.A Trophy in the hope that we can find a bit of value.

Torquay will find it tough at Conference North high fliers Southport . The Gulls wont relish the five hour camel ride they have in store and I predict Southport to force a draw.

Best odds for the draw is 5/2 with Stan James

Of the other ties, Ebbsfleet should be too strong for Swindon Supermarine and Crawley should get through to the next round with a win at Havant & Waterlooville.
Back both Ebbsfleet and Crawley in a double  at Bluesquare who are paying odds of just over 9/4

Saley’s longshot this week goes to Telford who might just cause an upset at Kettering. Telford have assembled a good squad and might have a few more fresh legs than the Poppies who have had some tough games recently. The Telford win can be backed at Coral at odds of 10/3

Good Luck

Saley

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

Midweek Bluesq Betting Tips

After a great result for the mighty Brewers last night in front of the Setanta cameras , I’m looking for Kidderminster (11/8 with Bluesq) to assist us further in our promotion bid by taking all 3 points in their home tie against our  closest rivals Histon .

Kiddy will be hoping to get back to winning ways after a recent dip in form, and with the fire power they have on show I expect them to be among the goals tonight.

Back Kidderminster in a double along with Torquay who should be too strong for lowly Lewes. A £20 double pays £71.40 with Bluesq.
Those who followed my long shot on Saturday were rewarded with a tasty 3-1 when Oxford turned over Crawley.

Saley’s long shot for tonight is on the shoulders of Forest Green (19/10 Bluesq) who I’m hoping to come out on top of a relegation battle against Salisbury

Good luck

Mark Sale

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

Larks Lad can give punters something to shout about‏

Nicky Henderson’s Larks Lad can make up for a couple of costly reverses by taking the bumper at Taunton this afternoon (4.00pm).
While plans for Larks Lad didn’t follow the script at Newbury and Ascot he can pick up the winning thread here, now champion jockey AP McCoy takes up steering duties.

Said  to be working the house down at Seven Barrows he’s expected to show a marked improvement at the Somerset track – the Evens available with Paddy Power and bet365 is an accurate reflection of his chances.

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

Star can shine on Cheltenham’s big stage‏

A seven race card from the natural amphitheatre which is Cheltenham is just what the doctor ordered for those of you looking for a weekend punt, and Star de Mohaison can continue his rehabilitation with a win in the Letheby & Christopher Cotswold Chase (2.35pm Saturday).

With his task made considerably easier by the defections of the Queen’s Barbers Shop and Jonjo O’Neill’s Lexus Chase winner Exotic Dancer (both of whom shop elsewhere for a suitable target) Star de Mohaison is taken to get back to winning ways in the hands of crack big-race Pilot Barry Geraghty.

Three years ago the then five-year-old Star de Mohaison embarked on a five race winning spree including victories at Fontwell, his beloved Cheltenham (twice), Aintree (at the April meeting) and Sandown.

Something about Cheltenham seems to bring about the best in Paul Nicholls’ eight-year-old, and his success in the 2006 Royal & SunAlliance Chase was an exhibition in jumping.

Soft ground won’t stop his march back from the injury that then kept him out for an entire two years, and his latest run on yielding ground when trying to give 18lbs to the inspired Mon Mome on the Friday of the Boylesports meeting was a cracker.

Indeed he traded at a far shorter in-running price on the exchanges as the two horses kicked off the bend, and although he narrowly failed to get the best of that scrap, connections were undertandably pleased to have him back in full working order.

Of the opposition Tidal Bay will benefit from a return to a right handed track, but experimenting up in trip could find him out, and I’d have him down as a potential Ryanair Chase type when dropped back in distance.

Halcon Genelardais will be popular too, and looks likely to be favourite since he ran a fine race in a good Gold Cup, and is 4lb clear according to Timeform ratings.

Joe Lively will have his fans too after a clear cut Cheltenham handicap suceess in November (with a light weight he beat Halcon Genelardais 14 lengths), but both could be faced with playing second fiddle to Star de Mohaison.

Time is on his side, and Sir Robert Ogden’s gelding can take this en-route to a tilt at the Cheltenham Gold Cup in which he’d have to be considered a lively outsider at 25/1 with Boylesports, Coral and Sportingbet.

Elsewhere on the card, barring accidents, the Finesse Juvenile Novices’ Hurdle really ought to go the way of Alan King’s Walkon at 3.10pm.

His December Newbury second to current Triumph Hurdle favourite Zaynar looks especially good form when you consider he went down four lengths that day – conceding 7lb for a penalty he picked up for an earlier Huntingdon success.

Zaynar came out and won again at Ascot last weekend to boost the form further.

Next factor in Walkon’s classy success in a Grade 1 run on soft ground at Chepstow at Christmas time, when off a moderate pace his jumping was nigh on impeccable, and he had tomorrow’s rivals Reve De Sivola and Simarian in third and fourth that day.

Furthermore the horse he beat at Chepstow Pepite de Soleil came out and won at Wincanton at the weekend – get stuck in.

Finally have a second look at Moon Over Miami for the Betchronicle Handicap Chase now that he takes the step up in trip to 2m 5f for the first time. (2.05pm).

Charlie Mann’s eight-year-old is a bit of a monkey, and seems to need to be on a going day to put it all together, but he’s got a healthy dose of ability and I’ll be supporting him at what looks likely to be a reasonable each way price. He loves soft ground, and as his name features among the entries for both the Queen Mother Champion Chase and the Ryanair, this should give an indication of his likely Festival target.

Expensive to follow in recent times he was well fancied for the Castleford Chase at Wetherby last time, but histrionics down at the start saw him give away ground, and his performance im managing to get up and take second was actually quite impressive.

The declaration Mister McGoldrick keep the weights down and means Moon Over Miami takes his chance with just 10st 10lb to shoulder, and he’s taken to make the frame at the very least at around 10/1.

Good Luck
Tom

Racing Tips – Saturday 24th January – Cheltenham
Moon Over Miami (2:10)
Star de Mohaison (2:35)
Walkon (3:10)

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

Saley’s Conference Betting Tips

Burton Albion First Team Coach Mark Sale, is back again this week with his thoughts on the best bets for the Bluesq Conference.

The proverbial “hit the post” came to mind last week when Salisbury were denied a point seven minutes into injury time. Hopefully this weeks longshot can get us back on track, I see Kidderminster being too strong for Barrow at 6/5 and Woking look a good bet to take all three points against Ebbsfleet at 6.4 (both with Bet365). The double pays 9/2 and is worth an investment.

Saley’s Longshot
Oxford United to win at Crawley 3/1 at Totesport

Good Luck!

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

Destination Dubai for a Thursday Winner

The best bet of the day comes in the 4:55 at Nad AL Sheba, where Mike De Kock’s Quicksand is a confident selection to land the Ford Mustang Trophy.

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Posted 1 year, 1 month ago

Saley’s Blue Square Certs

Betting Directory are delighted to welcome another member to their tipping team this weekend in the form of former professional footballer and now First Team Coach at Conference high flyers, Burton Albion, Mark Sale.

Mark’s former clubs include Birmingham City, Preston, Torquay, Mansfield, Colchester, Plymouth, Rushden, Doncaster and Real Madrid. As a striker, Mark scored goals wherever he went making him a firm favourite with the fans. Off the pitch, ‘Saley’ or ‘Goal Machine’ as he is known, is a big fan of racing and always enjoys a flutter.

Despite being a very busy man with his duties at runaway Blue Square Conference leaders Burton Albion, Mark has kindly agreed to join Tom as a guest tipster at Betting Directory to bring our readers the latest inside info from the world of football, hopefully pointing you in the direction of a few winners in the process.

Saley’s Blue Square Certs – Saturday 17th January
Forest Green – 5/4 and Oxford United – 5/6, both with Totesport.
Histon – 10/11 with Paddy Power

Saley advises a treble on those three at combined odds of just over 13/2 with Totesport.

Goal Machine Longshot
Salisbury to get a draw at Kettering 5/2 with Ladbrokes

Good Luck!

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Posted 1 year, 2 months ago

Look to Ascot for Winning Tips this Weekend

You know things can’t be too bad when staring at you from the box directly ahead is Gold Cup winner Denman, to the left is runaway Queen Mother Champion Chase winner Master Minded, and to the right is treble King George winner Kauto Star.

That was the sight that confronted us early this morning when we paid a visit to the Ditcheat, base of Champion trainer Paul Nicholls to get the lowdown on Denman’s road to recovery following his treatment for an irregular heartbeat.

The big horse looked in great nick, cantering up the famous Manor Farm gallop ears-pricked looking every inch the star he is. Tune in to tomorrow’s Morning Line for some more detailed quotes from the frankly brilliant Nicholls, who couldn’t be more accomodating in keeping the public up-to-speed with one of his favourites. He’s all systems go for a tilt at Newbury’s Aon Chase on February 7th, so fingers crossed he’ll be as good as ever.

It can be little wonder so many winners are sent out week after week by Nicholls, there’s a great buzz about the place that seems to have everyone smiling, right the way up from the lads doing the mucking out to the bloke who makes the decisions. First class.�

Onto this weekend’s sport and opportunity knocks on an Ascot card jam packed full of quality action tomorrow afternoon, and I’m especially looking forward to seeing Lucy Wadham’s classy United serve it up in the Warfield Mares’ Hurdle at 2.50pm.

Off the track for 20 months after a fine third in the Champion Stayers’ Hurdle at the 2007 Punchestown Festival, she bounced back with a lively performance to see off Chief Yeoman at Haydock on the Saturday before Christmas, and said to have thrived since then, she’s going to take all the beating under the in-form Dominic Elsworth.

Her obvious long term target is the David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival, and she should take this en-route.

On the same card I really fancy Free World to advertise his Arkle claims in the Montpelier Group Lighting Novices’ Chase (1.40pm). I’m still not quite sure how he managed to get chinned in the dying strides by the gutsy Araldur at Sandown last time out (Choc Thornton’s ride like a man possessed might have something to do with it!), but I fancy him to get back on the winning trail tomorrow afternoon at the expense of the highly touted Calgary Bay.

Free World’s November defeat of the Philip Hobbs trained Planet Of Sound now reads especially well after he came out and won a hot contest at Newbury earlier this week.

It’s a thriller in prospect, with the second and fourth in the Arkle betting going toe to toe, and it could be worth dipping back into the Arkle market to take a bit of 14/1 each way about Free World for the long term target. (This column already advised fellow Nicholls’ inmate Tatenen at 16/1 for the Arkle back in October).�

I also like the look of Karabak in the National Hunt Novices’ Hurlde at 3.55pm. Alan King’s six-year-old caused a bit of an upset when he beat Nicholl’s Mahonia on Ruby Walsh’s comeback ride at Cheltenham in December, and he can go in again on his third try over hurdles.

He wants a fast pace and will definitely benefit from the step up in trip. Don’t forget only Mad Max has beaten him over timber so far, and he came out and won again this week too.

Lastly if you’re looking for one for the yankee at Ascot don’t miss Zaynar in the Juvenile Novices’ Hurdle at 12.30pm. He’ll be no price, but the 7/2 favourite for the Triumph Hurdle ought to enhance his already lofty reputation earnt in fine style with an emphatic win on his Newbury debut a few weeks back.�

PS, It appears the representatives of Manchester City Football Club weren’t having a laugh when they travelled to Milan to table a quite ridiculous €120m bid for Brazilian maestro Kaka. Beam me up! Unless Kaka’s on drugs or forced to sign at knife point there surely can’t be a prayer of him electing to exchange the San Siro for Stockport, Il Duomo for Dukinfield, Malpensa for Moston and pasta and olive oil for a nourishing dogfood pastie.

Even more remarkable is the fact that Skybet are still offering 10/3 about Kaka pulling on a Milan shirt in the first game after the absurd transfer window slams shut. It might not be everyone’s cup of tea,but I can’t resist a quid on him staying put.

Good luck!
Tom

Saturday 17th January Racing Tips
All at Ascot
Zaynar (12:30)
Free World (1:40)
United (2:50)
Karabak (2:55)

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Posted 1 year, 2 months ago
Page 1 of 212